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1631 20th St
B Composite 70.67
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +2.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$185,000

1631 20th St · Anson, TX 79501
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,894 sqft · SingleFamily · 182 Days on market
Built 1970 Fair condition 0.29 ac lot $98/sqft · 11% above area Est $167k · 11% over ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the potential in this solid brick home located on a quiet street of small town Anson! Offering space, character, and room to make it your own, this property is ideal for buyers looking for value and a peaceful setting. The home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, along with two separate living areas, providing flexibility for family living, entertaining, or a home office setup. A basement offers added peace of mind during storm season, a rare and valuable feature in this area. Step outside to enjoy a large backyard, perfect for gatherings, gardening, or pets. The home will require foundation leveling, and the seller is offering a $10,800 credit at closing to address this work. An estimate is available. Aside from this credit, the property is being sold strictly AS IS. If you’re looking for a well-built home with space, charm, and potential in a quiet location, this property is well worth a look!

Key facts

  • Quiet street
  • Basement
  • Large backyard

Tags

SOLID BRICK HOMEQUIET STREETTWO SEPARATE LIVING AREASBASEMENTLARGE BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $163k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#377 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, employment D.
  • Anson ISD (rural): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #565 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Jones County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
  • Jones County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $162,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
13.10%
Cash-on-cash
24.32%
DSCR
2.08
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$166,620
List price
$185,000
Delta
11.03%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1719 21st St 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,789 (-6%) 3mo $199,999 $112 84
1732 22nd St 0.12mi 3/2.5 1,646 (-13%) 5mo $129,999 $79 66
1428 Ave. M 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,969 (+4%) 17mo $175,000 $89 62
2131 Avenue O 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,727 (-9%) 22mo $179,900 $104 62
2212 Avenue N 0.18mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,612 (-15%) 3mo $180,000 $112 59
2306 County Road 475 0.60mi 3/2.0 2,048 (+8%) 8mo $399,900 $195 51
7611 County Road 463 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,938 (+2%) 24mo $240,000 $124 51
1902 Avenue J 0.44mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,779 (-6%) 16mo $165,000 $93 51
1114 Avenue L 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,726 (-9%) 9mo $109,900 $64 49
1226 15th St 0.42mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,770 (-6%) 19mo $130,000 $73 49
1402 Avenue K 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,675 (-12%) 18mo $45,000 $27 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.13% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.5%
Equity multiple
2.94×
Total profit
$100,504
Equity at exit
$95,221
10-year hold
IRR
31.8%
Equity multiple
5.84×
Total profit
$250,866
Equity at exit
$156,889

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79501

Home prices YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,947 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax est. 1.5%
$231 /mo · $2,775/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$619
Net cashflow
$1,050

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,618
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $185,000 Active 182 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 181 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,000 Active 180 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,000 Active 179 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 178 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $185,000 Active 176 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 175 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $185,000 Active 173 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 172 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 171 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 170 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $185,000 Active 166 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 165 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 164 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 163 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $185,000 Active 162 DOM
  17. 2026-03-12
    price $185,000 924-char remark
    Show marketing remark (924 chars)

    Discover the potential in this solid brick home located on a quiet street of small town Anson! Offering space, character, and room to make it your own, this property is ideal for buyers looking for value and a peaceful setting. The home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, along with two separate living areas, providing flexibility for family living, entertaining, or a home office setup. A basement offers added peace of mind during storm season, a rare and valuable feature in this area. Step outside to enjoy a large backyard, perfect for gatherings, gardening, or pets. The home will require foundation leveling, and the seller is offering a $10,800 credit at closing to address this work. An estimate is available. Aside from this credit, the property is being sold strictly AS IS. If you’re looking for a well-built home with space, charm, and potential in a quiet location, this property is well worth a look!

  18. 2026-01-21
    price $195,000 924-char remark
    Show marketing remark (924 chars)

    Discover the potential in this solid brick home located on a quiet street of small town Anson! Offering space, character, and room to make it your own, this property is ideal for buyers looking for value and a peaceful setting. The home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, along with two separate living areas, providing flexibility for family living, entertaining, or a home office setup. A basement offers added peace of mind during storm season, a rare and valuable feature in this area. Step outside to enjoy a large backyard, perfect for gatherings, gardening, or pets. The home will require foundation leveling, and the seller is offering a $10,800 credit at closing to address this work. An estimate is available. Aside from this credit, the property is being sold strictly AS IS. If you’re looking for a well-built home with space, charm, and potential in a quiet location, this property is well worth a look!

  19. 2025-12-18
    listed $205,000 Active 924-char remark
    Show marketing remark (924 chars)

    Discover the potential in this solid brick home located on a quiet street of small town Anson! Offering space, character, and room to make it your own, this property is ideal for buyers looking for value and a peaceful setting. The home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, along with two separate living areas, providing flexibility for family living, entertaining, or a home office setup. A basement offers added peace of mind during storm season, a rare and valuable feature in this area. Step outside to enjoy a large backyard, perfect for gatherings, gardening, or pets. The home will require foundation leveling, and the seller is offering a $10,800 credit at closing to address this work. An estimate is available. Aside from this credit, the property is being sold strictly AS IS. If you’re looking for a well-built home with space, charm, and potential in a quiet location, this property is well worth a look!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,366
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$2,775
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,829
− Management
−$2,829
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$10,262
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,463
After-tax cash flow
$10,134/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This solid brick home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathrooms, and paint the exterior. Foundation leveling is also needed. The property has potential for increased value with these updates.

Repairs flagged

  • Major foundation leveling — mentioned in listing remarks
  • Moderate exterior paint — brick siding shows discoloration

Value-add opportunities

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — modernizing kitchen will appeal to buyers and renters
  • Both update bathrooms with new fixtures and tile — modernizing bathrooms will appeal to buyers and renters
  • Both paint exterior and replace siding — improving curb appeal will attract more buyers and renters

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
foundation leveling · mentioned in listing remarks Major $15,000–50,000
exterior paint · brick siding shows discoloration Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $18,000–65,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — modernizing kitchen will appeal to buyers and renters
  • Both update bathrooms with new fixtures and tile — modernizing bathrooms will appeal to buyers and renters
  • Both paint exterior and replace siding — improving curb appeal will attract more buyers and renters

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anson ISD
NCES district ID
4808400
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$45,223
Composite
28.21/100
National rank
#6805
State rank
#565 of 826 in TX

Livability — Anson

Score
70/100
State rank
#377
US rank
#7976

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Anson, TX
City population
2,635
Population (ZIP)
2,635

Population outlook (Jones County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,845 people
By 2030
20,213 · +1.9%
By 2040
21,446 · +8.1%
By 2050
22,499 · +13.4%
By 2075
23,272 · +17.3%
By 2100
20,420 · +2.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 12% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Serbian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 19%

Political lean MEDSL · Jones

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.2) · D 13.1% · R 86.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.1pp · 2024: -73.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.2 2020: R+69.1 2016: R+65.4 2012: R+54.5 2008: R+46.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.13%
Current HPI
148.5884
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $185,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-01-21 Price Changed $195,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-12-18 Listed $205,000 NTREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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