2872 State Highway 11b · Parishville, NY 12965

$89,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,028 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market

Built 1900 0.58 ac lot ↓ 18% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +6.8/10.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Charming older home located in the peaceful Town of Hopkinton, NY, offering space and potential for the right buyer. This property features 4 bedrooms, including three bedrooms and a full bath on the second floor, plus one bedroom and an additional bath on the main level, providing flexible living options. A large barn adds valuable bonus space with many possible uses, including storage, hobbies, or workshop space. The home is being sold as-is and is priced to reflect updates and improvements that may be desired. A great opportunity for buyers looking to personalize a property in a quiet, small-town setting. Financing options should be discussed with your lender to determine eligibility.

Key facts

• Bonus space
• Large barn
• 0.58 acre lot

Tags

• LARGE BARN
• FLEXIBLE LIVING OPTIONS
• BONUS SPACE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $405 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
• Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#997 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, crime F.
• Parishville-Hopkinton Central School District (rural): math 65% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #326 of 755 in NY (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $4k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
• St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $86,330 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.59% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.75%
• Cash-on-cash: 19.49%
• DSCR: 1.87
• GRM: 5.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.59% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 27.1%
• Equity multiple: 2.58×
• Total profit: $39,388
• Equity at exit: $43,003

10-year hold

• IRR: 27.2%
• Equity multiple: 5.05×
• Total profit: $100,826
• Equity at exit: $68,694

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 12965

• Home prices YoY: 1.1%
• Active inventory: 9
• Price-to-rent: 5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,415 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$467
• Tax from tax record: −$209 /mo · $2,513/yr
• Insurance: −$37
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$297
• Net cashflow: $405

Break-even live

Break-even rent $903

Max offer price $89,000

Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $22,250
• Closing costs: $2,670
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-03-29
   status Pending
2. 2026-02-16
   listed $89,000 Active
3. 2025-10-27
   status Active
4. 2025-10-27
   price $89,000
5. 2025-08-27
   status Pending
6. 2025-07-28
   price $99,000
7. 2025-06-12
   listed $109,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,513 · $209/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,513 · $209/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,981
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,985
• − Property taxes: −$2,513
• − Insurance: −$445
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,359
• − Management: −$1,359
• − Depreciation: −$2,589
• Taxable income: $3,732
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$896
• After-tax cash flow: $3,961/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Parishville-Hopkinton Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3622440
• Math proficiency: 65% ▲ 10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $43,130
• Composite: 50.48/100
• National rank: #3989
• State rank: #326 of 755 in NY

Livability — Parishville

• Score: 60/100
• State rank: #997
• US rank: #19460

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing B- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 281

Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 110,027 people
• By 2030: 107,455 · -2.3%
• By 2040: 100,492 · -8.7%
• By 2050: 94,254 · -14.3%
• By 2075: 80,175 · -27.1%
• By 2100: 63,140 · -42.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (94%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 94% Asian 4% Two or more races 1%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 14% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 5%
• Foreign-born: 3% · South Korea
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence

• 2024 margin: R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 3.59%
• Current HPI: 315.2417
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-18.3% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-29 Pending — SLCMLS
• 2026-02-16 Listed $89,000 SLCMLS
• 2025-10-27 Relisted — SLCMLS
• 2025-10-27 Price Changed $89,000 SLCMLS
• 2025-08-27 Pending — SLCMLS
• 2025-07-28 Price Changed $99,000 SLCMLS
• 2025-06-12 Listed $109,000 SLCMLS

Property tax history

+7.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,513 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.