8107 Linden Rd · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$194,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this Beautiful Home with so much Space for Family and Entertainment. The Layout Offers Flexibility for a Variety of Lifestyles. Bonus Bedroom in Lower Level. Fresh New Carpet! Enjoy the benefits of a Large Yard, Ideal for Outdoor Gatherings, Gardening, or Simply Unwinding in Your Own Open Space. The Setting Provides a Peaceful, Country-Like Feel While still Being Just Minutes from Town, Schools, Shopping, and Major Routes for an Easy Commute. All the Appliances are Included. Won't Last Long!
Key facts
- 0.7 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1959
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 120 x 254; Lot about 0.7 acre
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 5 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $78 ($934/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (14.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $167k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Lake Fenton Community Schools (rural): math 40% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #124 of 540 in MI (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 31y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $195k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.71%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $294,174
- List price
- $194,900
- Delta
- -33.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4437 Grand Lin St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+2%) | 13mo | $209,000 | $156 | 74 |
| 8141 Linden Rd | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 | 1,476 (+12%) | 17mo | $219,000 | $148 | 61 |
| 4237 W Grand Blanc Rd | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,359 (+3%) | 10mo | $270,000 | $199 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-26,663
- Equity at exit
- $29,060
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-16,987
- Equity at exit
- $16,851
Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48473
- Active inventory
- 166
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,675 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,022
- Tax from tax record
- −$142 /mo · $1,705/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $78
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,725
- Closing costs
- $5,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
Welcome to this Beautiful Home with so much Space for Family and Entertainment. The Layout Offers Flexibility for a Variety of Lifestyles. Bonus Bedroom in Lower Level. Fresh New Carpet! Enjoy the benefits of a Large Yard, Ideal for Outdoor Gatherings, Gardening, or Simply Unwinding in Your Own Open Space. The Setting Provides a Peaceful, Country-Like Feel While still Being Just Minutes from Town, Schools, Shopping, and Major Routes for an Easy Commute. All the Appliances are Included. Won't Last Long!
-
2026-05-16status Pending 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
Welcome to this Beautiful Home with so much Space for Family and Entertainment. The Layout Offers Flexibility for a Variety of Lifestyles. Bonus Bedroom in Lower Level. Fresh New Carpet! Enjoy the benefits of a Large Yard, Ideal for Outdoor Gatherings, Gardening, or Simply Unwinding in Your Own Open Space. The Setting Provides a Peaceful, Country-Like Feel While still Being Just Minutes from Town, Schools, Shopping, and Major Routes for an Easy Commute. All the Appliances are Included. Won't Last Long!
-
2026-05-05$194,900 Active 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
Welcome to this Beautiful Home with so much Space for Family and Entertainment. The Layout Offers Flexibility for a Variety of Lifestyles. Bonus Bedroom in Lower Level. Fresh New Carpet! Enjoy the benefits of a Large Yard, Ideal for Outdoor Gatherings, Gardening, or Simply Unwinding in Your Own Open Space. The Setting Provides a Peaceful, Country-Like Feel While still Being Just Minutes from Town, Schools, Shopping, and Major Routes for an Easy Commute. All the Appliances are Included. Won't Last Long!
-
2026-05-05$194,900 Active 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
Welcome to this Beautiful Home with so much Space for Family and Entertainment. The Layout Offers Flexibility for a Variety of Lifestyles. Bonus Bedroom in Lower Level. Fresh New Carpet! Enjoy the benefits of a Large Yard, Ideal for Outdoor Gatherings, Gardening, or Simply Unwinding in Your Own Open Space. The Setting Provides a Peaceful, Country-Like Feel While still Being Just Minutes from Town, Schools, Shopping, and Major Routes for an Easy Commute. All the Appliances are Included. Won't Last Long!
-
2026-05-01historical $194,900 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
Welcome to this Beautiful Home with so much Space for Family and Entertainment. The Layout Offers Flexibility for a Variety of Lifestyles. Bonus Bedroom in Lower Level. Fresh New Carpet! Enjoy the benefits of a Large Yard, Ideal for Outdoor Gatherings, Gardening, or Simply Unwinding in Your Own Open Space. The Setting Provides a Peaceful, Country-Like Feel While still Being Just Minutes from Town, Schools, Shopping, and Major Routes for an Easy Commute. All the Appliances are Included. Won't Last Long!
-
1996-01-16soldstatus $70,000
Show marketing remark (43 chars)
Pending Before Print. Estate Sale. Mls $20.
-
1995-11-21$75,000
Show marketing remark (43 chars)
Pending Before Print. Estate Sale. Mls $20.
-
1995-11-21historical
Show marketing remark (43 chars)
Pending Before Print. Estate Sale. Mls $20.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,705 · $142/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,353 · $196/mo
- Expected delta
- +$648/yr (+$54/mo · 38.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,099
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,917
- − Property taxes
- −$1,705
- − Insurance
- −$974
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,608
- − Management
- −$1,608
- − Depreciation
- −$5,670
- Taxable loss
- −$2,384
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$572
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,506/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake Fenton Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2620670
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,788
- Composite
- 40.93/100
- National rank
- #3609
- State rank
- #124 of 540 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,339
- Household income
- $77,921
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 310.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -216.16%
- Current HPI
- 208.5281
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+159.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-16 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $194,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-05 Listed $194,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-01 Coming Soon $194,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1996-01-16 Sold (MLS) $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1995-11-21 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1995-11-21 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,705 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…