30 Howard Dr · Brent, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$132,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Prime opportunity in Pensacola with built-in flexibility and future upside. This property offers not just a home — but expansion and income potential. Situated on a generously sized lot, buyers have the opportunity to build on the adjacent lot, making this ideal for investors, multi-generational living, or anyone looking to maximize long-term value. The main home offers a solid foundation ready for updates and customization, while the detached in-law suite in the back adds immediate versatility. Use it as a guest space, rental income opportunity, home office, or private retreat. Whether you're looking to renovate and create your dream setup, build next door, or add a strong property to your portfolio, this one offers options — and options equal value. Location keeps you close to shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences, making it attractive for both resale and rental demand. Opportunities with additional build potential and a separate in-law suite don’t come around often.
Key facts
- Generously sized lot
- Private retreat
- Home office
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $132k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $484 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $132k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 6.6% in Brent — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#484 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 239 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $916 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $76k; list at $132k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.67%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $10,125
- Equity at exit
- $19,756
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $51,633
- Equity at exit
- $11,456
Cash invested: $37,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32503
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 239
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,800 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$695
- Tax from tax record
- −$187 /mo · $2,249/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $484
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $559 | -5% $522 | +0% $484 | +5% $447 | +10% $409 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $342 | -5% $413 | +0% $484 | +5% $555 | +10% $626 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $551 | -0.5pp $518 | base $484 | +0.5pp $450 | +1.0pp $415 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,125
- Closing costs
- $3,975
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118 Czar Ln Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $1,795 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 27 E Burgess Rd Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,124 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 47 Coleman Ln Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1036 | $1,650 | $1.59 | 15d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6003 Born Dr Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 999 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 22d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6111 Enterprise Dr Pensacola, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1224 | $1,688 | $1.38 | 15d | 19 | 1.20mi |
| 147 Creekview Dr Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,700 | $1.43 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 204 Tree Swallow Dr Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 400 Schubert Dr Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 6115 N Davis Hwy Pensacola, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1112 | $1,825 | $1.64 | 15d | 10 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $132,500 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $132,500 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-04-18price $132,500 1012-char remark
Show marketing remark (1012 chars)
Prime opportunity in Pensacola with built-in flexibility and future upside. This property offers not just a home — but expansion and income potential. Situated on a generously sized lot, buyers have the opportunity to build on the adjacent lot, making this ideal for investors, multi-generational living, or anyone looking to maximize long-term value. The main home offers a solid foundation ready for updates and customization, while the detached in-law suite in the back adds immediate versatility. Use it as a guest space, rental income opportunity, home office, or private retreat. Whether you're looking to renovate and create your dream setup, build next door, or add a strong property to your portfolio, this one offers options — and options equal value. Location keeps you close to shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences, making it attractive for both resale and rental demand. Opportunities with additional build potential and a separate in-law suite don’t come around often.
-
2026-02-25$135,000 Active 1012-char remark
Show marketing remark (1012 chars)
Prime opportunity in Pensacola with built-in flexibility and future upside. This property offers not just a home — but expansion and income potential. Situated on a generously sized lot, buyers have the opportunity to build on the adjacent lot, making this ideal for investors, multi-generational living, or anyone looking to maximize long-term value. The main home offers a solid foundation ready for updates and customization, while the detached in-law suite in the back adds immediate versatility. Use it as a guest space, rental income opportunity, home office, or private retreat. Whether you're looking to renovate and create your dream setup, build next door, or add a strong property to your portfolio, this one offers options — and options equal value. Location keeps you close to shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences, making it attractive for both resale and rental demand. Opportunities with additional build potential and a separate in-law suite don’t come around often.
-
2024-12-09soldstatus $76,000
-
1993-02-01soldstatus $37,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,249 · $187/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,249 · $187/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,596
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,422
- − Property taxes
- −$2,249
- − Insurance
- −$662
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,728
- − Management
- −$1,728
- − Depreciation
- −$3,855
- Taxable income
- $3,953
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$949
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,863/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — Brent
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #484
- US rank
- #8921
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brent, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- City population
- 27,543
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,559
- Household income
- $71,411
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 948.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 20% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -300.02%
- Current HPI
- 294.4873
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.39%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+253.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $132,500 PARMLS
- 2026-02-25 Listed $135,000 PARMLS
- 2024-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
- 1993-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,249 · +10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…