424 E Moler Ave · Martinsburg, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 6,970 sq ft lot
- Built 1880
- Listed 119 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water
- Home design: Detached property; Estimated year built
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Above-grade other structures
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas heating fuel; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Estimated living area; Two fireplaces; Unfinished basement with outside entrance
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (9.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $162k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.0% in Martinsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#29 in WV, #4,057 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment D-.
- Berkeley County Schools (other): math 21% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #24 of 55 in WV (top 44%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,460 units permitted in Berkeley County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Berkeley County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 31y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $179k implies a 175% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.87%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $228,480
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509 E Moler Ave | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,856 (-2%) | 1mo | $249,900 | $135 | 85 |
| 613 Albert St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,000 (+5%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $68 | 75 |
| 721 3rd St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 1,760 (-8%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $88 | 72 |
| 39 Rolling Meadows Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,776 (-7%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $113 | 66 |
| 319 Athletic St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,880 (-1%) | 12mo | $253,000 | $135 | 65 |
| 917 Kaufman Ave | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,742 (-8%) | 13mo | $265,000 | $152 | 63 |
| 329 N High St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,860 (-2%) | 8mo | $243,000 | $131 | 63 |
| 1002 N Queen St | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,728 (-9%) | 7mo | $208,000 | $120 | 60 |
| 210 Gussie Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,816 (-5%) | 4mo | $179,000 | $99 | 56 |
| 218 W Race St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 1,784 (-6%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $78 | 53 |
| 823 E Moler Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,646 (-14%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $61 | 50 |
| 329 Boyd Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,814 (-5%) | 12mo | $294,000 | $162 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-15,864
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $20,242
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25404
- Home prices YoY
- -10.7%
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 109
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,616 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,722/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $120
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 721 2nd St Unit A Martinsburg, WV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1412 | $1,180 | $0.84 | 13d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 316 N High St Martinsburg, WV | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1100 Myna Ct Martinsburg, WV | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1400 | $1,640 | $1.17 | 13d | 15 | 0.69mi |
| 1123 Shepherdstown Rd Martinsburg, WV | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1429 | $1,900 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 328 Boyd Ave Martinsburg, WV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,450 | $0.85 | 21d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 61 Quartz Rd Martinsburg, WV | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2400 | $2,000 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 507 W John St Unit C Martinsburg, WV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2564 | $1,100 | $0.43 | 13d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 600 W John St Martinsburg, WV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 976 | $2,026 | $2.08 | 13d | 14 | 1.19mi |
| 14 Snickers Ct Martinsburg, WV | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1960 | $1,900 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 403 S Tennessee Ave Martinsburg, WV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1880 | $2,000 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 39 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $179,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-04-20price $179,000
-
2026-04-14price $179,995
-
2026-02-19$199,995 Active
-
2024-03-25historical
-
2024-03-05status Active
-
2024-02-29historical
-
2023-11-28$169,900 Active
-
2023-11-07historical
-
2023-08-31status Active
-
2023-08-30historical
-
2023-07-05price $175,000
-
2023-07-05status Active
-
2023-06-30historical
-
2023-06-23status Active
-
2023-06-11status Pending
-
2023-03-21$179,900 Active
-
2023-03-14historical
-
2022-08-21price $1,050
-
2022-07-15price $1,050
-
2007-01-31soldstatus $65,000
-
2007-01-04historical
-
2006-09-18$79,000
-
1998-08-28soldstatus $53,000
-
1996-05-22soldstatus $34,500
-
1995-08-08$39,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,722 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,722 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,389
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$1,722
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,551
- − Management
- −$1,551
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable loss
- −$1,564
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$375
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,812/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berkeley County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400060
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,599
- Composite
- 26.16/100
- National rank
- #7273
- State rank
- #24 of 55 in WV
Livability — Martinsburg
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #29
- US rank
- #4057
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Martinsburg, WV
- County
- Berkeley County · 85,235 people
- City population
- 55,439
- Metro
- Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,990
- Household income
- $70,633
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 833.0
Population outlook (Berkeley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 127,359 people
- By 2030
- 134,684 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 148,219 · +16.4%
- By 2050
- 159,300 · +25.1%
- By 2075
- 179,920 · +41.3%
- By 2100
- 183,896 · +44.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Berkeley
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.8) · D 31.2% · R 67.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -35.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.8 2020: R+31.2 2016: R+37.2 2012: R+21.3 2008: R+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -24.58%
- Current HPI
- 205.3277
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.30%
- Metro
- Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+348.6% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $179,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $179,995 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-19 Listed $199,995 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-03-25 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-03-05 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-02-29 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-11-28 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-11-07 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-08-31 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-08-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-07-05 Price Changed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-07-05 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-06-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-06-23 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-06-11 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-03-21 Listed $179,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-03-14 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-08-21 Price Changed $1,050 RENT.
- 2022-07-15 Price Changed $1,050 RENT.
- 2007-01-31 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MRIS
- 2007-01-04 Delisted — MRIS
- 2006-09-18 Listed $79,000 MRIS
- 1998-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 1996-05-22 Sold (MLS) $34,500 MRIS
- 1995-08-08 Listed $39,900 MRIS
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,722 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…