4113 Thomas St · Longview, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 57.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Check out this perfect opportunity for an investor or first time home-owner. This 3br 1.5ba is ready to add to your portfolio or help you get into home ownership at an affordable cost. There is currently an excellent tenant that is on a month to month lease. They have expressed a willingness to extend the lease or will move-out if desired. Was recently updated with vinyl flooring and granite countertops. Huge backyard with a small metal storage building. Come check this one out today.
Key facts
- Vinyl flooring
- Huge backyard
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric water heater; Vinyl flooring; Five total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $433 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $153k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.0% in Longview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#213 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, schools D.
- Longview ISD (urban): math 49% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #244 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 193 units permitted in Gregg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.98%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-349
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $23,954
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75605
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 311
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,900 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$190 /mo · $2,282/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $433
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $521 | -5% $477 | +0% $433 | +5% $390 | +10% $346 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $283 | -5% $358 | +0% $433 | +5% $508 | +10% $583 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $511 | -0.5pp $473 | base $433 | +0.5pp $393 | +1.0pp $352 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3637 US Highway 259 Longview, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 965 | $1,700 | $1.76 | 14d | 7 | 0.89mi |
| 301 W Hawkins Pkwy Longview, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 691 | $2,200 | $3.18 | 14d | 5 | 0.93mi |
| 3623 McCann Rd Longview, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 990 | $2,500 | $2.52 | 14d | 7 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $155,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $155,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $155,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $155,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $155,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $155,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-22$155,000 Active
-
2025-05-02historical $1,300
-
2025-04-17$1,300
-
2025-04-07historical $1,300
-
2025-03-31$1,300
-
2002-03-12soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,282 · $190/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,836 · $236/mo
- Expected delta
- +$555/yr (+$46/mo · 24.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$2,282
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,824
- − Management
- −$1,824
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $2,903
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$697
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,504/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Longview ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828110
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,837
- Composite
- 39.76/100
- National rank
- #3889
- State rank
- #244 of 826 in TX
Livability — Longview
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #213
- US rank
- #5287
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Longview, TX
- County
- Gregg County · 128,826 people
- City population
- 103,792
- Metro
- Longview, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,417
- Household income
- $73,190
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1465.0
Population outlook (Gregg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 125,947 people
- By 2030
- 126,542 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 127,311 · +1.1%
- By 2050
- 127,289 · +1.1%
- By 2075
- 124,954 · -0.8%
- By 2100
- 113,737 · -9.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gregg
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.5% · R 70.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.6pp toward R · 2008: -37.6pp · 2024: -42.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.2 2020: R+36.9 2016: R+41.3 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+37.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -199.48%
- Current HPI
- 227.957
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.48%
- Metro
- Longview, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+11823.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $155,000 LAAR
- 2025-05-02 Rental Removed $1,300 BUILDIUM
- 2025-04-17 Listed for Rent $1,300 BUILDIUM
- 2025-04-07 Rental Removed $1,300 BUILDIUM
- 2025-03-31 Listed for Rent $1,300 BUILDIUM
- 2002-03-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,282 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…