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3323 Aegean Dr
C Composite 56.9
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$247,400

3323 Aegean Dr · Missouri City, TX 77459
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,376 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 2012 7,431 sqft lot Est $292k · 15% under $42/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

As close to a new home as you can get! VERY lightly lived in for less than a year by only 1 person that works all the time!! Immaculate condition and most everything is still under warranty! Really, there's even very few nail-holes for pictures! Quiet street in a quiet neighborhood. Owners added gutters and a garage door opener in the short time there. You gotta see it to believe the condition. Elegant executive master bath. Tasteful selections with earth-tones and neutral colors. Nice. HURRY!

Key facts

  • Extended entryway
  • Large backyard
  • Primary suite

Tags

EXTENDED ENTRYWAYSPACIOUS FAMILY ROOMDEDICATED BREAKFAST AREALARGE BACKYARDPRIMARY SUITECOVERED PATIO EXTENSION

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Olympia Estates HOA with $500 annual fee; Curbs in the community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Single-story (first-floor living); Built in 2012; Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Construction: Brick exterior; Vinyl siding; Wood siding
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Fence; Back yard fencing; Concrete road surface; Subdivision location

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (first floor, approx. 15 x 12); Bedroom (first floor, approx. 11 x 10); Bedroom (first floor, approx. 11 x 10)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Wall furnace; Central air conditioning; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Double vanity; Separate shower
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $247k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $92 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $247k).
  • Recommended offer: $244k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.5% in Missouri City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#526 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Fort Bend ISD (suburban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #140 of 826 in TX (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lake Olympia Middle (math 18% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,279 of 1,662 statewide, top 78%, 1,170 students, 71% FRL); Hightower H S (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,002 of 1,632 statewide, top 62%, 2,535 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 35% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fort Bend ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 1215 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.7%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($244k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $243,689 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
6.74%
Cash-on-cash
1.60%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$291,712
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3323 Aegean Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,376 (0%) 1mo $247,400 $180 99
3327 Bremerton Falls Dr 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,295 (-6%) 1mo $235,000 $181 72
2630 Argos Dr 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,376 (0%) 17mo $220,000 $160 71
3303 Oaklawn Place Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,295 (-6%) 24mo $275,000 $212 56
3035 Kalimera Ln 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,360 (-1%) 21mo $292,789 $215 50
3011 Elassona Ln 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,360 (-1%) 23mo $292,696 $215 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.67% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.0%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-27,572
Equity at exit
$51,887
10-year hold
IRR
-6.4%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-32,448
Equity at exit
$48,060

Cash invested: $69,272 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77459

Home prices YoY
-0.8%
Rents YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
1215
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,616 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,297
Tax from tax record
$532 /mo · $6,380/yr
Insurance
$103
HOA
$42
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$549
Net cashflow
$92

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,499
Max offer price $247,400
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $232 -5% $162 +0% $92 +5% $22 +10% $-48
Rent -10% $-114 -5% $-11 +0% $92 +5% $196 +10% $299
Rate -1.0pp $217 -0.5pp $155 base $92 +0.5pp $28 +1.0pp $-37

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,850
Closing costs
$7,422
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1055 Memorial Bend Blvd Missouri City, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 994 $2,514 $2.53 2d 121 0.88mi
9944 Highway 6 Missouri City, TX 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1307 $2,775 $2.12 2d 17 1.03mi
10030 Highway 6 Missouri City, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1037 $2,516 $2.43 2d 64 1.06mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$42 · $504/yr

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-22
    status Pending
  3. 2026-04-16
    price $247,400
  4. 2026-04-01
    listed $254,900 Active
  5. 2014-03-26
    soldstatus
  6. 2014-03-25
    soldstatus Sold 498-char remark
    Show marketing remark (498 chars)

    As close to a new home as you can get! VERY lightly lived in for less than a year by only 1 person that works all the time!! Immaculate condition and most everything is still under warranty! Really, there's even very few nail-holes for pictures! Quiet street in a quiet neighborhood. Owners added gutters and a garage door opener in the short time there. You gotta see it to believe the condition. Elegant executive master bath. Tasteful selections with earth-tones and neutral colors. Nice. HURRY!

  7. 2014-03-04
    status Pending, Continue to Show 498-char remark
    Show marketing remark (498 chars)

    As close to a new home as you can get! VERY lightly lived in for less than a year by only 1 person that works all the time!! Immaculate condition and most everything is still under warranty! Really, there's even very few nail-holes for pictures! Quiet street in a quiet neighborhood. Owners added gutters and a garage door opener in the short time there. You gotta see it to believe the condition. Elegant executive master bath. Tasteful selections with earth-tones and neutral colors. Nice. HURRY!

