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412 SW 2nd St St
B+ Composite 77.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

412 SW 2nd St St · Madison, SD 57042
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · Other public records · 112 Days on market
Built 1894 8,517 sqft lot $70/sqft · 43% below area Est $157k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investment opportunity in Madison! This four-bedroom, one-bathroom residence offers opportunity for rental income or value-add renovation. The home features convenient main-floor laundry and a functional layout. Located just a short distance from downtown, the property provides easy access to shopping, dining, and local amenities—an appealing option for tenants. Property is being sold AS IS.

Key facts

  • Functional layout
  • Main-floor laundry
  • 8,517 sq ft lot

Tags

MAIN-FLOOR LAUNDRYFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTEASY ACCESS TO SHOPPINGEASY ACCESS TO DININGEASY ACCESS TO LOCAL AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $547 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 2.8% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#26 in SD, #3,922 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Madison Central School District 39-2 (town): math 41% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #36 of 59 in SD (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 130 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1894 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $81,809 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1894 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
13.59%
Cash-on-cash
26.05%
DSCR
2.16
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$156,788
List price
$89,900
Delta
-42.66%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$20,244
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
28.0%
Equity multiple
3.48×
Total profit
$62,466
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Dakota
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; mostly landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 57042

Active inventory
130
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,442 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$84 /mo · $1,009/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$303
Net cashflow
$547

Break-even live

Break-even rent $751
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 112 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 111 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 110 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 109 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 107 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,900 Active 106 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 103 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 102 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 101 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $89,900 Active 99 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,900 Active 97 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 96 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 95 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 94 DOM
  15. 2026-02-25
    listed $99,900 Active 400-char remark
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Investment opportunity in Madison! This four-bedroom, one-bathroom residence offers opportunity for rental income or value-add renovation. The home features convenient main-floor laundry and a functional layout. Located just a short distance from downtown, the property provides easy access to shopping, dining, and local amenities—an appealing option for tenants. Property is being sold AS IS.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SD · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,009 · $84/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,178 · $98/mo
Expected delta
+$169/yr (+$14/mo · 16.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,308
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,009
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,385
− Management
−$1,385
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$5,430
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,303
After-tax cash flow
$5,255/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison Central School District 39-2
NCES district ID
4639600
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$47,304
Composite
40.82/100
National rank
#3635
State rank
#36 of 59 in SD

Livability — Madison

Score
75/100
State rank
#26
US rank
#3922

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Madison, SD
Population (ZIP)
7,900

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,062 people
By 2030
16,261 · +8.0%
By 2040
18,290 · +21.4%
By 2050
19,881 · +32.0%
By 2075
23,907 · +58.7%
By 2100
29,664 · +96.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 20% Iranian 3% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
1% · China
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.2) · D 33.5% · R 64.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-31.8pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -31.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.2 2020: R+27.5 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+11.1 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -111.13%
Current HPI
200.0944
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.70%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $99,900 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,009 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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