15 Winchester Ave Unit 1B · Yonkers, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Rare bright and fully updated Bryn Mawr Ridge one-bedroom garden coop offers suburban living with the convenience of nearby shopping, Parkway access, and public transportation. The landscaped courtyards, and a park-like design compliment the amenities of on-site laundry, ample parking, and room to relax.
Key facts
- Updated kitchen
- Major highways
- Built 1981
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $525 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $184k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 5.3% in Yonkers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#528 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A, commute B; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Yonkers City School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #413 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Yonkers Early Childhood Academy (327 students, 72% FRL); Yonkers Middle School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #587 of 729 statewide, top 81%, 601 students, 88% FRL); Yonkers High School (math 92% / reading 88%, grade A+, #238 of 1,100 statewide, top 23%, 1,060 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 64% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 163 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $135k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.85%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $2,704
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $45,557
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 5 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Yonkers
- 5 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+20
ZIP-level market 10710
- Active inventory
- 163
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,326 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$237 /mo · $2,848/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$488
- Net cashflow
- $525
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 Winchester Ave Unit 2A Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,100 | $3.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 8 Wainwright Ave Unit 2A Yonkers, NY | — | 1.0 | 700 | $1,600 | $2.29 | 7d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 12 Wainwright Ave Apt 1B Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,950 | $2.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 28 Kenilworth Rd Unit The Cottage Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,950 | $3.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1549 Central Park Ave Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,400 | $2.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 717 Tuckahoe Rd Unit 16A Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,495 | $3.84 | 4d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4 Sadore Ln Unit 2W Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,000 | $2.50 | 17d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 278 Mile Square Rd Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,650 | $2.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 64 Kensington Rd Apt 1A Bronxville, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,895 | $3.62 | 11d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 128 Colonial Pkwy Unit 3B Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 871 | $2,750 | $3.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 601 Ridge Hill Blvd Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 819 | $3,500 | $4.27 | 7d | 14 | 0.97mi |
| 64 Sagamore Rd Unit A6 Bronxville, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,900 | $3.41 | 4d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 111 Kensington Rd Unit 8 Bronxville, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $2,650 | $3.21 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1 Elm St Unit 3B Tuckahoe, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 7d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1 Elm St Unit 3B Tuckahoe, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 10d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 51 Parkway Rd Apt 3 Bronxville, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,100 | $2.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 23 Belknap Ave Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 21 Scarsdale Rd Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 835 | $3,795 | $4.54 | 1d | 21 | 1.07mi |
| 28 Tunis Ave Unit 2 Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,000 | $3.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 103 Burhans Ave Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $2,000 | $2.24 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 85 Bennett Ave Unit 2 Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,500 | $2.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 23 Colin St Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,500 | $3.33 | 15d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 50 Columbus Ave Unit 817 Tuckahoe, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $3,000 | $4.00 | 22d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 70 Roundhill Dr Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $3,200 | $4.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 39 Maynard St Unit 2E Tuckahoe, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $2,650 | $3.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2 Consulate Dr Unit 1J Tuckahoe, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,700 | $3.60 | 12d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,900 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $189,900 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $189,900 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $189,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $189,900 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $189,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-07statusdays on market $189,900 Active 33 DOM
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2026-03-16status Pending
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2026-02-13$189,900 Active
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2026-02-09historical $2,000
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2026-02-06price $2,000
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2025-12-16$2,200
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2014-03-15price $135,000 305-char remark
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
Rare bright and fully updated Bryn Mawr Ridge one-bedroom garden coop offers suburban living with the convenience of nearby shopping, Parkway access, and public transportation. The landscaped courtyards, and a park-like design compliment the amenities of on-site laundry, ample parking, and room to relax.
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2014-02-05historical
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2014-02-04historical
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2013-04-25price
-
2013-04-05price
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2013-02-05Active
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2013-02-05$143,500
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2008-06-12soldstatus $135,000 305-char remark
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
Rare bright and fully updated Bryn Mawr Ridge one-bedroom garden coop offers suburban living with the convenience of nearby shopping, Parkway access, and public transportation. The landscaped courtyards, and a park-like design compliment the amenities of on-site laundry, ample parking, and room to relax.
-
2008-06-12historical 305-char remark
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
Rare bright and fully updated Bryn Mawr Ridge one-bedroom garden coop offers suburban living with the convenience of nearby shopping, Parkway access, and public transportation. The landscaped courtyards, and a park-like design compliment the amenities of on-site laundry, ample parking, and room to relax.
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2008-04-21price $139,000 305-char remark
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
Rare bright and fully updated Bryn Mawr Ridge one-bedroom garden coop offers suburban living with the convenience of nearby shopping, Parkway access, and public transportation. The landscaped courtyards, and a park-like design compliment the amenities of on-site laundry, ample parking, and room to relax.
-
2008-03-24$139,000 305-char remark
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
Rare bright and fully updated Bryn Mawr Ridge one-bedroom garden coop offers suburban living with the convenience of nearby shopping, Parkway access, and public transportation. The landscaped courtyards, and a park-like design compliment the amenities of on-site laundry, ample parking, and room to relax.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,910
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$2,848
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,233
- − Management
- −$2,233
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable income
- $3,485
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$836
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,464/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yonkers City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3631920
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 14.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,042
- Composite
- 41.43/100
- National rank
- #3471
- State rank
- #413 of 590 in NY
Livability — Yonkers
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #528
- US rank
- #9394
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yonkers, NY
- County
- Westchester County · 709,332 people
- City population
- 212,407
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,855
- Household income
- $108,845
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 920.0
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 39% Hispanic / Latino 30% Black 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 11% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -622.30%
- Current HPI
- 297.1704
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+36.6% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-13 Listed $189,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-09 Rental Removed $2,000 ONEKEY
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $2,000 ONEKEY
- 2025-12-16 Listed for Rent $2,200 ONEKEY
- 2014-03-15 Price Changed $135,000 HGMLS
- 2014-02-05 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2014-02-04 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-25 Price Changed — HGMLS
- 2013-04-05 Price Changed — HGMLS
- 2013-02-05 Listed — HGMLS
- 2013-02-05 Listed $143,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-06-12 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2008-06-12 Sold (MLS) $135,000 HGMLS
- 2008-04-21 Price Changed $139,000 HGMLS
- 2008-03-24 Listed $139,000 HGMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…