  8. 2014-02-26
    status Active 498-char remark
    Show marketing remark (498 chars)

    As close to a new home as you can get! VERY lightly lived in for less than a year by only 1 person that works all the time!! Immaculate condition and most everything is still under warranty! Really, there's even very few nail-holes for pictures! Quiet street in a quiet neighborhood. Owners added gutters and a garage door opener in the short time there. You gotta see it to believe the condition. Elegant executive master bath. Tasteful selections with earth-tones and neutral colors. Nice. HURRY!

  9. 2014-02-19
    status Pending, Continue to Show 498-char remark
    Show marketing remark (498 chars)

    As close to a new home as you can get! VERY lightly lived in for less than a year by only 1 person that works all the time!! Immaculate condition and most everything is still under warranty! Really, there's even very few nail-holes for pictures! Quiet street in a quiet neighborhood. Owners added gutters and a garage door opener in the short time there. You gotta see it to believe the condition. Elegant executive master bath. Tasteful selections with earth-tones and neutral colors. Nice. HURRY!

  10. 2014-02-15
    price $124,000 498-char remark
    Show marketing remark (498 chars)

    As close to a new home as you can get! VERY lightly lived in for less than a year by only 1 person that works all the time!! Immaculate condition and most everything is still under warranty! Really, there's even very few nail-holes for pictures! Quiet street in a quiet neighborhood. Owners added gutters and a garage door opener in the short time there. You gotta see it to believe the condition. Elegant executive master bath. Tasteful selections with earth-tones and neutral colors. Nice. HURRY!

  11. 2014-02-11
    status Active 498-char remark
    Show marketing remark (498 chars)

    As close to a new home as you can get! VERY lightly lived in for less than a year by only 1 person that works all the time!! Immaculate condition and most everything is still under warranty! Really, there's even very few nail-holes for pictures! Quiet street in a quiet neighborhood. Owners added gutters and a garage door opener in the short time there. You gotta see it to believe the condition. Elegant executive master bath. Tasteful selections with earth-tones and neutral colors. Nice. HURRY!

  12. 2013-12-17
    status Pending, Continue to Show 498-char remark
    Show marketing remark (498 chars)

    As close to a new home as you can get! VERY lightly lived in for less than a year by only 1 person that works all the time!! Immaculate condition and most everything is still under warranty! Really, there's even very few nail-holes for pictures! Quiet street in a quiet neighborhood. Owners added gutters and a garage door opener in the short time there. You gotta see it to believe the condition. Elegant executive master bath. Tasteful selections with earth-tones and neutral colors. Nice. HURRY!

  13. 2013-12-07
    listed $120,000 Active 498-char remark
    Show marketing remark (498 chars)

    As close to a new home as you can get! VERY lightly lived in for less than a year by only 1 person that works all the time!! Immaculate condition and most everything is still under warranty! Really, there's even very few nail-holes for pictures! Quiet street in a quiet neighborhood. Owners added gutters and a garage door opener in the short time there. You gotta see it to believe the condition. Elegant executive master bath. Tasteful selections with earth-tones and neutral colors. Nice. HURRY!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,380 · $532/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,380 · $532/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,390
− Mortgage interest
−$13,858
− Property taxes
−$6,380
− Insurance
−$1,237
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,511
− Management
−$2,511
− HOA
−$504
− Depreciation
−$7,197
Taxable loss
−$2,809
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$674
After-tax cash flow
$1,782/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Bend ISD
NCES district ID
4819650
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$82,360
Composite
44.61/100
National rank
#2779
State rank
#140 of 826 in TX

Livability — Missouri City

Score
67/100
State rank
#526
US rank
#10308

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Missouri City, TX
County
Fort Bend County · 836,777 people
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
84,221
Household income
$129,151
Rent vs Own
14.8% rent · 85.2% own
Severe rent burden
1004.0

Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,004,526 people
By 2030
1,153,104 · +14.8%
By 2040
1,453,718 · +44.7%
By 2050
1,753,781 · +74.6%
By 2075
2,455,772 · +144.5%
By 2100
2,930,528 · +191.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
Race & ethnicity
White 34% Black 26% Asian 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
73% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 8% Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
+4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.67%
Current HPI
212.3573
Rent YoY
▼ -0.15%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+106.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $247,400 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $254,900 HARMLS
  • 2014-03-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-03-25 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2014-03-04 Pending HARMLS
  • 2014-02-26 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2014-02-19 Pending HARMLS
  • 2014-02-15 Price Changed $124,000 HARMLS
  • 2014-02-11 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2013-12-17 Pending HARMLS
  • 2013-12-07 Listed $120,000 HARMLS

Property tax history

+16.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,380 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…