1631 20th St · Anson, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- ARV discount +2.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover the potential in this solid brick home located on a quiet street of small town Anson! Offering space, character, and room to make it your own, this property is ideal for buyers looking for value and a peaceful setting. The home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, along with two separate living areas, providing flexibility for family living, entertaining, or a home office setup. A basement offers added peace of mind during storm season, a rare and valuable feature in this area. Step outside to enjoy a large backyard, perfect for gatherings, gardening, or pets. The home will require foundation leveling, and the seller is offering a $10,800 credit at closing to address this work. An estimate is available. Aside from this credit, the property is being sold strictly AS IS. If you’re looking for a well-built home with space, charm, and potential in a quiet location, this property is well worth a look!
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Basement
- Large backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $163k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#377 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, employment D.
- Anson ISD (rural): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #565 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Jones County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
- Jones County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.32%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $166,620
- List price
- $185,000
- Delta
- 11.03%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1719 21st St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,789 (-6%) | 3mo | $199,999 | $112 | 84 |
| 1732 22nd St | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 | 1,646 (-13%) | 5mo | $129,999 | $79 | 66 |
| 1428 Ave. M | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,969 (+4%) | 17mo | $175,000 | $89 | 62 |
| 2131 Avenue O | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,727 (-9%) | 22mo | $179,900 | $104 | 62 |
| 2212 Avenue N | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,612 (-15%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $112 | 59 |
| 2306 County Road 475 | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 2,048 (+8%) | 8mo | $399,900 | $195 | 51 |
| 7611 County Road 463 | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,938 (+2%) | 24mo | $240,000 | $124 | 51 |
| 1902 Avenue J | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,779 (-6%) | 16mo | $165,000 | $93 | 51 |
| 1114 Avenue L | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,726 (-9%) | 9mo | $109,900 | $64 | 49 |
| 1226 15th St | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,770 (-6%) | 19mo | $130,000 | $73 | 49 |
| 1402 Avenue K | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,675 (-12%) | 18mo | $45,000 | $27 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.13% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $100,504
- Equity at exit
- $95,221
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.84×
- Total profit
- $250,866
- Equity at exit
- $156,889
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79501
- Home prices YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,947 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$231 /mo · $2,775/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$619
- Net cashflow
- $1,050
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $185,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $185,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $185,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $185,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-03-12price $185,000 924-char remark
Show marketing remark (924 chars)
Discover the potential in this solid brick home located on a quiet street of small town Anson! Offering space, character, and room to make it your own, this property is ideal for buyers looking for value and a peaceful setting. The home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, along with two separate living areas, providing flexibility for family living, entertaining, or a home office setup. A basement offers added peace of mind during storm season, a rare and valuable feature in this area. Step outside to enjoy a large backyard, perfect for gatherings, gardening, or pets. The home will require foundation leveling, and the seller is offering a $10,800 credit at closing to address this work. An estimate is available. Aside from this credit, the property is being sold strictly AS IS. If you’re looking for a well-built home with space, charm, and potential in a quiet location, this property is well worth a look!
-
2026-01-21price $195,000 924-char remark
Show marketing remark (924 chars)
Discover the potential in this solid brick home located on a quiet street of small town Anson! Offering space, character, and room to make it your own, this property is ideal for buyers looking for value and a peaceful setting. The home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, along with two separate living areas, providing flexibility for family living, entertaining, or a home office setup. A basement offers added peace of mind during storm season, a rare and valuable feature in this area. Step outside to enjoy a large backyard, perfect for gatherings, gardening, or pets. The home will require foundation leveling, and the seller is offering a $10,800 credit at closing to address this work. An estimate is available. Aside from this credit, the property is being sold strictly AS IS. If you’re looking for a well-built home with space, charm, and potential in a quiet location, this property is well worth a look!
-
2025-12-18$205,000 Active 924-char remark
Show marketing remark (924 chars)
Discover the potential in this solid brick home located on a quiet street of small town Anson! Offering space, character, and room to make it your own, this property is ideal for buyers looking for value and a peaceful setting. The home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, along with two separate living areas, providing flexibility for family living, entertaining, or a home office setup. A basement offers added peace of mind during storm season, a rare and valuable feature in this area. Step outside to enjoy a large backyard, perfect for gatherings, gardening, or pets. The home will require foundation leveling, and the seller is offering a $10,800 credit at closing to address this work. An estimate is available. Aside from this credit, the property is being sold strictly AS IS. If you’re looking for a well-built home with space, charm, and potential in a quiet location, this property is well worth a look!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,366
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,775
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,829
- − Management
- −$2,829
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $10,262
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,463
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,134/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This solid brick home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathrooms, and paint the exterior. Foundation leveling is also needed. The property has potential for increased value with these updates.
Repairs flagged
- Major foundation leveling — mentioned in listing remarks
- Moderate exterior paint — brick siding shows discoloration
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — modernizing kitchen will appeal to buyers and renters
- Both update bathrooms with new fixtures and tile — modernizing bathrooms will appeal to buyers and renters
- Both paint exterior and replace siding — improving curb appeal will attract more buyers and renters
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| foundation leveling · mentioned in listing remarks | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior paint · brick siding shows discoloration | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $18,000–65,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — modernizing kitchen will appeal to buyers and renters ↑
- Both update bathrooms with new fixtures and tile — modernizing bathrooms will appeal to buyers and renters ↑
- Both paint exterior and replace siding — improving curb appeal will attract more buyers and renters ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anson ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808400
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,223
- Composite
- 28.21/100
- National rank
- #6805
- State rank
- #565 of 826 in TX
Livability — Anson
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #377
- US rank
- #7976
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Anson, TX
- City population
- 2,635
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,635
Population outlook (Jones County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,845 people
- By 2030
- 20,213 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 21,446 · +8.1%
- By 2050
- 22,499 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 23,272 · +17.3%
- By 2100
- 20,420 · +2.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 12% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Serbian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 19%
Political lean MEDSL · Jones
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+73.2) · D 13.1% · R 86.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.1pp · 2024: -73.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+73.2 2020: R+69.1 2016: R+65.4 2012: R+54.5 2008: R+46.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.13%
- Current HPI
- 148.5884
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-9.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $185,000 NTREIS
- 2026-01-21 Price Changed $195,000 NTREIS
- 2025-12-18 Listed $205,000 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…