4514 Sky Harbor Dr · Rockwall, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.4/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$749,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Priced to sell!!! Motivated seller! Home build sold as is! Stunning 6 bedroom, 5 bath home with nearly 4,000 sq. ft. in highly rated Rockwall ISD. Open floor plan with soaring ceilings and abundant natural light. The living area features a fireplace and a wall of massive sliding doors that open to the backyard, creating seamless indoor-outdoor living. The kitchen offers quartz countertops, a large California island, and sleek black cabinetry. Floor plan includes two living areas, game room, media room, and a converted third-car garage perfect for an office or gym. Spacious primary suite with spa-style bath. Covered patio and large backyard ideal for entertaining.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Large backyard
- Covered patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/5.0-bath single-family listed at $749k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-973 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $577k (23.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $569k (24.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $569k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.9% in Rockwall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#86 in TX, #3,043 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Rockwall ISD (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #83 of 826 in TX (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Celia Hays El (math 62% / reading 59%, grade B-, #385 of 4,322 statewide, top 9%, 517 students, 11% FRL); J W Williams Middle (math 51% / reading 55%, grade C+, #281 of 1,662 statewide, top 18%, 828 students, 21% FRL); Rockwall-Heath H S (math 50% / reading 61%, grade C, #364 of 1,632 statewide, top 23%, 2,912 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools at 20% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 1011 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,810 units permitted in Rockwall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,694/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($129k/yr) (locally 646% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rockwall County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 283 days — a 12% lower offer ($659k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 283 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.57%
- DSCR
- 0.75
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $875,766
- List price
- $749,000
- Delta
- -14.47%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4521 Sky Harbor Dr | 0.03mi | 6/5.0 | 3,882 (-2%) | 3mo | $848,870 | $219 | 93 |
| 4508 Lorion Dr | 0.11mi | 5/5.0 (-1) | 3,781 (-5%) | 11mo | $873,742 | $231 | 73 |
| 4506 Sky Harbor Dr | 0.01mi | 5/4.0 (-1) | 4,222 (+7%) | 10mo | $914,000 | $216 | 71 |
| 4528 Sky Harbor Dr | 0.03mi | 5/5.0 (-1) | 3,605 (-9%) | 12mo | $959,900 | $266 | 69 |
| 1007 Sable Dr | 0.09mi | 5/4.0 (-1) | 3,908 (-1%) | 19mo | $749,900 | $192 | 69 |
| 1020 Cascading Creek Dr | 0.07mi | 5/4.0 (-1) | 4,386 (+11%) | 2mo | $852,587 | $194 | 68 |
| 606 Limmerhill Dr | 0.32mi | 5/4.0 (-1) | 4,117 (+4%) | 2mo | $985,000 | $239 | 68 |
| 998 Catterick Dr | 0.29mi | 5/5.5 (-1) | 4,174 (+5%) | 12mo | $749,900 | $180 | 60 |
| 624 Windy Ridge Ln | 0.33mi | 5/4.5 (-1) | 4,146 (+5%) | 17mo | $780,000 | $188 | 56 |
| 775 Lazy Brooke Dr | 0.20mi | 5/4.0 (-1) | 4,192 (+6%) | 20mo | $833,333 | $199 | 56 |
| 914 Pleasant View Dr | 0.50mi | 5/4.0 (-1) | 4,144 (+5%) | 8mo | $774,900 | $187 | 53 |
| 714 Calm Crest Dr | 0.40mi | 5/4.0 (-1) | 4,065 (+3%) | 18mo | $1,099,000 | $270 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-181,760
- Equity at exit
- $111,678
- IRR
- -20.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.10×
- Total profit
- $-231,548
- Equity at exit
- $64,760
Cash invested: $209,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75087
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 1011
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,694 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,928
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,174 /mo · $14,083/yr
- Insurance
- −$312
- HOA
- −$58
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,196
- Net cashflow
- $-973
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-549 | -5% $-761 | +0% $-973 | +5% $-1,185 | +10% $-1,397 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,423 | -5% $-1,198 | +0% $-973 | +5% $-748 | +10% $-523 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-596 | -0.5pp $-783 | base $-973 | +0.5pp $-1,167 | +1.0pp $-1,365 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $187,250
- Closing costs
- $22,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 917 Pleasant View Dr Rockwall, TX | 6.0 | 4.5 | 4192 | $3,595 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3526 Ridgecross Dr Rockwall, TX | 5.0 | 4.5 | 3485 | $7,200 | $2.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 545 Goose Lake Dr Rockwall, TX | 5.0 | 5.5 | 4002 | $4,500 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 7132 Hunt Ln Rockwall, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2910 | $8,750 | $3.01 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 7132 Hunt Ln Unit 1019551P Rockwall, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2906 | $15,524 | $5.34 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $58 · $696/yr
- Likely covers
- gym
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $749,000 Active 283 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $749,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $749,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $749,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $749,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $749,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $749,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $749,000 Active 271 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $749,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $749,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $749,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $749,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $749,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $749,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $749,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $749,000 672-char remark
Show marketing remark (672 chars)
Priced to sell!!! Motivated seller! Home build sold as is! Stunning 6 bedroom, 5 bath home with nearly 4,000 sq. ft. in highly rated Rockwall ISD. Open floor plan with soaring ceilings and abundant natural light. The living area features a fireplace and a wall of massive sliding doors that open to the backyard, creating seamless indoor-outdoor living. The kitchen offers quartz countertops, a large California island, and sleek black cabinetry. Floor plan includes two living areas, game room, media room, and a converted third-car garage perfect for an office or gym. Spacious primary suite with spa-style bath. Covered patio and large backyard ideal for entertaining.
