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3314 S Kelley Ave
A- Composite 80.57
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0

$69,900

3314 S Kelley Ave · Oklahoma City, OK 73129
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 114 Days on market
Built 1925 6,499 sqft lot $56/sqft · 37% below area Est $112k · 37% under ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits with this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home featuring 1,248 square feet of comfortable living space. The spacious layout offers flexibility for rental income, renovation, or long-term investment. Whether you’re expanding your portfolio or searching for your next project, this property delivers potential and value.

Key facts

  • 6,499 sq ft lot
  • Built 1925
  • Listed 113 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $578 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 3.7% in Oklahoma City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in OK, #1,635 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F.
  • Oklahoma City (urban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #254 of 270 in OK (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
  • Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,609 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.87%
Cap rate
16.21%
Cash-on-cash
35.41%
DSCR
2.58
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$111,562
List price
$69,900
Delta
-37.34%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
829 SE 32nd St 0.06mi 3/1.5 1,200 (-4%) 8mo $97,910 $82 83
4301 S Lindsay Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,244 (-0%) 3mo $300,000 $241 66
1311 SE 39th St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,209 (-3%) 2mo $167,000 $138 66
810 SE Binkley St 0.10mi 3/1.5 1,061 (-15%) 5mo $100,000 $94 64
2609 S Lindsay Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,257 (+1%) 5mo $180,000 $143 64
628 SE 26th St 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,257 (+1%) 12mo $179,900 $143 59
536 SE 26th Cir 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,301 (+4%) 2mo $190,000 $146 58
723 SE 44th St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-4%) 8mo $115,000 $96 54
628 SE 38th St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,100 (-12%) 7mo $200,000 $182 52
1401 SE 41st St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,092 (-12%) 3mo $100,000 $92 46
132 SE 33rd St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,191 (-5%) 13mo $93,000 $78 42
235 SE 40th St 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,428 (+14%) 7mo $47,500 $33 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.1%
Equity multiple
3.08×
Total profit
$40,687
Equity at exit
$26,619
10-year hold
IRR
40.3%
Equity multiple
6.07×
Total profit
$99,225
Equity at exit
$37,613

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73129

Home prices YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
84
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,306 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $705/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$578

Break-even live

Break-even rent $575
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $617 -5% $597 +0% $578 +5% $558 +10% $538
Rent -10% $474 -5% $526 +0% $578 +5% $629 +10% $681
Rate -1.0pp $613 -0.5pp $595 base $578 +0.5pp $559 +1.0pp $541

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
904 SE 34th St Oklahoma City, OK 4.0 2.0 1248 $1,495 $1.20 44d 1 0.09mi
2701 S Phillips Ave Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1177 $995 $0.85 24d 1 0.50mi
1413 SE 39th St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1004 $1,125 $1.12 44d 1 0.61mi
407 SE 25th St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 896 $1,275 $1.42 45d 1 0.77mi
321 SE 25th St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,095 $0.95 44d 1 0.81mi
4101 S Shields Blvd Apt 3B Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 957 $1,025 $1.07 5d 1 0.84mi
4101 S Shields Blvd Unit Shields 3B Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 957 $1,050 $1.10 24d 1 0.84mi
317 SE 24th St Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 917 $950 $1.04 5d 1 0.87mi
630 SE 21st St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,095 $1.09 44d 1 0.91mi
526 SE 21st St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1054 $1,150 $1.09 5d 1 0.94mi
109 SE 42nd St Apt A Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 800 $799 $1.00 18d 1 0.96mi
101 SE 42nd St Unit B Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 740 $645 $0.87 44d 1 0.98mi
4305 S Nebraska Ave Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1145 $1,200 $1.05 44d 1 1.11mi
1900 Terrace Lawn Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1415 $1,225 $0.87 3d 1 1.11mi
1528 SE 47th Pl Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,300 $1.19 5d 1 1.18mi
3312 S Harvey Ave Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 840 $1,100 $1.31 21d 1 1.23mi
1528 SE 49th Ter Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 912 $1,100 $1.21 24d 1 1.26mi
1501 SE 52nd St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1012 $1,200 $1.19 24d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $69,900 Active 114 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 111 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 110 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 109 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 108 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 106 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 102 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $69,900 Active 101 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 100 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,900 Active 97 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,900 Active 96 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 95 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 94 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 93 DOM
  15. 2026-04-15
    price $79,900 329-char remark
    Show marketing remark (329 chars)

    Opportunity awaits with this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home featuring 1,248 square feet of comfortable living space. The spacious layout offers flexibility for rental income, renovation, or long-term investment. Whether you’re expanding your portfolio or searching for your next project, this property delivers potential and value.

  16. 2026-02-27
    listed $85,500 Active 329-char remark
    Show marketing remark (329 chars)

    Opportunity awaits with this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home featuring 1,248 square feet of comfortable living space. The spacious layout offers flexibility for rental income, renovation, or long-term investment. Whether you’re expanding your portfolio or searching for your next project, this property delivers potential and value.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$705 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$705 · $59/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,676
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$705
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,254
− Management
−$1,254
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$6,165
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,480
After-tax cash flow
$5,452/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oklahoma City
NCES district ID
4022770
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$35,606
Composite
7.0/100
National rank
#9970
State rank
#254 of 270 in OK

Livability — Oklahoma City

Score
80/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1635

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oklahoma City, OK
County
Oklahoma County · 771,644 people
City population
498,656
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
Population (ZIP)
20,014
Household income
$46,670
Rent vs Own
49.9% rent · 50.1% own
Severe rent burden
611.0

Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
911,875 people
By 2030
982,413 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,130,468 · +24.0%
By 2050
1,288,422 · +41.3%
By 2075
1,711,482 · +87.7%
By 2100
2,088,448 · +129.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 57% Two or more races 26% White 26% Black 9% Native American 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 53%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
54% English-only · Spanish 44% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.75%
Current HPI
250.8581
Rent YoY
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $79,900 MLSOK
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $85,500 MLSOK

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $705 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…