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6319 Laurel Rd
C- Composite 54.1
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.8/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$259,900

6319 Laurel Rd · Tobyhanna, PA 18346
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 91 Days on market
Built 1967 0.41 ac lot $271/sqft · 59% above area Est $319k · 19% under $64/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tucked into a peaceful, tree-lined neighborhood in the heart of the Pocono Mountains, this home is in the kind of setting buyers picture when they think of a mountain escape. Just 1 mile from Kalahari Indoor Water Park & Resort, this home combines a relaxing wooded feel with close proximity to the area's TOP ATTRACTIONS. Residents enjoy access to a community lake and tennis courts, and more, adding to the lifestyle this location offers. Inside, the home features approximately 1,800 square feet, including 3 bedrooms, 3 baths, an office, being used as a guest room at the moment with outside entrance, spacious living areas, a large kitchen, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a fully finished basement currently used as a family room. With nearby access to skiing, golf, state parks, shopping, dining, and year-round recreation, this property is ideal as a full-time home, weekend getaway, or vacation escape. STR is allowed, please confirm. Most windows were replace in 2023

Key facts

  • Community lake
  • Tennis courts
  • 0.41 acre lot

Tags

TREE LINED NEIGHBORHOODCOMMUNITY LAKETENNIS COURTSCOZY WOOD BURNING FIREPLACEFULLY FINISHED BASEMENTNEARBY ACCESS TO SKIING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($370/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (13.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $225k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $185k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $225,252 (13.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.44%
Cash-on-cash
0.51%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$319,246
List price
$259,900
Delta
-18.59%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
263 Stillwater Dr 0.53mi 3/1.0 960 (0%) 11mo $239,000 $249 64
288 Stillwater Dr 0.55mi 2/2.0 (-1) 957 (-0%) 14mo $300,000 $313 55
1146 Colt Ln 0.75mi 3/2.0 912 (-5%) 2mo $247,835 $272 53
5228 Hummingbird Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,025 (+7%) 17mo $249,000 $243 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.6%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$13,719
Equity at exit
$96,057
10-year hold
IRR
7.7%
Equity multiple
1.99×
Total profit
$71,978
Equity at exit
$133,526

Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18346

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
57
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,253 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$213 /mo · $2,561/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$64
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$473
Net cashflow
$31

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,214
Max offer price $259,900
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,975
Closing costs
$7,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$64 · $768/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $259,900 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $259,900 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $259,900 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $259,900 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $259,900 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $259,900 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $259,900 Active 83 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $259,900 Active 81 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $259,900 Active 80 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $259,900 Active 75 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $259,900 Active 74 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $259,900 Active 73 DOM
  13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $259,900 Active 72 DOM
  14. 2026-03-18
    listed $259,900 Active 986-char remark
    Show marketing remark (986 chars)

    Tucked into a peaceful, tree-lined neighborhood in the heart of the Pocono Mountains, this home is in the kind of setting buyers picture when they think of a mountain escape. Just 1 mile from Kalahari Indoor Water Park & Resort, this home combines a relaxing wooded feel with close proximity to the area's TOP ATTRACTIONS. Residents enjoy access to a community lake and tennis courts, and more, adding to the lifestyle this location offers. Inside, the home features approximately 1,800 square feet, including 3 bedrooms, 3 baths, an office, being used as a guest room at the moment with outside entrance, spacious living areas, a large kitchen, a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a fully finished basement currently used as a family room. With nearby access to skiing, golf, state parks, shopping, dining, and year-round recreation, this property is ideal as a full-time home, weekend getaway, or vacation escape. STR is allowed, please confirm. Most windows were replace in 2023

  15. 2022-11-30
    soldstatus $185,000
  16. 2022-11-29
    soldstatus $185,000 Closed 829-char remark
    Show marketing remark (829 chars)

    Drastic Price Reduction! Perfect Opportunity for Your Pocono Mountains Getaway OR the Short-Term Rental Located 1 MILE from Kalahari Indoor Water Park & Resort! Live in this Private Tree Lined Community with Beautiful Lake with Private Beach & Tennis Courts! Centrally Located to All the Poconos has to Offer, 15 Minutes to Multiple Ski Areas, All Indoor & Outdoor Water Parks, Golf Courses & State Parks! All This Yet only 1 Minute Off the Interstate for Convenience! This 1,800 Square Foot Home Offers 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, Office (currently storage), Large Living Room & Kitchen, Fully Finished Basement with a Speakeasy Bar Tucked Away! Perfect Investment Opportunity! Please Note that Home is in Good Condition However Due to Listed Price it is Sold ''As Is'', Inspections for Buyer Info On

