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424 E Moler Ave
C- Composite 54.2
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,000

424 E Moler Ave · Martinsburg, WV 25404
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,904 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 119 Days on market
Built 1880 6,970 sqft lot Est $228k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 6,970 sq ft lot
  • Built 1880
  • Listed 119 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water
  • Home design: Detached property; Estimated year built
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Above-grade other structures

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas heating fuel; Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; Two fireplaces; Unfinished basement with outside entrance

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (9.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $162k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.0% in Martinsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#29 in WV, #4,057 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment D-.
  • Berkeley County Schools (other): math 21% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #24 of 55 in WV (top 44%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,460 units permitted in Berkeley County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berkeley County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 31y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $179k implies a 175% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $161,579 (9.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.10%
Cash-on-cash
2.87%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$228,480
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
509 E Moler Ave 0.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,856 (-2%) 1mo $249,900 $135 85
613 Albert St 0.15mi 3/2.0 (+1) 2,000 (+5%) 3mo $135,000 $68 75
721 3rd St 0.14mi 2/1.0 1,760 (-8%) 8mo $155,000 $88 72
39 Rolling Meadows Dr 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,776 (-7%) 1mo $200,000 $113 66
319 Athletic St 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,880 (-1%) 12mo $253,000 $135 65
917 Kaufman Ave 0.10mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,742 (-8%) 13mo $265,000 $152 63
329 N High St 0.43mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,860 (-2%) 8mo $243,000 $131 63
1002 N Queen St 0.28mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,728 (-9%) 7mo $208,000 $120 60
210 Gussie Ave 0.57mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,816 (-5%) 4mo $179,000 $99 56
218 W Race St 0.70mi 2/1.0 1,784 (-6%) 2mo $140,000 $78 53
823 E Moler Ave 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,646 (-14%) 4mo $100,000 $61 50
329 Boyd Ave 0.68mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,814 (-5%) 12mo $294,000 $162 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.4%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-15,864
Equity at exit
$26,689
10-year hold
IRR
4.8%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$20,242
Equity at exit
$15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25404

Home prices YoY
-10.7%
Rents YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
109
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,616 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax from tax record
$143 /mo · $1,722/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$339
Net cashflow
$120

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,464
Max offer price $179,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
721 2nd St Unit A Martinsburg, WV 2.0 1.0 1412 $1,180 $0.84 13d 1 0.25mi
316 N High St Martinsburg, WV 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,650 $1.27 13d 1 0.45mi
1100 Myna Ct Martinsburg, WV 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1400 $1,640 $1.17 13d 15 0.69mi
1123 Shepherdstown Rd Martinsburg, WV 3.0 1.0 1429 $1,900 $1.33 21d 1 0.69mi
328 Boyd Ave Martinsburg, WV 3.0 2.0 1700 $1,450 $0.85 21d 1 0.71mi
61 Quartz Rd Martinsburg, WV 3.0 3.5 2400 $2,000 $0.83 21d 1 0.91mi
507 W John St Unit C Martinsburg, WV 2.0 1.0 2564 $1,100 $0.43 13d 1 1.10mi
600 W John St Martinsburg, WV 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 976 $2,026 $2.08 13d 14 1.19mi
14 Snickers Ct Martinsburg, WV 3.0 2.5 1960 $1,900 $0.97 21d 1 1.40mi
403 S Tennessee Ave Martinsburg, WV 3.0 2.0 1880 $2,000 $1.06 21d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,000 Active 119 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,000 Active 118 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,000 Active 117 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,000 Active 116 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $179,000 Active 114 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,000 Active 113 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $179,000 Active 111 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,000 Active 110 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,000 Active 109 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,000 Active 108 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,000 Active 103 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,000 Active 102 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,000 Active 101 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $179,000 Active 100 DOM
  15. 2026-04-20
    price $179,000
  16. 2026-04-14
    price $179,995
  17. 2026-02-19
    listed $199,995 Active
  18. 2024-03-25
    historical
  19. 2024-03-05
    status Active
  20. 2024-02-29
    historical
  21. 2023-11-28
    listed $169,900 Active
  22. 2023-11-07
    historical
  23. 2023-08-31
    status Active
  24. 2023-08-30
    historical
  25. 2023-07-05
    price $175,000
  26. 2023-07-05
    status Active
  27. 2023-06-30
    historical
  28. 2023-06-23
    status Active
  29. 2023-06-11
    status Pending
  30. 2023-03-21
    listed $179,900 Active
  31. 2023-03-14
    historical
  32. 2022-08-21
    price $1,050
  33. 2022-07-15
    price $1,050
  34. 2007-01-31
    soldstatus $65,000
  35. 2007-01-04
    historical
  36. 2006-09-18
    listed $79,000
  37. 1998-08-28
    soldstatus $53,000
  38. 1996-05-22
    soldstatus $34,500
  39. 1995-08-08
    listed $39,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,722 · $143/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,722 · $143/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,389
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$1,722
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,551
− Management
−$1,551
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable loss
−$1,564
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$375
After-tax cash flow
$1,812/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Berkeley County Schools
NCES district ID
5400060
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$54,599
Composite
26.16/100
National rank
#7273
State rank
#24 of 55 in WV

Livability — Martinsburg

Score
75/100
State rank
#29
US rank
#4057

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Martinsburg, WV
County
Berkeley County · 85,235 people
City population
55,439
Metro
Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
23,990
Household income
$70,633
Rent vs Own
40.0% rent · 60.0% own
Severe rent burden
833.0

Population outlook (Berkeley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
127,359 people
By 2030
134,684 · +5.8%
By 2040
148,219 · +16.4%
By 2050
159,300 · +25.1%
By 2075
179,920 · +41.3%
By 2100
183,896 · +44.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Berkeley

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.8) · D 31.2% · R 67.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -35.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.8 2020: R+31.2 2016: R+37.2 2012: R+21.3 2008: R+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -24.58%
Current HPI
205.3277
Rent YoY
▲ 6.30%
Metro
Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+348.6% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $179,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $179,995 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $199,995 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-03-25 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-03-05 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-02-29 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-11-28 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-11-07 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-08-31 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-08-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-07-05 Price Changed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-07-05 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-06-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-06-23 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-06-11 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-03-21 Listed $179,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-03-14 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-08-21 Price Changed $1,050 RENT.
  • 2022-07-15 Price Changed $1,050 RENT.
  • 2007-01-31 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MRIS
  • 2007-01-04 Delisted MRIS
  • 2006-09-18 Listed $79,000 MRIS
  • 1998-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
  • 1996-05-22 Sold (MLS) $34,500 MRIS
  • 1995-08-08 Listed $39,900 MRIS

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,722 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…