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4365 Randolph Ave
C- Composite 54.27
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

4365 Randolph Ave · New Orleans, LA 70122
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,500 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 355 Days on market
Built 2010 $150/sqft · 34% below area Est $306k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Charming cottage-style home in the highly sought-after Gentility Area is move in ready very warm and inviting atmosphere ! Offers 4 bedrooms 2 full bath , spacious living room , large kitchen with plenty of cabinets great for storage , lots of natural light throughout out the home , central & heat , super cute covered front porch area to sip on your morning coffee or tea. Primary Suite is spacious in size with a on-suite bathroom with a large bathroom with tub/shower combo, Ample off-street parking a must see to appreciate ! This home is has easy access to I-10, Fairgrounds, Downtown, City Park, Bayou St John, LSU Dentistry and just a 9 min ride to the lake and 14 min ride to downtown plus you will be just a few steps away from Mirabeau water garden. Located in a X Flood zone.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Near fairgrounds
  • Near downtown

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHAMPLE OFF-STREET PARKINGEASY ACCESS TO I-10NEAR FAIRGROUNDSNEAR DOWNTOWNNEAR CITY PARK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (5.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $198k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
  • Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 332 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,127/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 2150% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 355 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $41k; list at $225k implies a 449% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $198,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 355 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.44%
Cash-on-cash
4.10%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$306,384
List price
$225,000
Delta
-26.56%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4301 Jeanne Marie Pl 0.20mi 4/2.0 1,447 (-4%) 1mo $235,000 $162 84
1520 Virginia Marie St 0.24mi 4/2.0 1,472 (-2%) 5mo $160,000 $109 82
4417 Duplessis St 0.11mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,436 (-4%) 3mo $205,000 $143 81
4125 Duplessis St 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,518 (+1%) 1mo $272,000 $179 80
4305 St Bernard Ave 0.18mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,409 (-6%) 5mo $152,000 $108 72
4922 Saint Bernard Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,547 (+3%) 6mo $315,000 $204 67
4540 Jeanne Marie Pl 0.18mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,632 (+9%) 6mo $345,000 $211 65
1482 Wakefield Pl 0.24mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,685 (+12%) 4mo $293,814 $174 58
4701 New Orleans St 0.71mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,512 (+1%) 2mo $305,000 $202 57
1310 Filmore Ave 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,696 (+13%) 2mo $290,000 $171 46
1508 Crescent Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,682 (+12%) 3mo $375,000 $223 39
1336 Sere St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,311 (-13%) 2mo $90,000 $69 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.2%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-33,206
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-12.7%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-40,737
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70122

Rents YoY
-0.6%
Active inventory
332
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,127 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$191 /mo · $2,295/yr
Insurance
$94
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$447
Net cashflow
$149

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,938
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 39 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4229 Buchanan St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1235 $2,250 $1.82 23d 1 0.21mi
1486 Mandolin St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1497 $1,900 $1.27 3d 1 0.22mi
4727 Saint Bernard Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 2000 $2,000 $1.00 16d 1 0.25mi
4111 Jumonville St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.5 1543 $2,300 $1.49 10d 1 0.27mi
5024 Paris Ave New Orleans, LA 4.0 3.0 2116 $3,000 $1.42 16d 1 0.47mi
4815 Warrington Dr New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1652 $2,150 $1.30 16d 1 0.69mi
3624 Havana St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1388 $1,875 $1.35 16d 1 0.78mi
3607 Havana St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1693 $1,488 $0.88 17d 1 0.82mi
4736 Saint Anthony Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 16d 1 0.88mi
5151 Saint Anthony Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,795 $1.50 16d 1 1.03mi
1901 Gentilly Blvd New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.5 2205 $4,000 $1.81 43d 1 1.07mi
3702 Trafalgar St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1428 $2,350 $1.65 16d 1 1.08mi
5900 Chatham Dr New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1864 $2,500 $1.34 3d 1 1.08mi
5322 Saint Anthony Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1192 $2,000 $1.68 16d 1 1.10mi
5716 Warrington Dr New Orleans, LA 4.0 3.0 1560 $2,000 $1.28 17d 1 1.10mi
3021 Republic St New Orleans, LA 4.0 2.0 1125 $2,200 $1.96 23d 1 1.11mi
3515 Saint Anthony Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1366 $2,500 $1.83 23d 1 1.13mi
2910 Bruxelles St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1074 $1,600 $1.49 3d 1 1.16mi
4618 Marigny St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1320 $1,900 $1.44 23d 1 1.25mi
3907 Elysian Fields Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1652 $3,000 $1.82 23d 1 1.26mi
5546 Pasteur Blvd Unit A New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 23d 1 1.30mi
2338 40 Annette St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,385 $1.20 20d 1 1.37mi
1818 Paul Morphy St Unit B New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1065 $1,800 $1.69 23d 1 1.40mi
1903 Rosary Dr New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,800 $1.20 23d 1 1.40mi
5723 Pasteur Blvd New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,700 $1.48 17d 1 1.40mi
5718 Vermillion Blvd Unit A New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 23d 1 1.41mi
1933 Industry St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,595 $1.14 16d 1 1.43mi
5923 General Haig St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.5 2057 $2,800 $1.36 43d 1 1.43mi
2310 George Nick Connor Dr New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,600 $1.52 23d 1 1.44mi
3327 Elysian Fields Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 23d 1 1.44mi
6838 Orleans Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1568 $2,400 $1.53 23d 1 1.45mi
6010 Pasteur Blvd New Orleans, LA 4.0 3.0 2010 $2,600 $1.29 17d 1 1.47mi
3443 Esplanade Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0–2.0 997 $2,500 $2.51 2d 30 1.47mi
6079 Saint Anthony Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,400 $1.71 16d 1 1.47mi
2817 Annette St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 23d 1 1.48mi
1940 Allen Toussaint Blvd New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,550 $1.03 11d 1 1.48mi
1940 Allen Toussaint Blvd Unit 1940 New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,600 $1.07 23d 1 1.48mi
6431 Marshal Foch St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,100 $1.31 2d 1 1.48mi
6009 Pasteur Blvd New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,785 $1.43 23d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $225,000 Active 355 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $225,000 Active 354 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $225,000 Active 353 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $225,000 Active 352 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $225,000 Active 350 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $225,000 Active 347 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $225,000 Active 346 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $225,000 Active 345 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $225,000 Active 344 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $225,000 Active 341 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $225,000 Active 340 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $225,000 Active 339 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $225,000 Active 338 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 337 DOM
  15. 2025-06-28
    listed $225,000 Active 796-char remark
    Show marketing remark (801 chars)

