806 Washington · Greenville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,700
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits with this 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch offering over 1,100 square feet of living space! Features include a fenced yard, off-street parking, and plenty of potential to make it your own. Whether you're looking for a starter home, investment property, or your next project, this property is worth a look. Home is being sold as-is.
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Off-street parking
- Built 1930
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount reported
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Main-level living areas; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Utilities located on site
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $473 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 3.9% in Greenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#881 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Bond County CUSD 2 (town): math 35% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #345 of 919 in IL (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Bond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $344 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bond County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.78%
- DSCR
- 2.81
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $115,710
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 E College Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (-2%) | 2mo | $98,500 | $82 | 77 |
| 519 Ward St | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,182 (-3%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $93 | 74 |
| 524 E Winter | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,150 (-6%) | 10mo | $110,000 | $96 | 72 |
| 712 La Due Pl | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,214 (-0%) | 7mo | $162,500 | $134 | 63 |
| 515 E South Ave | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,297 (+6%) | 9mo | $123,000 | $95 | 61 |
| 502 Stephen Ave | 0.16mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,375 (+13%) | 9mo | $110,000 | $80 | 58 |
| 506 Maple St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,250 (+3%) | 9mo | $104,000 | $83 | 54 |
| 222 S Prairie St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,334 (+10%) | 9mo | $175,000 | $131 | 51 |
| 414 E Oak St | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,116 (-8%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $134 | 47 |
| 507 W Washington | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (-10%) | 11mo | $100,000 | $91 | 38 |
| 734 Mcadams St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,126 (-8%) | 15mo | $120,000 | $107 | 38 |
| 609 Maple St | 0.72mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,040 (-15%) | 9mo | $92,500 | $89 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $22,113
- Equity at exit
- $7,410
- IRR
- 43.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.18×
- Total profit
- $58,237
- Equity at exit
- $4,297
Cash invested: $13,916 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62246
- Home prices YoY
- -21.6%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,101 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$261
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,388/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $473
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $501 | -5% $487 | +0% $473 | +5% $459 | +10% $445 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $386 | -5% $429 | +0% $473 | +5% $516 | +10% $560 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $498 | -0.5pp $486 | base $473 | +0.5pp $460 | +1.0pp $447 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,425
- Closing costs
- $1,491
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $49,700 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,700 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,700 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,700 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,700 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,700 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $49,700 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,700 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,700 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,700 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 341-char remark
-
2026-06-07$49,700 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,388 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,388 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,213
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,784
- − Property taxes
- −$1,388
- − Insurance
- −$248
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,057
- − Management
- −$1,057
- − Depreciation
- −$1,446
- Taxable income
- $5,233
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,256
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,419/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bond County CUSD 2
- NCES district ID
- 1717730
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,996
- Composite
- 35.52/100
- National rank
- #9740
- State rank
- #345 of 919 in IL
Livability — Greenville
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #881
- US rank
- #17140
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greenville, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,946
Population outlook (Bond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,651 people
- By 2030
- 15,008 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 13,490 · -13.8%
- By 2050
- 12,002 · -23.3%
- By 2075
- 9,019 · -42.4%
- By 2100
- 6,539 · -58.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Bond
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.8) · D 26.5% · R 71.3% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.5pp toward R · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -44.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.8 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+1.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.39%
- Current HPI
- 168.0802
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-32.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $49,700 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-10 Price Changed $30,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-13 Price Changed $35,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-09 Price Changed $40,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-16 Price Changed $45,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-03 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-31 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-06 Price Changed $54,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-08 Listed $59,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $73,200 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,388 · -31.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…