1613 Johnson St · Little Rock, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ready for investors!
Key facts
- Rental income
- Performing asset
- 5,227 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual taxes reported
Exterior
- Parking: Parking pads
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric service (Entergy available)
- Home design: Single-story (one level entry implied)
- Construction: Crawl space and pier foundation
- Exterior features: Frame exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Paved road frontage; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing stove; Dishwasher
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Luxury vinyl flooring; Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $340 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.36%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $50,512
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1613 Johnson St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 902 (0%) | 19mo | $103,000 | $114 | 84 |
| 3407 W 12 St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 922 (+2%) | 5mo | $30,000 | $33 | 70 |
| 3224 W 13th St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 870 (-4%) | 18mo | $100,000 | $115 | 62 |
| 2401 S Pine St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 896 (-1%) | 4mo | $15,000 | $17 | 58 |
| 3015 W 24th | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 896 (-1%) | 16mo | $50,000 | $56 | 58 |
| 2013 S Maple St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (+4%) | 12mo | $8,000 | $9 | 58 |
| 1912 Booker St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (-10%) | 16mo | $111,000 | $136 | 57 |
| 2100 Brown St | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 942 (+4%) | 23mo | $70,000 | $74 | 56 |
| 3015 W 15th St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,016 (+13%) | 22mo | $55,000 | $54 | 56 |
| 2323 S Valmar | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 784 (-13%) | 6mo | $16,000 | $20 | 49 |
| 2101 21st | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 967 (+7%) | 21mo | $35,000 | $36 | 31 |
| 3304 W 7th St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,010 (+12%) | 23mo | $177,000 | $175 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.91% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $8,583
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $45,184
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72204
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,182 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $664/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $340
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1822 Booker St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $1,195 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1918 Allis St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $895 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3109 W 11th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1055 | $1,295 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1205 Valmar St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,199 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2300 S Martin St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $795 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2324 W Daisy L Gatson Bates Dr Unit 2 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 881 | $1,050 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2324 W Daisy L Gatson Bates Dr Unit 1 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 881 | $1,095 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3204 Maryland Ave Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 921 | $1,095 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2421 S Oak St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $950 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2200 Dennison St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1318 S Summit St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,050 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1320 S Summit St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,050 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 907 S Park St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,100 | $2.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 610 S Maple St Unit A Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $825 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4319 W 17th St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $950 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 408 Booker St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $1,350 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4304 W 22nd St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $895 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 502 Rice St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $925 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1724 W 19th St Unit 2 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 843 | $1,150 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1724 W 19th St Unit 2 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 843 | $1,150 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1921 Wolfe St Unit A Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $875 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2701 Abigail St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1320 Adams St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,025 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4613 W 23rd St Unit B Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,200 | $1.85 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 306 S Schiller St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1037 | $1,795 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4721 W 16th St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 109 Barton St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $750 | $0.85 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3825 W Markham St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,095 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1209 W 22nd St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1202 W 11th St Unit A & B Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 763 | $1,050 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 901 S Harrison St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $980 | $0.98 | 19d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $95,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 New Listing 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $95,000 New Listing 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 New Listing 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-09$95,000 New Listing 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $664 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $664 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,181
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$664
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,134
- − Management
- −$1,134
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $2,688
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$645
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,440/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Rock School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509000
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,346
- Composite
- 21.0/100
- National rank
- #8457
- State rank
- #183 of 238 in AR
Livability — Little Rock
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #5295
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Little Rock, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 218,896
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,525
- Household income
- $40,882
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1553.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.17%
- Current HPI
- 172.3977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.91%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+67.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $95,000 CARMLS
- 2025-07-25 Rental Removed $995 CARMLS
- 2025-06-17 Listed for Rent $995 CARMLS
- 2024-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records
- 2024-11-22 Sold (MLS) $103,000 CARMLS
- 2024-10-03 Rental Removed $975 SHOWMOJO
- 2024-09-06 Listed $103,000 CARMLS
- 2024-07-26 Listed for Rent $975 SHOWMOJO
- 2024-01-19 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2023-12-12 Listed $70,000 CARMLS
- 2021-10-25 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2021-10-12 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2021-08-09 Contingent — CARMLS
- 2021-07-23 Price Changed $65,000 CARMLS
- 2021-07-16 Listed $99,000 CARMLS
- 2017-08-22 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2016-08-24 Price Changed $45,000 CARMLS
- 2016-07-13 Listed $50,000 CARMLS
- 2016-05-13 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2016-04-20 Listed $56,900 CARMLS
Property tax history
+7.3%/yrLatest (2025): $664 · +115.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…