    This Charming cottage-style home in the highly sought-after Gentility Area is move in ready very warm and inviting atmosphere ! Offers 4 bedrooms 2 full bath , spacious living room , large kitchen with plenty of cabinets great for storage , lots of natural light throughout out the home , central & heat , super cute covered front porch area to sip on your morning coffee or tea. Primary Suite is spacious in size with a on-suite bathroom with a large bathroom with tub/shower combo, Ample off-street parking a must see to appreciate ! This home is has easy access to I-10, Fairgrounds, Downtown, City Park, Bayou St John, LSU Dentistry and just a 9 min ride to the lake and 14 min ride to downtown plus you will be just a few steps away from Mirabeau water garden. Located in a X Flood zone.

  16. 2025-06-28
    listed $225,000 Active 801-char remark
    Show marketing remark (801 chars)

    This Charming cottage-style home in the highly sought-after Gentility Area is move in ready very warm and inviting atmosphere ! Offers 4 bedrooms 2 full bath , spacious living room , large kitchen with plenty of cabinets great for storage , lots of natural light throughout out the home , central & heat , super cute covered front porch area to sip on your morning coffee or tea. Primary Suite is spacious in size with a on-suite bathroom with a large bathroom with tub/shower combo, Ample off-street parking a must see to appreciate ! This home is has easy access to I-10, Fairgrounds, Downtown, City Park, Bayou St John, LSU Dentistry and just a 9 min ride to the lake and 14 min ride to downtown plus you will be just a few steps away from Mirabeau water garden. Located in a X Flood zone.

  17. 2025-06-28
    listed $225,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (801 chars)

    This Charming cottage-style home in the highly sought-after Gentility Area is move in ready very warm and inviting atmosphere ! Offers 4 bedrooms 2 full bath , spacious living room , large kitchen with plenty of cabinets great for storage , lots of natural light throughout out the home , central & heat , super cute covered front porch area to sip on your morning coffee or tea. Primary Suite is spacious in size with a on-suite bathroom with a large bathroom with tub/shower combo, Ample off-street parking a must see to appreciate ! This home is has easy access to I-10, Fairgrounds, Downtown, City Park, Bayou St John, LSU Dentistry and just a 9 min ride to the lake and 14 min ride to downtown plus you will be just a few steps away from Mirabeau water garden. Located in a X Flood zone.

  18. 2008-04-04
    soldstatus $41,000
  19. 2008-01-23
    listed $45,000
  20. 2008-01-23
    listed $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,295 · $191/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,295 · $191/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,519
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$2,295
− Insurance
−$1,922
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,042
− Management
−$2,042
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$1,930
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$463
After-tax cash flow
$2,247/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orleans Parish
NCES district ID
2201170
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -52.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -46.00%
Median HH income
$37,011
Composite
15.78/100
National rank
#9271
State rank
#69 of 98 in LA

Livability — New Orleans

Score
81/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1383

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime C- Employment D Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Orleans, LA
County
Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
City population
338,817
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
Population (ZIP)
35,253
Household income
$49,455
Rent vs Own
40.5% rent · 59.5% own
Severe rent burden
2150.0

Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
513,025 people
By 2030
575,781 · +12.2%
By 2040
700,174 · +36.5%
By 2050
826,541 · +61.1%
By 2075
1,123,374 · +119.0%
By 2100
1,355,609 · +164.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 18% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orleans

2024 margin
Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -222.37%
Current HPI
231.9921
Rent YoY
▼ -0.61%
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+400.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2025-06-28 Listed $225,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-06-28 Listed $225,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-06-28 Listed $225,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2008-04-04 Sold (MLS) $41,000 GSREIN
  • 2008-01-23 Listed $45,000 GSREIN
  • 2008-01-23 Listed $45,000 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,295 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…