2015 Brookline Ave · Dayton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Special! Opportunity awaits with this 2-bedroom home offering tremendous value-add potential. Being sold strictly as-is, this property is ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for their next renovation project. The home features replacement windows, a covered front porch, and a detached 1.5-car garage. Inside, the property is ready for a complete update, providing the perfect blank canvas to maximize value. The full basement offers additional possibilities with plumbing already in place for a potential second bathroom and HVAC ductwork extended to a possible third bedroom, creating an opportunity to add finished living space and increase future resale value. With strong
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Hvac ductwork
- Full basement
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Detached one-car garage with storage
- Utilities: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Aluminum siding construction
- Exterior features: Residential lot approximately 0.11 acres (dimensions ~120 x 40); Aluminum siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (about 12 x 12)
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms (each about 12 x 14)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating using natural gas; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full, unfinished basement; Total of 5 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Utility space in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $50 ($599/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (6.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $107k (6.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: River'S Edge Montessori Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,193 of 1,584 statewide, top 76%, 494 students, 0% FRL); Belmont High School (math 5% / reading 20%, grade F, #720 of 781 statewide, top 93%, 1,100 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 74% district-wide (74 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 106 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $115k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.86%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $145,416
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2105 King Ave | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 836 (-5%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $150 | 88 |
| 3312 Wayne Ave | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 948 (+8%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $137 | 74 |
| 2849 Revere Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 884 (+1%) | 1mo | $132,000 | $149 | 64 |
| 1205 Epworth Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 930 (+6%) | 2mo | $74,969 | $81 | 61 |
| 127 Bellaire Ave | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 858 (-2%) | 1mo | $142,000 | $166 | 61 |
| 2127 Moreland Ave | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+10%) | 0mo | $134,000 | $140 | 60 |
| 1105 Pritz Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 872 (-0%) | 2mo | $181,900 | $209 | 59 |
| 541 Watervliet Ave | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 1,000 (+14%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $175 | 51 |
| 2012 St. Charles Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 945 (+8%) | 3mo | $80,500 | $85 | 50 |
| 4250 Pleasant View Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 748 (-15%) | 1mo | $169,900 | $227 | 42 |
| 2735 Argella Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 962 (+10%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $172 | 41 |
| 4246 Pleasant View Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.5 | 748 (-15%) | 1mo | $136,000 | $182 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-13,438
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $983
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45420
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 106
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,073 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$147 /mo · $1,758/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $50
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $115 | -5% $82 | +0% $50 | +5% $17 | +10% $-15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-35 | -5% $8 | +0% $50 | +5% $92 | +10% $135 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $108 | -0.5pp $79 | base $50 | +0.5pp $20 | +1.0pp $-10 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2029 Brookline Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,270 | $1.28 | 16d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1905 Coventry Rd Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2416 Brookline Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $895 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 511 Haskins Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $775 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1410 Phillips Ave Unit 1 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2306 Alice St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,200 | $1.31 | 5d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1274 Highland Ave Unit A Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $795 | $0.88 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 854 Santa Cruz Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,300 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 737 Wilmington Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 922 Wilmington Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,200 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1430 Coventry Rd Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $1,125 | $1.02 | 16d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 933 Wilmington Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 802 | $980 | $1.22 | 5d | 8 | 0.74mi |
| 2012 Saint Charles Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2308 Wayne Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $895 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2200 Wayne Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $975 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1053 Wilmington Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1025 | $1,295 | $1.26 | 4d | 5 | 0.85mi |
| 1059 Wilmington Ave Unit 1059 1 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1354 Ohmer St Unit 1354C Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $700 | $0.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1354 Ohmer St Unit 1354A Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $675 | $0.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 426 Kling Dr Unit B Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,500 | $2.50 | 5d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3100 Linden Ave Unit 3102 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1035 | $995 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 344 Firwood Dr Dayton, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 739 | $1,122 | $1.52 | 4d | 15 | 0.90mi |
| 1355 Ohmer St Unit 15 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $725 | $1.21 | 16d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1659 Hearthstone Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1102 | $1,195 | $1.08 | 4d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1351 Ohmer St Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $725 | $1.21 | 5d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 13 Anderson St Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 605 | $775 | $1.28 | 16d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 9 Anderson St Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 605 | $775 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 9 Anderson St Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $750 | $0.88 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1238 Colwick Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 786 | $1,250 | $1.59 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 823 Fourman Ct Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 577 | $839 | $1.45 | 5d | 2 | 0.97mi |
| 16 Mello Ave Unit A Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $800 | $0.80 | 16d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 809 Patterson Rd Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 895 | $1,075 | $1.20 | 4d | 7 | 1.00mi |
| 1132 Wyoming St Unit 3 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $700 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1132 Wyoming St Unit 2 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $700 | $1.27 | 5d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 156 Gunckel Ave Apt 2 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $700 | $0.88 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 41 Patterson Village Dr Dayton, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 553 | $920 | $1.66 | 5d | 14 | 1.06mi |
| 2850 Hazel Ave Unit 1496064P Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $6,259 | $7.36 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3311 S Smithville Rd Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1019 | $1,295 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 57 Gunckel Ave Unit 57 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $675 | $0.96 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 30 Harper Ave Unit 30 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $675 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-22remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-22$115,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,758 · $147/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,776 · $148/mo
- Expected delta
- +$18/yr (+$1/mo · 1.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,872
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,758
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,030
- − Management
- −$1,030
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$1,308
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$314
- After-tax cash flow
- $913/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,411
- Household income
- $60,588
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 856.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Chinese 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -192.56%
- Current HPI
- 241.6543
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.82%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+223.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-19 Listed $115,000 Dayton MLS
- 1988-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $49,900 Public Records
- 1985-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $35,600 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,758 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…