302 Idlewood Rd · Penn Hills, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.6/30.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- ARV discount +1.5/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home is located on a quiet street in Penn Hills. Perfect home for investors. Home needs TLC.
Key facts
- Finished game area
- Cape cod style home
- Newer windows
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Built-in parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Construction: Brick exterior; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Composition roof; Resale condition; Lot about 0.21 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove; Some gas appliances
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Multi-pane windows; Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-56 ($-669/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $169k (5.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (20.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $142k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Penn Hills SD (suburban): math 13% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #496 of 539 in PA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $179k implies a 894% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.33%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $157,961
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230 Idlewood Rd | 0.14mi | 2/1.5 | 1,062 (-8%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $127 | 78 |
| 117 Clay Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,163 (+1%) | 2mo | $194,000 | $167 | 76 |
| 1243 Universal Rd | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,163 (+1%) | 2mo | $149,000 | $128 | 75 |
| 393 Collins Dr | 0.17mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,238 (+7%) | 5mo | $182,000 | $147 | 65 |
| 105 Clay Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-6%) | 7mo | $92,500 | $86 | 62 |
| 136 Deerfield Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,145 (-1%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $166 | 60 |
| 833 Macbeth Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,250 (+8%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $188 | 57 |
| 131 S Joslyn Dr | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 988 (-14%) | 2mo | $88,000 | $89 | 51 |
| 333 Stotler Rd | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,026 (-11%) | 3mo | $201,000 | $196 | 38 |
| 430 Parkridge Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,276 (+11%) | 7mo | $139,175 | $109 | 35 |
| 124 Lewis Dr | 0.55mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,318 (+14%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $137 | 34 |
| 129 Windsor Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 992 (-14%) | 7mo | $84,000 | $85 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-25,624
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $4,422
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15235
- Home prices YoY
- -34.1%
- Rents YoY
- 7.6%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,424 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$168 /mo · $2,010/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $-56
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154 Collins Dr Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $1,295 | $1.31 | 2d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 279 Hazel Rd Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,732 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 98 Stotler Rd Penn Hills, PA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1660 | $1,200 | $0.72 | 7d | 3 | 0.38mi |
| 717 Jefferson Rd Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,295 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 175 Charleston Dr Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1163 | $1,799 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 261 Universal Rd Unit 261UNIV Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,225 | $1.11 | 3d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 127 Stowe Dr Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,495 | $1.58 | 21d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 325 Poe Dr Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,599 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1160 Jefferson Rd Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $1,295 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 11843 Joan Dr Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 4d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3910 Old William Penn Hwy Penn Hills, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $1,175 | $1.57 | 2d | 3 | 1.22mi |
| 409 Nike Dr Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $1,325 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $179,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,010 · $168/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,419 · $202/mo
- Expected delta
- +$409/yr (+$34/mo · 20.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,090
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$2,010
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,367
- − Management
- −$1,367
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable loss
- −$3,784
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$908
- After-tax cash flow
- $239/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Penn Hills SD
- NCES district ID
- 4218590
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,794
- Composite
- 16.42/100
- National rank
- #9192
- State rank
- #496 of 539 in PA
Livability — Penn Hills
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,951
- Household income
- $67,240
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 955.0
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 40% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.68%
- Current HPI
- 235.4861
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.63%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+894.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $179,000 West Penn MLS
- 2019-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
- 2017-03-15 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2016-07-15 Listed $50,000 West Penn MLS
- 2010-07-08 Sold (MLS) $18,000 West Penn MLS
- 2010-07-08 Price Changed $39,500 West Penn MLS
- 2009-07-22 Listed $18,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2026): $2,010 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…