825 Mccurdy Blvd · Manchester, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 62.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.4/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
$167,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this charming single-family residence in the heart of Manchester. Built in 1967, this well-maintained home offers 1,680 square feet of comfortable living space with 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Inside, you'll find beautiful hardwood floors that add warmth and character throughout the home, along with a cozy fireplace that creates the perfect gathering space for relaxing evenings. The thoughtful layout provides both functionality and comfort for everyday living. Step outside to enjoy a fully fenced backyard-ideal for pets, outdoor entertaining, or simply enjoying your private outdoor space. Located in a great neighborhood with a welcoming community feel, this property also offers convenient proximity to local shops, dining, and amenities in town. Whether you're looking for your first home, downsizing, or adding to your investment portfolio, this property combines classic charm, comfort, and a fantastic location.
Key facts
- Great neighborhood
- Cozy fireplace
- Convenient proximity
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $167k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $82 ($982/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (13.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $145k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 5.1% in Manchester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#525 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
- Meriwether County (rural): math 18% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #144 of 174 in GA (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 180 units permitted in Meriwether County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Meriwether County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($152k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.10%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $187,332
- List price
- $167,000
- Delta
- -10.85%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 819 Mccurdy Blvd | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,644 (-2%) | 14mo | $157,500 | $96 | 82 |
| 908 Mccurdy Blvd | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,840 (+10%) | 12mo | $190,000 | $103 | 71 |
| 794 Karen Dr | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,530 (-9%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $131 | 70 |
| 915 Mccurdy Blvd | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,839 (+10%) | 13mo | $200,000 | $109 | 68 |
| 746 Sharon Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,554 (-8%) | 17mo | $150,000 | $97 | 66 |
| 434 Parkman Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,852 (+10%) | 6mo | $188,400 | $102 | 66 |
| 907 Mayes Way | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,922 (+14%) | 2mo | $219,900 | $114 | 64 |
| 912 Karen Dr Unit 4.43 ACRES | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 | 1,890 (+12%) | 11mo | $319,900 | $169 | 60 |
| 623 Mayes Way | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,817 (+8%) | 18mo | $150,000 | $83 | 56 |
| 933 Linda Ln | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,492 (-11%) | 17mo | $199,900 | $134 | 55 |
| 511 Chafin Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,726 (+3%) | 16mo | $92,000 | $53 | 54 |
| 504 Parkman Dr | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,444 (-14%) | 18mo | $165,000 | $114 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.06×
- Total profit
- $96,129
- Equity at exit
- $150,447
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.96×
- Total profit
- $278,921
- Equity at exit
- $324,444
Cash invested: $46,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31816
- Home prices YoY
- 8.7%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,450 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$876
- Tax from tax record
- −$118 /mo · $1,420/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $82
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,750
- Closing costs
- $5,010
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213 Walker Ave Manchester, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $1,450 | $0.91 | 19d | 1 | 0.79mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $167,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $167,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $167,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $167,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $167,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $167,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $167,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $167,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $167,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $167,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $167,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $167,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $167,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $167,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $167,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-30statusdays on market $167,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-03-11$176,000 New 962-char remark
Show marketing remark (959 chars)
Welcome home to this charming single-family residence in the heart of Manchester. Built in 1967, this well-maintained home offers 1,680 square feet of comfortable living space with 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Inside, you'll find beautiful hardwood floors that add warmth and character throughout the home, along with a cozy fireplace that creates the perfect gathering space for relaxing evenings. The thoughtful layout provides both functionality and comfort for everyday living. Step outside to enjoy a fully fenced backyard—ideal for pets, outdoor entertaining, or simply enjoying your private outdoor space. Located in a great neighborhood with a welcoming community feel, this property also offers convenient proximity to local shops, dining, and amenities in town. Whether you're looking for your first home, downsizing, or adding to your investment portfolio, this property combines classic charm, comfort, and a fantastic location.
-
2026-03-11$176,000 Active 959-char remark
Show marketing remark (959 chars)
Welcome home to this charming single-family residence in the heart of Manchester. Built in 1967, this well-maintained home offers 1,680 square feet of comfortable living space with 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Inside, you'll find beautiful hardwood floors that add warmth and character throughout the home, along with a cozy fireplace that creates the perfect gathering space for relaxing evenings. The thoughtful layout provides both functionality and comfort for everyday living. Step outside to enjoy a fully fenced backyard—ideal for pets, outdoor entertaining, or simply enjoying your private outdoor space. Located in a great neighborhood with a welcoming community feel, this property also offers convenient proximity to local shops, dining, and amenities in town. Whether you're looking for your first home, downsizing, or adding to your investment portfolio, this property combines classic charm, comfort, and a fantastic location.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,420 · $118/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,536 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$116/yr (+$10/mo · 8.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 62% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,355
- − Property taxes
- −$1,420
- − Insurance
- −$835
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,392
- − Management
- −$1,392
- − Depreciation
- −$4,858
- Taxable loss
- −$1,852
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$444
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,426/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Meriwether County
- NCES district ID
- 1303630
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,287
- Composite
- 16.59/100
- National rank
- #9175
- State rank
- #144 of 174 in GA
Livability — Manchester
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #525
- US rank
- #23555
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Manchester, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,872
Population outlook (Meriwether County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,554 people
- By 2030
- 18,482 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 16,204 · -17.1%
- By 2050
- 14,030 · -28.2%
- By 2075
- 9,539 · -51.2%
- By 2100
- 6,136 · -68.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 48% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Meriwether
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 37.1% · R 62.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -5.4pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+20.6 2016: R+15.4 2012: R+5.7 2008: R+5.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.75%
- Current HPI
- 298.3716
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-11 Listed $176,000 CBOR
- 2026-03-11 Listed $176,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,420 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…