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1209 Williams St
C Composite 55.35
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.1/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

1209 Williams St · Cahokia Heights, IL 62206
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1953 0.33 ac lot Est $87k · 21% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 bed 1 Bath with a 2 car detached garage Tenanted Property The following updates have been made recently: Updated landscaping, repaired outside fence, painted front stoop, added some outside lighting around the house, replaced some window screens and windows, replaced living room fan and kitchen fan, new flooring in the kitchen, tub reglazed, new flooring in the bathroom, replaced shower valves, fixed and repaired coat room, repaired and paint gutters. This property was tenant occupied therefore we could not include interior photos. Add this to your portfolio today. Close to Shopping Areas, Schools, Public Transportation and Interstate Highways. This is a Must See!!!!! Buyer to verify

Key facts

  • 0.33 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1953

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 3 total parking spaces; 2-car garage; 1-car carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Back yard

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $362 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 13.6% in Cahokia Heights — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Cahokia High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 845 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 85% district-wide (85 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,377/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $51k; list at $105k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.43%
Cash-on-cash
14.79%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$87,048
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1408 Williams St 0.33mi 3/1.0 936 (0%) 1mo $80,000 $85 79
1417 Richard Dr 0.38mi 3/1.0 936 (0%) 2mo $105,000 $112 76
1106 Saint Benedict Dr 0.36mi 3/1.0 957 (+2%) 2mo $74,500 $78 74
1114 Saint Helena Dr 0.27mi 3/1.0 875 (-6%) 1mo $82,500 $94 72
1426 Richard Dr 0.44mi 3/1.5 912 (-3%) 2mo $80,000 $88 71
1313 Saint Raphael St 0.27mi 3/1.0 864 (-8%) 1mo $105,000 $122 70
1115 Saint Michael Dr 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,017 (+9%) 1mo $82,500 $81 67
1109 Saint Helena Dr 0.27mi 3/1.0 825 (-12%) 1mo $75,000 $91 63
235 St Christopher Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 925 (-1%) 2mo $22,950 $25 63
1745 Harvest Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 872 (-7%) 2mo $105,000 $120 54
103 Kenneth Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 864 (-8%) 1mo $105,000 $122 51
1150 Price St 0.75mi 3/1.0 864 (-8%) 1mo $80,000 $93 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$6,081
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
14.8%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$35,092
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62206

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,377 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax est. 1.5%
$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$289
Net cashflow
$362

Break-even live

Break-even rent $919
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $435 -5% $399 +0% $362 +5% $326 +10% $290
Rent -10% $254 -5% $308 +0% $362 +5% $417 +10% $471
Rate -1.0pp $415 -0.5pp $389 base $362 +0.5pp $335 +1.0pp $307

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1220 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 876 $1,500 $1.71 15d 1 0.10mi
818 La Salle Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1106 $1,300 $1.18 24d 1 0.18mi
1109 Saint Helena Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 825 $1,400 $1.70 3d 1 0.24mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 17d 1 0.25mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 15d 1 0.25mi
819 Mildred Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,250 $1.34 22d 1 0.28mi
1405 Williams St Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 44d 1 0.35mi
1417 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,400 $1.50 22d 1 0.42mi
1421 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,100 $1.18 2d 1 0.45mi
850 Saint Bartholomew Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,285 $1.22 17d 1 0.45mi
1716 # E Unit Loretta Ave unit East St Louis, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,000 $1.39 44d 1 0.50mi
1713 Loretta Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 944 $1,095 $1.16 44d 1 0.50mi
1162 Smith St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,295 $1.31 22d 1 0.61mi
1808 Mullens Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 992 $1,500 $1.51 3d 1 0.63mi
1150 Price St Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 3d 1 0.74mi
142 Saint Barbara Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 2.0 990 $1,300 $1.31 44d 1 0.75mi
121 Saint Dorothy Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,500 $1.52 44d 1 0.78mi
811 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,295 $1.25 24d 1 0.82mi
1002 Upper Cahokia Rd East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 720 $860 $1.19 15d 1 0.88mi
124 Saint James Ln Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,350 $1.27 44d 1 0.95mi
701 Saint Paul Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 44d 1 0.95mi
148 Saint James Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,200 $1.39 44d 1 0.97mi
1706 Andrews Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 925 $1,320 $1.43 24d 1 0.98mi
502 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 3d 1 1.00mi
500 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $950 $1.10 24d 1 1.01mi
111 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,350 $1.30 44d 1 1.03mi
2008 Delores St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,250 $1.35 5d 1 1.04mi
526 Saint Leo Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,400 $1.51 3d 1 1.08mi
705 Saint Martin Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1033 $1,600 $1.55 22d 1 1.12mi
101 E 5th St Cahokia, IL 2.0 1.0 770 $900 $1.17 44d 1 1.18mi
2116 Doris Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 880 $1,400 $1.59 22d 1 1.21mi
211 Judith Ln East Saint Louis, IL 2.0 1.0 672 $995 $1.48 5d 1 1.25mi
58 David St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 44d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-13
    listed $105,000 Pending 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,525
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,575
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,322
− Management
−$1,322
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$2,845
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$683
After-tax cash flow
$3,665/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cahokia CUSD 187
NCES district ID
1708040
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
5% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$28,028
Composite
6.44/100
National rank
#14827
State rank
#864 of 919 in IL

Livability — Cahokia Heights

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Cahokia Heights, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
19,956
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
12,959
Household income
$33,838
Rent vs Own
44.5% rent · 55.5% own
Severe rent burden
729.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.26%
Current HPI
131.5144
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+90.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $105,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
  • 2025-08-15 Rental Removed $1,250 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-06-26 Price Changed $1,250 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-05-01 Listed for Rent $1,350 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-12-09 Listed $55,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-22.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $54 · -97.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…