2728 Algonquin Pkwy · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.2/30.0
- ARV discount +10.3/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$127,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bigger than it looks! 4 Bedrooms- 1 BR with walk in closet, laundry area has extra cabinets for storage. Kitchen has shelved pantry, fenced rear yard and patio. Storage area on rear of house. Per Seller: Fresh interior paint thru-out Central air 2019, newer replacement windows. * 24 hour response time* Sold As Is
Key facts
- 5,084 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1951
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Algonquin Place subdivision
- HOA & community: No monthly maintenance or association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Single family ranch; One story
- Construction: Built in 1951; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen located on the first floor
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total, all on the first floor; Primary bedroom on the first floor
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; 5 closets; No basement; Living room
- Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $127k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $127k).
- Recommended offer: $125k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 91 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($878 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $95k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.58%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $135,464
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2629 Olive St | 0.30mi | 4/1.0 | 1,120 (-2%) | 2mo | $98,000 | $88 | 80 |
| 2315 S 37th St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,204 (+5%) | 2mo | $159,000 | $132 | 63 |
| 1504 Weaver Ct | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 | 1,104 (-4%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $95 | 59 |
| 2308 Allston Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,095 (-5%) | 8mo | $60,000 | $55 | 55 |
| 2136 W Gaulbert Ave | 0.74mi | 4/1.5 | 1,210 (+5%) | 6mo | $92,000 | $76 | 50 |
| 1419 S 28th St | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 | 1,203 (+5%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $83 | 48 |
| 2304 Ratcliffe Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,015 (-12%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $118 | 46 |
| 1519 S 32nd St | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 | 1,272 (+11%) | 10mo | $156,000 | $123 | 46 |
| 1422 S 28th St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,081 (-6%) | 8mo | $50,000 | $46 | 45 |
| 2019 S 22nd St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,080 (-6%) | 8mo | $172,000 | $159 | 43 |
| 2106 Ratcliffe Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,012 (-12%) | 2mo | $159,900 | $158 | 42 |
| 3709 Stratton Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,296 (+13%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $131 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.66×
- Total profit
- $94,608
- Equity at exit
- $114,412
- IRR
- 30.4%
- Equity multiple
- 8.95×
- Total profit
- $282,629
- Equity at exit
- $246,733
Cash invested: $35,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40210
- Home prices YoY
- 12.1%
- Rents YoY
- 8.1%
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,396 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$666
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,197/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $284
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $356 | -5% $320 | +0% $284 | +5% $248 | +10% $212 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $174 | -5% $229 | +0% $284 | +5% $339 | +10% $394 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $348 | -0.5pp $316 | base $284 | +0.5pp $251 | +1.0pp $217 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,750
- Closing costs
- $3,810
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3313 Penway Ave Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $1,645 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2629 Olive St Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,500 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1622 Beech St Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,445 | $1.30 | 16d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1439 Beech St Apt 1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $820 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1804 Russell Lee Dr Louisville, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 810 | $1,304 | $1.61 | 2d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2311 Plantation Dr Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 16d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1339 S 28th St Unit 3 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,175 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1410 Standard Village Cir Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $900 | $0.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2913 Dumesnil St Apt 3 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $740 | $0.67 | 11d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1731 Sonne Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,300 | $1.29 | 16d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3611 Regatta Way Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1035 | $1,450 | $1.40 | 16d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3215 Virginia Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $924 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2223 Saint Louis Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,175 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1155 S 28th St Unit 4 Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $1,350 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2706 Hale Ave Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1115 S 32nd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1393 | $1,275 | $0.92 | 22d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1115 S 32nd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1393 | $1,275 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1708 W Gaulbert Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $975 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1714 W Hill St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,045 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3514 Grand Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1450 | $1,295 | $0.89 | 22d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2912 Greenwood Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $1,150 | $0.84 | 16d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2708 Greenwood Ave Apt 1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2825 Greenwood Ave #4 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2821 Greenwood Ave #1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,300 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3122 W Kentucky St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2710 W Kentucky St Apt 2 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,300 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2711 W Kentucky St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1155 | $1,100 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $127,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $127,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $127,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $127,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $127,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $130,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$130,000 Active
-
2024-11-28historical $1,450
-
2024-11-16price $1,450
-
2024-11-12price $1,650
-
2024-10-04price $1,700
-
2024-08-18$1,600
-
2024-06-25soldstatus $95,000 Closed 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Bigger than it looks! 4 Bedrooms- 1 BR with walk in closet, laundry area has extra cabinets for storage. Kitchen has shelved pantry, fenced rear yard and patio. Storage area on rear of house. Per Seller: Fresh interior paint thru-out Central air 2019, newer replacement windows. * 24 hour response time* Sold As Is
-
2024-06-06status Pending 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Bigger than it looks! 4 Bedrooms- 1 BR with walk in closet, laundry area has extra cabinets for storage. Kitchen has shelved pantry, fenced rear yard and patio. Storage area on rear of house. Per Seller: Fresh interior paint thru-out Central air 2019, newer replacement windows. * 24 hour response time* Sold As Is
-
2024-06-02$110,000 Active 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Bigger than it looks! 4 Bedrooms- 1 BR with walk in closet, laundry area has extra cabinets for storage. Kitchen has shelved pantry, fenced rear yard and patio. Storage area on rear of house. Per Seller: Fresh interior paint thru-out Central air 2019, newer replacement windows. * 24 hour response time* Sold As Is
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,197 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,197 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,748
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,114
- − Property taxes
- −$1,197
- − Insurance
- −$635
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,340
- − Management
- −$1,340
- − Depreciation
- −$3,695
- Taxable income
- $1,427
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$343
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,064/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,518
- Household income
- $35,347
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 815.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 84% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 28.45%
- Current HPI
- 264.0146
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.05%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+18.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $130,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2024-11-28 Rental Removed $1,450 BUILDIUM
- 2024-11-16 Price Changed $1,450 BUILDIUM
- 2024-11-12 Price Changed $1,650 BUILDIUM
- 2024-10-04 Price Changed $1,700 BUILDIUM
- 2024-08-18 Listed for Rent $1,600 BUILDIUM
- 2024-06-25 Sold (MLS) $95,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2024-06-06 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2024-06-02 Listed $110,000 Metro Search MLS
Property tax history
+9.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,197 · +54.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…