3800 Bradford #293 · La Verne, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 17 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION. 55+ COMMUNITY LIVING. . Welcome to Twin Oaks living. Seller is motivated and waiting for you to make this your home. This two bedroom and two bath home is the perfect space for you. Double wide home with carport parking and custom shed for storage. Appliances that are within the home stay, including washer & dryer. The carport entry opens into your own laundry room. the kitchen has a movable island that will remain with the property and opens to a large family room. The front door is located off a large front patio and opens into a expansive family/dinning area. There is a built in hutch that allows for abundant storage and is waiting for you to add your personal touches. Carpet & living areas have been freshly cleaned prior to listing. Master bath includes a large relaxing tub and shower while the second bath offers a shower. The front porch is perfect for am coffee at an already present table. The park offers a wide variety of amenities including but not limited to a gym, pool, spa, poker room, community hall with kitchen and Library. The park provides and plans monthly activities as well to keep the socialization and vitality of its residents thriving. This park is located near freeway access and all the local shopping including the closeness of downtown La Verne and its plethora events.
Key facts
- Large family room
- Built in hutch
- Carport parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $195k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $172k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 3.0% in La Verne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#110 in CA, #3,858 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, commute A; Watch: cost of living F, health & safety F.
- Bonita Unified (suburban): math 59% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #151 of 1,400 in CA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($104k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.95%
- DSCR
- 2.47
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $228,286
- List price
- $195,000
- Delta
- -14.58%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3800 Bradford St #314 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,736 (+3%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $130 | 91 |
| 3800 Bradford St #93 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,800 (+7%) | 2mo | $269,000 | $149 | 86 |
| 3800 Bradford St #182 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,560 (-7%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $167 | 85 |
| 3800 Bradford #233 | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,576 (-6%) | 2mo | $399,000 | $253 | 73 |
| 3945 Bradford #39 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,488 (-11%) | 5mo | $162,000 | $109 | 72 |
| 3800 Bradford #26 | 0.00mi | 2/3.0 | 1,440 (-14%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $191 | 70 |
| 3945 Bradford #111 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-14%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $108 | 70 |
| 3800 Bradford St #311 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-14%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $194 | 69 |
| 3800 Bradford St #265 | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-14%) | 3mo | $275,000 | $191 | 67 |
| 4095 Fruit St #608 | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 | 1,596 (-5%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $116 | 65 |
| 4095 Fruit St #603 | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 | 1,512 (-10%) | 5mo | $300,000 | $198 | 57 |
| 4095 Fruit St #324 | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-14%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $94 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $61,636
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- 34.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.07×
- Total profit
- $167,510
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 91750
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,353 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $546/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$704
- Net cashflow
- $1,499
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3816 Verdana Cir La Verne, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1243 | $3,300 | $2.65 | 18d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 3836 Verdana Cir La Verne, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1243 | $3,500 | $2.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3748 Verdana Cir La Verne, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1493 | $4,500 | $3.01 | 15d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2577 Sycamore Dr La Verne, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,895 | $2.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2644 Sycamore Dr La Verne, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1825 | $4,100 | $2.25 | 1d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 235 W Grove St Pomona, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $2,576 | $3.22 | 1d | 10 | 0.66mi |
| 2063 Evergreen St La Verne, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $3,200 | $2.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2002 Canopy Ln La Verne, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1759 | $3,450 | $1.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3636 Sumner Ave #210 Pomona, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $2,400 | $1.86 | 6d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2935 Gayridge St Pomona, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1507 | $3,595 | $2.39 | 1d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2958 Gramercy St Pomona, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $3,350 | $2.46 | 6d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3807 Abbey Way La Verne, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1159 | $3,150 | $2.72 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1623 Heather Dr La Verne, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1121 | $3,250 | $2.90 | 18d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1090 Foothill Blvd Claremont, CA | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2231 | $3,850 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1051 Amador St Claremont, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $4,200 | $2.86 | 1d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2109 N White Ave La Verne, CA | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1911 | $3,975 | $2.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2728 Crozier Ct Pomona, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1497 | $3,295 | $2.20 | 1d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2771 N Garey Ave Pomona, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1065 | $2,930 | $2.75 | 1d | 8 | 1.26mi |
