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1929 Garden Valley Dr
B- Composite 68.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

1929 Garden Valley Dr · North Hartsville, SC 29550
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · Other · 36 Days on market
Built 1985 0.87 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Special with endless potential! Situated on 0.87 acres with no HOA or restrictions, this property is the perfect opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for their next project. With plenty of space and possibilities, this home is ready for your vision and creativity. Conveniently located and full of potential, don’t miss your chance to transform this property into something special. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • 0.87 acre lot
  • Built 1985
  • Listed 36 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Residential mobile/manufactured home; Single-story (above grade finished area ~1,000)
  • Construction: Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Porch; 0.87 acre lot

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $628 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.4% vs local median 3.4% in North Hartsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#190 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Darlington 01 (town): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #52 of 80 in SC (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: North Hartsville Elementary (math 46% / reading 37%, grade F, #269 of 597 statewide, top 46%, 527 students, 100% FRL); Hartsville Middle (math 23% / reading 31%, grade F, #153 of 229 statewide, top 68%, 921 students, 100% FRL); Hartsville High (math 42% / reading 80%, grade C+, #105 of 196 statewide, top 54%, 1,133 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 156 active listings in the ZIP; 195 units permitted in Darlington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Darlington County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 74% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.47%
Cap rate
21.38%
Cash-on-cash
53.87%
DSCR
3.40
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
52.0%
Equity multiple
3.28×
Total profit
$31,942
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
57.3%
Equity multiple
6.67×
Total profit
$79,429
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29550

Home prices YoY
-22.3%
Active inventory
156
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,233 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $750/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$259
Net cashflow
$628

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $663 -5% $646 +0% $628 +5% $611 +10% $594
Rent -10% $531 -5% $580 +0% $628 +5% $677 +10% $726
Rate -1.0pp $654 -0.5pp $641 base $628 +0.5pp $615 +1.0pp $602

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $50,000 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $50,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $50,000 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $50,000 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $50,000 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $50,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $50,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $50,000 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,000 Active 17 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $50,000 Active 16 DOM
  18. 2026-05-14
    listed $50,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 74% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,795
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$750
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,184
− Management
−$1,184
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$7,172
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,721
After-tax cash flow
$5,820/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Darlington 01
NCES district ID
4501860
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$36,243
Composite
26.51/100
National rank
#7202
State rank
#52 of 80 in SC

Livability — North Hartsville

Score
62/100
State rank
#190
US rank
#16507

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
30,198

Population outlook (Darlington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
64,981 people
By 2030
62,846 · -3.3%
By 2040
58,146 · -10.5%
By 2050
53,541 · -17.6%
By 2075
43,477 · -33.1%
By 2100
34,013 · -47.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Black 31% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 3% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Darlington

2024 margin
R (+13.3) · D 42.8% · R 56.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.2pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -13.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.3 2020: R+5.0 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+3.4 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -63.03%
Current HPI
219.996
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $50,000 RAGPD

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $82 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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