425 6th Ave W · Floodwood, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +8.2/10.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Over 2,100 sq ft of one-level living at an affordable price point! This spacious 4 bedroom, 3 bathroom home offers a layout that gives everyone room to spread out, featuring both a living room and separate family room plus a dedicated office/den perfect for working from home, hobbies, or extra flex space. The private primary suite is thoughtfully separated from the additional bedrooms, while the open-concept main living area makes everyday living and entertaining easy. You’ll appreciate the low-maintenance yard and convenient location along the corridor between Grand Rapids and Duluth. If you’ve been searching for space, functionality, and value all in one package—this is
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 2002
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Conventional financing noted
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage (approx. 18 x 22)
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas; 100 amp electric service
- Home design: Residential property; Single-story (one level); Manufactured home
- Construction: Slab foundation; Foundation area about 2,128; Above-grade living area about 2,128
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Paved street frontage; Publicly maintained road access; Lot roughly 50 x 125 (0.14 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms (includes a main floor full bath)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open kitchen/dining layout; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (in hall)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $185 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#502 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Floodwood Public School District (rural): math 40% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #334 of 467 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (6.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.88%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $176,175
- List price
- $134,900
- Delta
- -23.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11867 Floodwood Rd | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 1,850 (-13%) | 5mo | $300,000 | $162 | 54 |
| 103 E Railroad St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,844 (-13%) | 13mo | $179,000 | $97 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $54,400
- Equity at exit
- $88,666
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.97×
- Total profit
- $149,979
- Equity at exit
- $164,237
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55736
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,430 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,172/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $185
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $262 | -5% $223 | +0% $185 | +5% $147 | +10% $109 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $72 | -5% $129 | +0% $185 | +5% $242 | +10% $298 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $253 | -0.5pp $219 | base $185 | +0.5pp $150 | +1.0pp $115 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-15price $144,900 738-char remark
-
2026-05-10$149,900 Active 738-char remark
-
2026-05-06historical $149,900 738-char remark
-
2024-08-22price $134,900
-
2024-08-22price $134,900
-
2024-08-15$139,900 Active
-
2024-08-13historical
-
2021-12-06soldstatus $129,000
-
2021-11-29soldstatus $129,000 Sold
-
2021-11-29soldstatus $129,000
-
2021-10-25status Pending
-
2021-10-22$124,900 Active
-
2021-10-22$124,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,172 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,172 · $181/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,161
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$2,172
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,373
- − Management
- −$1,373
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $88
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$21
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,201/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Floodwood Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2712210
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,487
- Composite
- 39.74/100
- National rank
- #7994
- State rank
- #334 of 467 in MN
Livability — Floodwood
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #502
- US rank
- #12027
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Floodwood, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,326
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,411 people
- By 2030
- 203,234 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,520 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 200,853 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 200,943 · -0.7%
- By 2100
- 192,058 · -5.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 9% Romanian 8% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.45%
- Current HPI
- 222.9135
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+8.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $134,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $144,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-10 Listed $149,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Coming Soon $149,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-22 Price Changed $134,900 RAOR
- 2024-08-22 Price Changed $134,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-15 Listed $139,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-13 Coming Soon — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $129,000 Public Records
- 2021-11-29 Sold (MLS) $129,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-29 Sold (MLS) $129,000 LSAR
- 2021-10-25 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-22 Listed $124,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-22 Listed $124,900 LSAR
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2026): $2,172 · +33.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…