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3909 81st Ave N
F Composite 31.48
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.3/15.0
  • Cash flow +4.3/30.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$325,000

3909 81st Ave N · Brooklyn Park, MN 55443
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,085 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1971 0.25 ac lot $300/sqft · 57% above area Est $364k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Delightful single-owner split entry home has 3 large bedrooms with hardwood floors on upper level! This smoke-free & pet-free home has a large family room with wood burning fireplace & new carpet in lower level. Rough-in for additional bath & 4th bedroom down. Kitchen features new dishwasher, hood & gas range. Central foyer leads to beautiful LR with south facing sliding doors that open to a large deck with steps to fenced back yard. Low maintenance exterior & large 2-car attached garage.

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1971

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential split-entry (bi-level) home; Main entry level plus lower level
  • Construction: Block construction; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Stone and vinyl exterior; Chain link fencing; Lot approximately 0.25 acre (80 x 135)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with center island and window; Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (three on main level; one on lower level)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (one on upper level/main, one in full basement)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Finished full basement with egress windows; Wood-burning fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (hookup present); Water softener (owned)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-865 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (47.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (50.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $160k (50.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#50 in MN, #1,308 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D, amenities F.
  • Osseo Public School District (suburban): math 42% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #129 of 301 in MN (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $192k; list at $325k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $160,081 (50.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.49%
Cap rate
3.10%
Cash-on-cash
-11.41%
DSCR
0.49
GRM
16.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$364,001
List price
$325,000
Delta
-10.71%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.26% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-34.0%
Equity multiple
-0.13×
Total profit
$-102,403
Equity at exit
$48,459
10-year hold
IRR
-29.1%
Equity multiple
-0.50×
Total profit
$-136,537
Equity at exit
$28,100

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55443

Rents YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
169
Price-to-rent
16.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,601 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$290 /mo · $3,483/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$336
Net cashflow
$-865

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,696
Max offer price $172,134
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-681 -5% $-773 +0% $-865 +5% $-957 +10% $-1,049
Rent -10% $-992 -5% $-929 +0% $-865 +5% $-802 +10% $-739
Rate -1.0pp $-702 -0.5pp $-783 base $-865 +0.5pp $-950 +1.0pp $-1,035

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8447 Regent Ave N Minneapolis, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1000 $1,555 $1.55 2d 5 0.88mi
5528 Brookdale Dr N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,195 $1.57 44d 1 1.09mi
5521 Brookdale Dr N Brooklyn Park, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0 855 $1,525 $1.78 2d 10 1.13mi
7449 Imperial Dr N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 775 $1,579 $2.04 44d 1 1.14mi
8304 Zane Ave N Unit North-312 Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,195 $1.20 5d 1 1.14mi
8104 Zane Ave N Minneapolis, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 18d 3 1.15mi
8308 Zane Ave N Unit North-106 Brooklyn Park, MN 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,195 $1.20 5d 1 1.16mi
8300 Zane Ave N Minneapolis, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 868 $1,195 $1.38 5d 5 1.19mi
7870 Zane Ave N Minneapolis, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0 760 $1,375 $1.81 2d 12 1.19mi
8316 Zane Ave N Unit NORTH-207 Brooklyn Park, MN 3.0 1.5 1370 $1,695 $1.24 44d 1 1.20mi
8217 Zane Ct N Unit 8221 Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,575 $1.57 3d 1 1.23mi
7021 Brooklyn Blvd Unit 7021-216 Brooklyn Center, MN 2.0 1.0 825 $1,399 $1.70 44d 1 1.39mi
8425 Brunswick Ave N Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0 1032 $1,850 $1.79 44d 1 1.49mi
5840 73rd Ave N Minneapolis, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0 1031 $1,650 $1.60 15d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    status $325,000 Pending 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $325,000 Contingent - Inspection 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-04
    days on market $325,000 Contingent - Inspection 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    statusdays on market $325,000 Contingent - Inspection 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $325,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $325,000 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $325,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-05-15
    listed $325,000 Active
  9. 2026-05-13
    historical
  10. 2017-04-18
    soldstatus $192,000 Sold 513-char remark
    Show marketing remark (513 chars)

    Delightful single-owner split entry home has 3 large bedrooms with hardwood floors on upper level! This smoke-free & pet-free home has a large family room with wood burning fireplace & new carpet in lower level. Rough-in for additional bath & 4th bedroom down. Kitchen features new dishwasher, hood & gas range. Central foyer leads to beautiful LR with south facing sliding doors that open to a large deck with steps to fenced back yard. Low maintenance exterior & large 2-car attached garage.

  11. 2017-04-10
    status Pending 513-char remark
    Show marketing remark (513 chars)

    Delightful single-owner split entry home has 3 large bedrooms with hardwood floors on upper level! This smoke-free & pet-free home has a large family room with wood burning fireplace & new carpet in lower level. Rough-in for additional bath & 4th bedroom down. Kitchen features new dishwasher, hood & gas range. Central foyer leads to beautiful LR with south facing sliding doors that open to a large deck with steps to fenced back yard. Low maintenance exterior & large 2-car attached garage.

  12. 2017-02-20
    historical Contingent - Inspection 513-char remark
    Show marketing remark (513 chars)

    Delightful single-owner split entry home has 3 large bedrooms with hardwood floors on upper level! This smoke-free & pet-free home has a large family room with wood burning fireplace & new carpet in lower level. Rough-in for additional bath & 4th bedroom down. Kitchen features new dishwasher, hood & gas range. Central foyer leads to beautiful LR with south facing sliding doors that open to a large deck with steps to fenced back yard. Low maintenance exterior & large 2-car attached garage.

  13. 2017-02-17
    listed $179,500 Active 513-char remark
    Show marketing remark (513 chars)

    Delightful single-owner split entry home has 3 large bedrooms with hardwood floors on upper level! This smoke-free & pet-free home has a large family room with wood burning fireplace & new carpet in lower level. Rough-in for additional bath & 4th bedroom down. Kitchen features new dishwasher, hood & gas range. Central foyer leads to beautiful LR with south facing sliding doors that open to a large deck with steps to fenced back yard. Low maintenance exterior & large 2-car attached garage.

  14. 1971-04-01
    soldstatus $31,250

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,483 · $290/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,561 · $297/mo
Expected delta
+$79/yr (+$7/mo · 2.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,210
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$3,483
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,537
− Management
−$1,537
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable loss
−$16,631
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,991
After-tax cash flow
$-6,393/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Osseo Public School District
NCES district ID
2725200
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$76,168
Composite
42.35/100
National rank
#3250
State rank
#129 of 301 in MN

Livability — Brooklyn Park

Score
81/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#1308

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime C- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brooklyn Park, MN
County
Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
City population
33,660
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
33,660
Household income
$95,082
Rent vs Own
27.4% rent · 72.6% own
Severe rent burden
968.0

Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,405,227 people
By 2030
1,492,650 · +6.2%
By 2040
1,660,157 · +18.1%
By 2050
1,823,498 · +29.8%
By 2075
2,221,283 · +58.1%
By 2100
2,509,976 · +78.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Black 30% Asian 19% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 7% Swiss 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
25% · Vietnam, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
71% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 10% Vietnamese 4% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -199.26%
Current HPI
206.3855
Rent YoY
▲ 6.26%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+940.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-02 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-29 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $325,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-13 Coming Soon $325,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-04-18 Sold (MLS) $192,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-04-10 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-02-20 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-02-17 Listed $179,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1971-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $31,250 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,483 · -4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…