3323 Aegean Dr · Missouri City, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Appreciation +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$247,400
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
As close to a new home as you can get! VERY lightly lived in for less than a year by only 1 person that works all the time!! Immaculate condition and most everything is still under warranty! Really, there's even very few nail-holes for pictures! Quiet street in a quiet neighborhood. Owners added gutters and a garage door opener in the short time there. You gotta see it to believe the condition. Elegant executive master bath. Tasteful selections with earth-tones and neutral colors. Nice. HURRY!
Key facts
- Extended entryway
- Large backyard
- Primary suite
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Olympia Estates HOA with $500 annual fee; Curbs in the community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Single-story (first-floor living); Built in 2012; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Construction: Brick exterior; Vinyl siding; Wood siding
- Exterior features: Private yard; Fence; Back yard fencing; Concrete road surface; Subdivision location
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas range; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (first floor, approx. 15 x 12); Bedroom (first floor, approx. 11 x 10); Bedroom (first floor, approx. 11 x 10)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Wall furnace; Central air conditioning; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Double vanity; Separate shower
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $247k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $92 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $247k).
- Recommended offer: $244k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.5% in Missouri City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#526 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Fort Bend ISD (suburban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #140 of 826 in TX (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lake Olympia Middle (math 18% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,279 of 1,662 statewide, top 78%, 1,170 students, 71% FRL); Hightower H S (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,002 of 1,632 statewide, top 62%, 2,535 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 35% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fort Bend ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 1215 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.7%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($244k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.60%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $291,712
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3323 Aegean Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,376 (0%) | 1mo | $247,400 | $180 | 99 |
| 3327 Bremerton Falls Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,295 (-6%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $181 | 72 |
| 2630 Argos Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,376 (0%) | 17mo | $220,000 | $160 | 71 |
| 3303 Oaklawn Place Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,295 (-6%) | 24mo | $275,000 | $212 | 56 |
| 3035 Kalimera Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,360 (-1%) | 21mo | $292,789 | $215 | 50 |
| 3011 Elassona Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,360 (-1%) | 23mo | $292,696 | $215 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.67% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-27,572
- Equity at exit
- $51,887
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-32,448
- Equity at exit
- $48,060
Cash invested: $69,272 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77459
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 1215
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,616 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,297
- Tax from tax record
- −$532 /mo · $6,380/yr
- Insurance
- −$103
- HOA
- −$42
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$549
- Net cashflow
- $92
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $232 | -5% $162 | +0% $92 | +5% $22 | +10% $-48 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-114 | -5% $-11 | +0% $92 | +5% $196 | +10% $299 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $217 | -0.5pp $155 | base $92 | +0.5pp $28 | +1.0pp $-37 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,850
- Closing costs
- $7,422
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1055 Memorial Bend Blvd Missouri City, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 994 | $2,514 | $2.53 | 2d | 121 | 0.88mi |
| 9944 Highway 6 Missouri City, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1307 | $2,775 | $2.12 | 2d | 17 | 1.03mi |
| 10030 Highway 6 Missouri City, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1037 | $2,516 | $2.43 | 2d | 64 | 1.06mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $42 · $504/yr
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-04-22status Pending
-
2026-04-16price $247,400
-
2026-04-01$254,900 Active
-
2014-03-26soldstatus
-
2014-03-25soldstatus Sold 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
As close to a new home as you can get! VERY lightly lived in for less than a year by only 1 person that works all the time!! Immaculate condition and most everything is still under warranty! Really, there's even very few nail-holes for pictures! Quiet street in a quiet neighborhood. Owners added gutters and a garage door opener in the short time there. You gotta see it to believe the condition. Elegant executive master bath. Tasteful selections with earth-tones and neutral colors. Nice. HURRY!
-
2014-03-04status Pending, Continue to Show 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
As close to a new home as you can get! VERY lightly lived in for less than a year by only 1 person that works all the time!! Immaculate condition and most everything is still under warranty! Really, there's even very few nail-holes for pictures! Quiet street in a quiet neighborhood. Owners added gutters and a garage door opener in the short time there. You gotta see it to believe the condition. Elegant executive master bath. Tasteful selections with earth-tones and neutral colors. Nice. HURRY!
