529 W Beech St St · Sullivan, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$67,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Built 1945
- Listed 2 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential; 2 stories
- Construction: Residential construction
- Exterior features: Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($995 rent vs $68k).
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 4.5% in Sullivan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#167 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Southwest School Corporation (rural): math 40% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #137 of 301 in IN (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sullivan Elementary School (math 43% / reading 40%, grade F, #478 of 994 statewide, top 49%, 663 students, 50% FRL); Sullivan Middle School (math 39% / reading 45%, grade D-, #102 of 330 statewide, top 32%, 298 students, 49% FRL); Sullivan High School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #197 of 369 statewide, top 57%, 499 students, 46% FRL).
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $469 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sullivan County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.97%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $99,792
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 809 N Court St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 984 (-2%) | 3mo | $50,000 | $51 | 64 |
| 602 N Broad St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 1,004 (-0%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $110 | 61 |
| 338 Indiana Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.5 | 1,110 (+10%) | 5mo | $169,900 | $153 | 59 |
| 302 S Court St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 930 (-8%) | 2mo | $35,894 | $39 | 53 |
| 610 N Broad St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 928 (-8%) | 3mo | $74,000 | $80 | 51 |
| 329 S Court St | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 | 1,083 (+7%) | 10mo | $107,500 | $99 | 45 |
| 608 N State St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,055 (+5%) | 23mo | $18,500 | $18 | 36 |
| 460 S Section St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 1,140 (+13%) | 12mo | $125,000 | $110 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $7,164
- Equity at exit
- $10,124
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $29,727
- Equity at exit
- $5,871
Cash invested: $19,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47882
- Home prices YoY
- -11.1%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $995 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$356
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,404/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $285
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,975
- Closing costs
- $2,037
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 564 S Court St Sullivan, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 978 | $995 | $1.02 | 15d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 564 S Court St Sullivan, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 978 | $995 | $1.02 | 12d | 1 | 0.81mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $67,900 Pending 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$67,900 Active
-
2020-05-22$45,000
-
2019-05-14$42,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,404 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,404 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,404
- − Insurance
- −$340
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$955
- − Management
- −$955
- − Depreciation
- −$1,975
- Taxable income
- $2,507
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$602
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,814/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southwest School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1810860
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,624
- Composite
- 34.71/100
- National rank
- #5136
- State rank
- #137 of 301 in IN
Livability — Sullivan
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #7960
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sullivan, IN
- City population
- 8,494
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,494
Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,313 people
- By 2030
- 19,908 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 19,009 · -6.4%
- By 2050
- 17,972 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 14,929 · -26.5%
- By 2100
- 11,391 · -43.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.7) · D 22.8% · R 75.5% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -52.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -52.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.7 2020: R+50.5 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.79%
- Current HPI
- 190.5334
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+58.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $67,900 THAAR
- 2020-05-22 Listed $45,000 THAAR
- 2019-05-14 Listed $42,900 THAAR
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2024): $1,404 · +34.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…