6319 Laurel Rd · Tobyhanna, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- Appreciation +5.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tucked into a peaceful, tree-lined neighborhood in the heart of the Pocono Mountains, this home is in the kind of setting buyers picture when they think of a mountain escape. Just 1 mile from Kalahari Indoor Water Park & Resort, this home combines a relaxing wooded feel with close proximity to the area's TOP ATTRACTIONS. Residents enjoy access to a community lake and tennis courts, and more, adding to the lifestyle this location offers. Inside, the home features approximately 1,800 square feet, including 3 bedrooms, 3 baths, an office, being used as a guest room at the moment with outside entrance, spacious living areas, a large kitchen, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a fully finished basement currently used as a family room. With nearby access to skiing, golf, state parks, shopping, dining, and year-round recreation, this property is ideal as a full-time home, weekend getaway, or vacation escape. STR is allowed, please confirm. Most windows were replace in 2023
Key facts
- Community lake
- Tennis courts
- 0.41 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($370/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (13.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $225k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $185k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.51%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $319,246
- List price
- $259,900
- Delta
- -18.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 263 Stillwater Dr | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (0%) | 11mo | $239,000 | $249 | 64 |
| 288 Stillwater Dr | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 957 (-0%) | 14mo | $300,000 | $313 | 55 |
| 1146 Colt Ln | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 912 (-5%) | 2mo | $247,835 | $272 | 53 |
| 5228 Hummingbird Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,025 (+7%) | 17mo | $249,000 | $243 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $13,719
- Equity at exit
- $96,057
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.99×
- Total profit
- $71,978
- Equity at exit
- $133,526
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18346
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 57
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,253 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$213 /mo · $2,561/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$64
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$473
- Net cashflow
- $31
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $64 · $768/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $259,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $259,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $259,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $259,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $259,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $259,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $259,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $259,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $259,900 Active 73 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $259,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-03-18$259,900 Active 986-char remark
Show marketing remark (986 chars)
Tucked into a peaceful, tree-lined neighborhood in the heart of the Pocono Mountains, this home is in the kind of setting buyers picture when they think of a mountain escape. Just 1 mile from Kalahari Indoor Water Park & Resort, this home combines a relaxing wooded feel with close proximity to the area's TOP ATTRACTIONS. Residents enjoy access to a community lake and tennis courts, and more, adding to the lifestyle this location offers. Inside, the home features approximately 1,800 square feet, including 3 bedrooms, 3 baths, an office, being used as a guest room at the moment with outside entrance, spacious living areas, a large kitchen, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a fully finished basement currently used as a family room. With nearby access to skiing, golf, state parks, shopping, dining, and year-round recreation, this property is ideal as a full-time home, weekend getaway, or vacation escape. STR is allowed, please confirm. Most windows were replace in 2023
-
2022-11-30soldstatus $185,000
-
2022-11-29soldstatus $185,000 Closed 829-char remark
Show marketing remark (829 chars)
Drastic Price Reduction! Perfect Opportunity for Your Pocono Mountains Getaway OR the Short-Term Rental Located 1 MILE from Kalahari Indoor Water Park & Resort! Live in this Private Tree Lined Community with Beautiful Lake with Private Beach & Tennis Courts! Centrally Located to All the Poconos has to Offer, 15 Minutes to Multiple Ski Areas, All Indoor & Outdoor Water Parks, Golf Courses & State Parks! All This Yet only 1 Minute Off the Interstate for Convenience! This 1,800 Square Foot Home Offers 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, Office (currently storage), Large Living Room & Kitchen, Fully Finished Basement with a Speakeasy Bar Tucked Away! Perfect Investment Opportunity! Please Note that Home is in Good Condition However Due to Listed Price it is Sold ''As Is'', Inspections for Buyer Info On
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2022-11-29soldstatus $185,000 Sold
Show marketing remark (829 chars)
Drastic Price Reduction! Perfect Opportunity for Your Pocono Mountains Getaway OR the Short-Term Rental Located 1 MILE from Kalahari Indoor Water Park & Resort! Live in this Private Tree Lined Community with Beautiful Lake with Private Beach & Tennis Courts! Centrally Located to All the Poconos has to Offer, 15 Minutes to Multiple Ski Areas, All Indoor & Outdoor Water Parks, Golf Courses & State Parks! All This Yet only 1 Minute Off the Interstate for Convenience! This 1,800 Square Foot Home Offers 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, Office (currently storage), Large Living Room & Kitchen, Fully Finished Basement with a Speakeasy Bar Tucked Away! Perfect Investment Opportunity! Please Note that Home is in Good Condition However Due to Listed Price it is Sold ''As Is'', Inspections for Buyer Info On
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2022-10-25status Pending
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2022-10-20price $179,800
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2022-10-07price $179,800 829-char remark
Show marketing remark (829 chars)
Drastic Price Reduction! Perfect Opportunity for Your Pocono Mountains Getaway OR the Short-Term Rental Located 1 MILE from Kalahari Indoor Water Park & Resort! Live in this Private Tree Lined Community with Beautiful Lake with Private Beach & Tennis Courts! Centrally Located to All the Poconos has to Offer, 15 Minutes to Multiple Ski Areas, All Indoor & Outdoor Water Parks, Golf Courses & State Parks! All This Yet only 1 Minute Off the Interstate for Convenience! This 1,800 Square Foot Home Offers 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, Office (currently storage), Large Living Room & Kitchen, Fully Finished Basement with a Speakeasy Bar Tucked Away! Perfect Investment Opportunity! Please Note that Home is in Good Condition However Due to Listed Price it is Sold ''As Is'', Inspections for Buyer Info On
-
2022-09-22$199,800 Active
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2022-08-26$199,800 Active 829-char remark
Show marketing remark (829 chars)
Drastic Price Reduction! Perfect Opportunity for Your Pocono Mountains Getaway OR the Short-Term Rental Located 1 MILE from Kalahari Indoor Water Park & Resort! Live in this Private Tree Lined Community with Beautiful Lake with Private Beach & Tennis Courts! Centrally Located to All the Poconos has to Offer, 15 Minutes to Multiple Ski Areas, All Indoor & Outdoor Water Parks, Golf Courses & State Parks! All This Yet only 1 Minute Off the Interstate for Convenience! This 1,800 Square Foot Home Offers 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, Office (currently storage), Large Living Room & Kitchen, Fully Finished Basement with a Speakeasy Bar Tucked Away! Perfect Investment Opportunity! Please Note that Home is in Good Condition However Due to Listed Price it is Sold ''As Is'', Inspections for Buyer Info On
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2022-07-11$217,000
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2007-03-23soldstatus $95,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,561 · $213/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,334 · $278/mo
- Expected delta
- +$773/yr (+$64/mo · 30.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,030
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$2,561
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,162
- − Management
- −$2,162
- − HOA
- −$768
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable loss
- −$4,043
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$970
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,340/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Tobyhanna
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,316
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Cuban 2% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 8% Romanian 6% Slovak 5%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.54%
- Current HPI
- 189.8011
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+173.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Listed $259,900 PMAR
- 2022-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
- 2022-11-29 Sold (MLS) $185,000 GLVRMLS
- 2022-11-29 Sold (MLS) $185,000 PMAR
- 2022-10-25 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2022-10-20 Price Changed $179,800 GLVRMLS
- 2022-10-07 Price Changed $179,800 PMAR
- 2022-09-22 Listed $199,800 GLVRMLS
- 2022-08-26 Listed $199,800 PMAR
- 2022-07-11 Listed $217,000 PMAR
- 2007-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2026): $2,561 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…