-
2014-02-26status Active 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
As close to a new home as you can get! VERY lightly lived in for less than a year by only 1 person that works all the time!! Immaculate condition and most everything is still under warranty! Really, there's even very few nail-holes for pictures! Quiet street in a quiet neighborhood. Owners added gutters and a garage door opener in the short time there. You gotta see it to believe the condition. Elegant executive master bath. Tasteful selections with earth-tones and neutral colors. Nice. HURRY!
-
2014-02-19status Pending, Continue to Show 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
As close to a new home as you can get! VERY lightly lived in for less than a year by only 1 person that works all the time!! Immaculate condition and most everything is still under warranty! Really, there's even very few nail-holes for pictures! Quiet street in a quiet neighborhood. Owners added gutters and a garage door opener in the short time there. You gotta see it to believe the condition. Elegant executive master bath. Tasteful selections with earth-tones and neutral colors. Nice. HURRY!
-
2014-02-15price $124,000 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
As close to a new home as you can get! VERY lightly lived in for less than a year by only 1 person that works all the time!! Immaculate condition and most everything is still under warranty! Really, there's even very few nail-holes for pictures! Quiet street in a quiet neighborhood. Owners added gutters and a garage door opener in the short time there. You gotta see it to believe the condition. Elegant executive master bath. Tasteful selections with earth-tones and neutral colors. Nice. HURRY!
-
2014-02-11status Active 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
As close to a new home as you can get! VERY lightly lived in for less than a year by only 1 person that works all the time!! Immaculate condition and most everything is still under warranty! Really, there's even very few nail-holes for pictures! Quiet street in a quiet neighborhood. Owners added gutters and a garage door opener in the short time there. You gotta see it to believe the condition. Elegant executive master bath. Tasteful selections with earth-tones and neutral colors. Nice. HURRY!
-
2013-12-17status Pending, Continue to Show 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
As close to a new home as you can get! VERY lightly lived in for less than a year by only 1 person that works all the time!! Immaculate condition and most everything is still under warranty! Really, there's even very few nail-holes for pictures! Quiet street in a quiet neighborhood. Owners added gutters and a garage door opener in the short time there. You gotta see it to believe the condition. Elegant executive master bath. Tasteful selections with earth-tones and neutral colors. Nice. HURRY!
-
2013-12-07$120,000 Active 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
As close to a new home as you can get! VERY lightly lived in for less than a year by only 1 person that works all the time!! Immaculate condition and most everything is still under warranty! Really, there's even very few nail-holes for pictures! Quiet street in a quiet neighborhood. Owners added gutters and a garage door opener in the short time there. You gotta see it to believe the condition. Elegant executive master bath. Tasteful selections with earth-tones and neutral colors. Nice. HURRY!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,380 · $532/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,380 · $532/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,390
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,858
- − Property taxes
- −$6,380
- − Insurance
- −$1,237
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,511
- − Management
- −$2,511
- − HOA
- −$504
- − Depreciation
- −$7,197
- Taxable loss
- −$2,809
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$674
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,782/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Bend ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819650
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $82,360
- Composite
- 44.61/100
- National rank
- #2779
- State rank
- #140 of 826 in TX
Livability — Missouri City
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #526
- US rank
- #10308
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Missouri City, TX
- County
- Fort Bend County · 836,777 people
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 84,221
- Household income
- $129,151
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1004.0
Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,004,526 people
- By 2030
- 1,153,104 · +14.8%
- By 2040
- 1,453,718 · +44.7%
- By 2050
- 1,753,781 · +74.6%
- By 2075
- 2,455,772 · +144.5%
- By 2100
- 2,930,528 · +191.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 34% Black 26% Asian 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 8% Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.67%
- Current HPI
- 212.3573
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.15%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+106.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-04-22 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $247,400 HARMLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $254,900 HARMLS
- 2014-03-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-03-25 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2014-03-04 Pending — HARMLS
- 2014-02-26 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2014-02-19 Pending — HARMLS
- 2014-02-15 Price Changed $124,000 HARMLS
- 2014-02-11 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2013-12-17 Pending — HARMLS
- 2013-12-07 Listed $120,000 HARMLS
Property tax history
+16.9%/yrLatest (2025): $6,380 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…