-
2026-03-11price $765,000 672-char remark
Show marketing remark (672 chars)
Priced to sell!!! Motivated seller! Home build sold as is! Stunning 6 bedroom, 5 bath home with nearly 4,000 sq. ft. in highly rated Rockwall ISD. Open floor plan with soaring ceilings and abundant natural light. The living area features a fireplace and a wall of massive sliding doors that open to the backyard, creating seamless indoor-outdoor living. The kitchen offers quartz countertops, a large California island, and sleek black cabinetry. Floor plan includes two living areas, game room, media room, and a converted third-car garage perfect for an office or gym. Spacious primary suite with spa-style bath. Covered patio and large backyard ideal for entertaining.
-
2026-01-30price $785,000 672-char remark
Show marketing remark (672 chars)
Priced to sell!!! Motivated seller! Home build sold as is! Stunning 6 bedroom, 5 bath home with nearly 4,000 sq. ft. in highly rated Rockwall ISD. Open floor plan with soaring ceilings and abundant natural light. The living area features a fireplace and a wall of massive sliding doors that open to the backyard, creating seamless indoor-outdoor living. The kitchen offers quartz countertops, a large California island, and sleek black cabinetry. Floor plan includes two living areas, game room, media room, and a converted third-car garage perfect for an office or gym. Spacious primary suite with spa-style bath. Covered patio and large backyard ideal for entertaining.
-
2025-11-21price $799,000 672-char remark
Show marketing remark (672 chars)
Priced to sell!!! Motivated seller! Home build sold as is! Stunning 6 bedroom, 5 bath home with nearly 4,000 sq. ft. in highly rated Rockwall ISD. Open floor plan with soaring ceilings and abundant natural light. The living area features a fireplace and a wall of massive sliding doors that open to the backyard, creating seamless indoor-outdoor living. The kitchen offers quartz countertops, a large California island, and sleek black cabinetry. Floor plan includes two living areas, game room, media room, and a converted third-car garage perfect for an office or gym. Spacious primary suite with spa-style bath. Covered patio and large backyard ideal for entertaining.
-
2025-11-05price $825,000 672-char remark
Show marketing remark (672 chars)
Priced to sell!!! Motivated seller! Home build sold as is! Stunning 6 bedroom, 5 bath home with nearly 4,000 sq. ft. in highly rated Rockwall ISD. Open floor plan with soaring ceilings and abundant natural light. The living area features a fireplace and a wall of massive sliding doors that open to the backyard, creating seamless indoor-outdoor living. The kitchen offers quartz countertops, a large California island, and sleek black cabinetry. Floor plan includes two living areas, game room, media room, and a converted third-car garage perfect for an office or gym. Spacious primary suite with spa-style bath. Covered patio and large backyard ideal for entertaining.
-
2025-09-11$860,000 Active 672-char remark
Show marketing remark (672 chars)
Priced to sell!!! Motivated seller! Home build sold as is! Stunning 6 bedroom, 5 bath home with nearly 4,000 sq. ft. in highly rated Rockwall ISD. Open floor plan with soaring ceilings and abundant natural light. The living area features a fireplace and a wall of massive sliding doors that open to the backyard, creating seamless indoor-outdoor living. The kitchen offers quartz countertops, a large California island, and sleek black cabinetry. Floor plan includes two living areas, game room, media room, and a converted third-car garage perfect for an office or gym. Spacious primary suite with spa-style bath. Covered patio and large backyard ideal for entertaining.
-
2022-02-11soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $14,083 · $1,174/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $14,083 · $1,174/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $68,330
- − Mortgage interest
- −$41,956
- − Property taxes
- −$14,083
- − Insurance
- −$3,745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,466
- − Management
- −$5,466
- − HOA
- −$696
- − Depreciation
- −$21,789
- Taxable loss
- −$24,871
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,969
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,708/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rockwall ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4837650
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $88,800
- Composite
- 49.82/100
- National rank
- #1952
- State rank
- #83 of 826 in TX
Livability — Rockwall
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #86
- US rank
- #3043
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rockwall, TX
- County
- Rockwall County · 132,930 people
- City population
- 84,191
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,326
- Household income
- $129,484
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 646.0
Population outlook (Rockwall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 118,396 people
- By 2030
- 132,209 · +11.7%
- By 2040
- 159,538 · +34.7%
- By 2050
- 185,299 · +56.5%
- By 2075
- 243,489 · +105.7%
- By 2100
- 277,814 · +134.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12% Black 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rockwall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.1% · R 70.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.3pp toward D · 2008: -46.2pp · 2024: -40.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.9 2020: R+37.7 2016: R+47.5 2012: R+53.3 2008: R+46.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -188.34%
- Current HPI
- 208.2221
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.23%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-12.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $749,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $765,000 NTREIS
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $785,000 NTREIS
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $799,000 NTREIS
- 2025-11-05 Price Changed $825,000 NTREIS
- 2025-09-11 Listed $860,000 NTREIS
- 2022-02-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+78.7%/yrLatest (2025): $14,083 · -4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…