  17. 2022-11-29
    soldstatus $185,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (829 chars)

    Drastic Price Reduction! Perfect Opportunity for Your Pocono Mountains Getaway OR the Short-Term Rental Located 1 MILE from Kalahari Indoor Water Park & Resort! Live in this Private Tree Lined Community with Beautiful Lake with Private Beach & Tennis Courts! Centrally Located to All the Poconos has to Offer, 15 Minutes to Multiple Ski Areas, All Indoor & Outdoor Water Parks, Golf Courses & State Parks! All This Yet only 1 Minute Off the Interstate for Convenience! This 1,800 Square Foot Home Offers 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, Office (currently storage), Large Living Room & Kitchen, Fully Finished Basement with a Speakeasy Bar Tucked Away! Perfect Investment Opportunity! Please Note that Home is in Good Condition However Due to Listed Price it is Sold ''As Is'', Inspections for Buyer Info On

  18. 2022-10-25
    status Pending
  19. 2022-10-20
    price $179,800
  20. 2022-10-07
    price $179,800 829-char remark
    Show marketing remark (829 chars)

    Drastic Price Reduction! Perfect Opportunity for Your Pocono Mountains Getaway OR the Short-Term Rental Located 1 MILE from Kalahari Indoor Water Park & Resort! Live in this Private Tree Lined Community with Beautiful Lake with Private Beach & Tennis Courts! Centrally Located to All the Poconos has to Offer, 15 Minutes to Multiple Ski Areas, All Indoor & Outdoor Water Parks, Golf Courses & State Parks! All This Yet only 1 Minute Off the Interstate for Convenience! This 1,800 Square Foot Home Offers 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, Office (currently storage), Large Living Room & Kitchen, Fully Finished Basement with a Speakeasy Bar Tucked Away! Perfect Investment Opportunity! Please Note that Home is in Good Condition However Due to Listed Price it is Sold ''As Is'', Inspections for Buyer Info On

  21. 2022-09-22
    listed $199,800 Active
  22. 2022-08-26
    listed $199,800 Active 829-char remark
    Show marketing remark (829 chars)

    Drastic Price Reduction! Perfect Opportunity for Your Pocono Mountains Getaway OR the Short-Term Rental Located 1 MILE from Kalahari Indoor Water Park & Resort! Live in this Private Tree Lined Community with Beautiful Lake with Private Beach & Tennis Courts! Centrally Located to All the Poconos has to Offer, 15 Minutes to Multiple Ski Areas, All Indoor & Outdoor Water Parks, Golf Courses & State Parks! All This Yet only 1 Minute Off the Interstate for Convenience! This 1,800 Square Foot Home Offers 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, Office (currently storage), Large Living Room & Kitchen, Fully Finished Basement with a Speakeasy Bar Tucked Away! Perfect Investment Opportunity! Please Note that Home is in Good Condition However Due to Listed Price it is Sold ''As Is'', Inspections for Buyer Info On

  23. 2022-07-11
    listed $217,000
  24. 2007-03-23
    soldstatus $95,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,561 · $213/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,334 · $278/mo
Expected delta
+$773/yr (+$64/mo · 30.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,030
− Mortgage interest
−$14,558
− Property taxes
−$2,561
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,162
− Management
−$2,162
− HOA
−$768
− Depreciation
−$7,561
Taxable loss
−$4,043
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$970
After-tax cash flow
$1,340/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Tobyhanna

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,316

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Cuban 2% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Russian 8% Romanian 6% Slovak 5%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.54%
Current HPI
189.8011
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+173.6% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $259,900 PMAR
  • 2022-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
  • 2022-11-29 Sold (MLS) $185,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2022-11-29 Sold (MLS) $185,000 PMAR
  • 2022-10-25 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2022-10-20 Price Changed $179,800 GLVRMLS
  • 2022-10-07 Price Changed $179,800 PMAR
  • 2022-09-22 Listed $199,800 GLVRMLS
  • 2022-08-26 Listed $199,800 PMAR
  • 2022-07-11 Listed $217,000 PMAR
  • 2007-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,561 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…