| 2707 Erebus Ct Pomona, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1497 | $3,400 | $2.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2892 Cedar Ln Pomona, CA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1818 | $3,300 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 795 Hazel Way Pomona, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1401 | $3,100 | $2.21 | 10d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $195,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $195,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $195,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $195,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $195,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $195,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $195,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $195,000 1354-char remark
Show marketing remark (1354 chars)
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION. 55+ COMMUNITY LIVING. . Welcome to Twin Oaks living. Seller is motivated and waiting for you to make this your home. This two bedroom and two bath home is the perfect space for you. Double wide home with carport parking and custom shed for storage. Appliances that are within the home stay, including washer & dryer. The carport entry opens into your own laundry room. the kitchen has a movable island that will remain with the property and opens to a large family room. The front door is located off a large front patio and opens into a expansive family/dinning area. There is a built in hutch that allows for abundant storage and is waiting for you to add your personal touches. Carpet & living areas have been freshly cleaned prior to listing. Master bath includes a large relaxing tub and shower while the second bath offers a shower. The front porch is perfect for am coffee at an already present table. The park offers a wide variety of amenities including but not limited to a gym, pool, spa, poker room, community hall with kitchen and Library. The park provides and plans monthly activities as well to keep the socialization and vitality of its residents thriving. This park is located near freeway access and all the local shopping including the closeness of downtown La Verne and its plethora events.
-
2026-02-12$200,000 Active 1354-char remark
Show marketing remark (1354 chars)
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION. 55+ COMMUNITY LIVING. . Welcome to Twin Oaks living. Seller is motivated and waiting for you to make this your home. This two bedroom and two bath home is the perfect space for you. Double wide home with carport parking and custom shed for storage. Appliances that are within the home stay, including washer & dryer. The carport entry opens into your own laundry room. the kitchen has a movable island that will remain with the property and opens to a large family room. The front door is located off a large front patio and opens into a expansive family/dinning area. There is a built in hutch that allows for abundant storage and is waiting for you to add your personal touches. Carpet & living areas have been freshly cleaned prior to listing. Master bath includes a large relaxing tub and shower while the second bath offers a shower. The front porch is perfect for am coffee at an already present table. The park offers a wide variety of amenities including but not limited to a gym, pool, spa, poker room, community hall with kitchen and Library. The park provides and plans monthly activities as well to keep the socialization and vitality of its residents thriving. This park is located near freeway access and all the local shopping including the closeness of downtown La Verne and its plethora events.
-
2026-02-11historical
-
2026-01-30status Active
-
2025-12-16status Pending Sale
-
2025-10-06$200,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $546 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,482 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- +$936/yr (+$78/mo · 171.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 17 unhealthy d/yr today · 21 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,230
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$546
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,218
- − Management
- −$3,218
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable income
- $15,677
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,763
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,228/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This two-bedroom, two-bath manufactured home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — outdated and in need of replacement
- Minor exterior siding — some discoloration
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both replace carpeted flooring — new flooring improves aesthetics and comfort
- Both replace kitchen cabinets — new cabinets modernize the kitchen and improve functionality
- Both replace bathroom fixtures — new fixtures modernize the bathrooms and improve functionality
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · outdated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| exterior siding · some discoloration | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both replace carpeted flooring — new flooring improves aesthetics and comfort ↑
- Both replace kitchen cabinets — new cabinets modernize the kitchen and improve functionality ↑
- Both replace bathroom fixtures — new fixtures modernize the bathrooms and improve functionality ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bonita Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0605610
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $76,196
- Composite
- 58.71/100
- National rank
- #2001
- State rank
- #151 of 1400 in CA
Livability — La Verne
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #110
- US rank
- #3858
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- La Verne, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 32,692
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,692
- Household income
- $104,195
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 872.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 20% Asian 10% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 12% Chinese 3% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -729.79%
- Current HPI
- 373.7761
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.35%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-2.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $195,000 CRMLS
- 2026-02-12 Listed $200,000 CRMLS
- 2026-02-11 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-01-30 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2025-12-16 Pending — CRMLS
- 2025-10-06 Listed $200,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $546 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…