🏗️ New Construction
GRANT Plan · Crown Point, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$314,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover the Grant townhome plan at Wellspring at the Fountains in Crown Point, IN. This open and modern design offers a perfect blend of style, comfort, and functionality, making it ideal for today's busy lifestyles. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, a 2-car garage, and a finished bonus room off the garage, this home provides flexible space that can easily be used as a home office, fitness room, or additional living area. The main level showcases a bright and inviting chef-inspired kitchen, complete with a large center island, designer cabinetry, quartz countertops, and stainless steel appliances.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Finished bonus room
- Large island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $315k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-205 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $292k (7.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $256k (18.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $256k (18.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.7% in Crown Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#45 in IN, #3,244 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Crown Point Community School Corporation (suburban): math 51% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #23 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Solon Robinson Elementary School (math 59% / reading 57%, grade C+, #160 of 994 statewide, top 17%, 528 students, 34% FRL); Robert Taft Middle School (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D+, #65 of 330 statewide, top 21%, 1,091 students, 23% FRL); Crown Point High School (math 51% / reading 80%, grade B, #29 of 369 statewide, top 8%, 2,948 students, 22% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 984 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.72%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $321,990
- List price
- $314,990
- Delta
- -2.17%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 519 E 120th Pl | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,828 (+0%) | 0mo | $329,990 | $181 | 99 |
| 515 E 120th Pl | 0.01mi | 3/2.5 | 1,828 (+0%) | 1mo | $324,990 | $178 | 99 |
| 521 E 120th Pl | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,828 (+0%) | 2mo | $354,790 | $194 | 98 |
| 518 E 120th Pl | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 1,542 (-16%) | 1mo | $309,990 | $201 | 73 |
| 512 E 120th Pl | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,542 (-16%) | 1mo | $318,990 | $207 | 73 |
| 514 E 120th Pl | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 1,542 (-16%) | 1mo | $303,990 | $197 | 73 |
| 516 E 120th Pl | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 1,542 (-16%) | 1mo | $313,990 | $204 | 73 |
| 520 E 120th Pl | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 1,542 (-16%) | 1mo | $314,990 | $204 | 72 |
| 1615 Golden Oak Dr | 1.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,670 (-9%) | 1mo | $301,000 | $180 | 48 |
| 13091 Carolina St | 1.09mi | 3/2.5 | 1,601 (-12%) | 3mo | $304,706 | $190 | 42 |
| 911 E 113th Ln | 0.81mi | 3/2.0 | 1,480 (-19%) | 0mo | $280,000 | $189 | 38 |
| 399 Golden Oak Ct | 1.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,488 (-19%) | 1mo | $278,600 | $187 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-66,373
- Equity at exit
- $48,010
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-79,313
- Equity at exit
- $27,840
Cash invested: $90,157 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 18 active · 12 under contract
- Months of supply
- 5.4 mo (19%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $299,990 ($194/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 38 d
- This list price
- 67% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -9.4% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 46307
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 984
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,558 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,689
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$402 /mo · $4,830/yr
- Insurance
- −$134
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$537
- Net cashflow
- $-205
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $18 | -5% $-93 | +0% $-205 | +5% $-316 | +10% $-427 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-407 | -5% $-306 | +0% $-205 | +5% $-104 | +10% $-3 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-42 | -0.5pp $-123 | base $-205 | +0.5pp $-288 | +1.0pp $-373 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $80,498
- Closing costs
- $9,660
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 484 E 127th Ave Crown Point, IN | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1544 | $3,363 | $2.18 | 0d | 9 | 0.94mi |
| 396 Golden Oak Ct Crown Point, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $2,375 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 930 Cypress Point Dr Crown Point, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1275 | $2,329 | $1.83 | 0d | 6 | 1.19mi |
| 1727 Chestnut Dr Crown Point, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,500 | $1.75 | 46d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- List price $314,990
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 total parking spaces2-car garage
- Home design
- Located in Crown Point, IN (E 120th Pl area)Entry listed as GRANT Plan
- Construction
- New construction (Plan)Listed in 2026
- Exterior features
- Living area approximately 1,827 (living area provided)
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
- Interior features
- Plan named GRANT (new construction plan)
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $314,990 Active 121 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $314,990 Active 119 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $314,990 Active 118 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $314,990 Active 117 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $314,990 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $314,990 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $314,990 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $314,990 Active 110 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $314,990 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $314,990 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $314,990 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $314,990 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $314,990 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $314,990 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $314,990 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $314,990 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $314,990 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $314,990 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $314,990 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $314,990 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $314,990 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $314,990 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $314,990 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $314,990 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $314,990 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $314,990 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $314,990 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $314,990 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $314,990 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $314,990 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $314,990 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $314,990 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $314,990 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $314,990 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $314,990 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $314,990 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $314,990 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $314,990 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $314,990 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $314,990 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $314,990 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $314,990 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $314,990 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $314,990 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $314,990 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $314,990 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $314,990 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $314,990 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $314,990 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $314,990 Active 55 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,693
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,036
- − Property taxes
- −$4,830
- − Insurance
- −$1,610
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,455
- − Management
- −$2,455
- − Depreciation
- −$9,367
- Taxable loss
- −$8,061
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,935
- After-tax cash flow
- $-520/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This well-maintained and modern townhome is move-in ready with excellent curb appeal and interior design. Minor updates can further enhance its value for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to tech-savvy buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modernizing the kitchen appliances can make the space more desirable and functional. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crown Point Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1802490
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,148
- Composite
- 49.55/100
- National rank
- #1990
- State rank
- #23 of 301 in IN
Livability — Crown Point
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #3244
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Crown Point, IN
- County
- Lake County · 484,026 people
- City population
- 71,673
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,673
- Household income
- $107,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Black 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -164.91%
- Current HPI
- 226.0335
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.53%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…