CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
8107 Linden Rd
C- Composite 51.63
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$194,900

8107 Linden Rd · Flint, MI 48473
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · SingleFamily · 11 Days on market
Built 1959 0.70 ac lot $148/sqft · 34% below area Est $294k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this Beautiful Home with so much Space for Family and Entertainment. The Layout Offers Flexibility for a Variety of Lifestyles. Bonus Bedroom in Lower Level. Fresh New Carpet! Enjoy the benefits of a Large Yard, Ideal for Outdoor Gatherings, Gardening, or Simply Unwinding in Your Own Open Space. The Setting Provides a Peaceful, Country-Like Feel While still Being Just Minutes from Town, Schools, Shopping, and Major Routes for an Easy Commute. All the Appliances are Included. Won't Last Long!

Key facts

  • 0.7 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1959

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 120 x 254; Lot about 0.7 acre

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 5 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $78 ($934/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (14.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $167k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Lake Fenton Community Schools (rural): math 40% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #124 of 540 in MI (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 31y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $195k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $167,489 (14.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.77%
Cash-on-cash
1.71%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$294,174
List price
$194,900
Delta
-33.75%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4437 Grand Lin St 0.15mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,344 (+2%) 13mo $209,000 $156 74
8141 Linden Rd 0.06mi 3/1.5 1,476 (+12%) 17mo $219,000 $148 61
4237 W Grand Blanc Rd 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,359 (+3%) 10mo $270,000 $199 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.6%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-26,663
Equity at exit
$29,060
10-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-16,987
Equity at exit
$16,851

Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48473

Active inventory
166
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,675 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,022
Tax from tax record
$142 /mo · $1,705/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$352
Net cashflow
$78

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,576
Max offer price $194,900
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,725
Closing costs
$5,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 507-char remark
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    Welcome to this Beautiful Home with so much Space for Family and Entertainment. The Layout Offers Flexibility for a Variety of Lifestyles. Bonus Bedroom in Lower Level. Fresh New Carpet! Enjoy the benefits of a Large Yard, Ideal for Outdoor Gatherings, Gardening, or Simply Unwinding in Your Own Open Space. The Setting Provides a Peaceful, Country-Like Feel While still Being Just Minutes from Town, Schools, Shopping, and Major Routes for an Easy Commute. All the Appliances are Included. Won't Last Long!

  2. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 507-char remark
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    Welcome to this Beautiful Home with so much Space for Family and Entertainment. The Layout Offers Flexibility for a Variety of Lifestyles. Bonus Bedroom in Lower Level. Fresh New Carpet! Enjoy the benefits of a Large Yard, Ideal for Outdoor Gatherings, Gardening, or Simply Unwinding in Your Own Open Space. The Setting Provides a Peaceful, Country-Like Feel While still Being Just Minutes from Town, Schools, Shopping, and Major Routes for an Easy Commute. All the Appliances are Included. Won't Last Long!

  3. 2026-05-05
    listed $194,900 Active 507-char remark
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    Welcome to this Beautiful Home with so much Space for Family and Entertainment. The Layout Offers Flexibility for a Variety of Lifestyles. Bonus Bedroom in Lower Level. Fresh New Carpet! Enjoy the benefits of a Large Yard, Ideal for Outdoor Gatherings, Gardening, or Simply Unwinding in Your Own Open Space. The Setting Provides a Peaceful, Country-Like Feel While still Being Just Minutes from Town, Schools, Shopping, and Major Routes for an Easy Commute. All the Appliances are Included. Won't Last Long!

  4. 2026-05-05
    listed $194,900 Active 507-char remark
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    Welcome to this Beautiful Home with so much Space for Family and Entertainment. The Layout Offers Flexibility for a Variety of Lifestyles. Bonus Bedroom in Lower Level. Fresh New Carpet! Enjoy the benefits of a Large Yard, Ideal for Outdoor Gatherings, Gardening, or Simply Unwinding in Your Own Open Space. The Setting Provides a Peaceful, Country-Like Feel While still Being Just Minutes from Town, Schools, Shopping, and Major Routes for an Easy Commute. All the Appliances are Included. Won't Last Long!

  5. 2026-05-01
    historical $194,900 507-char remark
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    Welcome to this Beautiful Home with so much Space for Family and Entertainment. The Layout Offers Flexibility for a Variety of Lifestyles. Bonus Bedroom in Lower Level. Fresh New Carpet! Enjoy the benefits of a Large Yard, Ideal for Outdoor Gatherings, Gardening, or Simply Unwinding in Your Own Open Space. The Setting Provides a Peaceful, Country-Like Feel While still Being Just Minutes from Town, Schools, Shopping, and Major Routes for an Easy Commute. All the Appliances are Included. Won't Last Long!

  6. 1996-01-16
    soldstatus $70,000
    Show marketing remark (43 chars)

    Pending Before Print. Estate Sale. Mls $20.

  7. 1995-11-21
    listed $75,000
    Show marketing remark (43 chars)

    Pending Before Print. Estate Sale. Mls $20.

  8. 1995-11-21
    historical
    Show marketing remark (43 chars)

    Pending Before Print. Estate Sale. Mls $20.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,705 · $142/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,353 · $196/mo
Expected delta
+$648/yr (+$54/mo · 38.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,099
− Mortgage interest
−$10,917
− Property taxes
−$1,705
− Insurance
−$974
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,608
− Management
−$1,608
− Depreciation
−$5,670
Taxable loss
−$2,384
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$572
After-tax cash flow
$1,506/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake Fenton Community Schools
NCES district ID
2620670
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$65,788
Composite
40.93/100
National rank
#3609
State rank
#124 of 540 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
22,339
Household income
$77,921
Rent vs Own
15.4% rent · 84.6% own
Severe rent burden
310.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -216.16%
Current HPI
208.5281
Rent YoY
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+159.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-16 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $194,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $194,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Coming Soon $194,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1996-01-16 Sold (MLS) $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1995-11-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1995-11-21 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,705 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…