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212 N Stingray Ln
D Composite 43.88
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.3/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

212 N Stingray Ln · Sneads Ferry, NC 28460
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,348 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 109 Days on market
Built 2020 1,307 sqft lot Est $301k · 9% under $58/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Best Value, Best Location! Within the Sneads Ferry community outside Camp Lejeune's back gate, just steps away is MARSOC, just a few miles to the beach and close to schools. This brand new Stone Bay Townhome offers 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, designer interior finishes, and a Master suite with two walk-in closets. This open style living room, kitchen, and dining room flows nicely together to provide space, functionality, and a comfortable living environment. Enjoy the covered porches, a finished one car garage, and aesthetically pleasing exterior architectural finishes, such as stone on some units. Pick your interior colors! At the end of the day, you're sure to love this home and its features, inside and out!

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Covered patio
  • Walk-in shower

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS-STEEL APPLIANCESCOVERED PATIOWALK-IN SHOWERWALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed: dogs and cats; Subdivision: Stonebay Townhomes; Zoning: R-5
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with management and trash services; HOA fee $690 annually (about $57.50/month)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car); 1 total parking space; Concrete driveway; Garage door opener; Off-street paved parking on site
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected; Electric service
  • Home design: Townhouse; Two levels; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding with stone veneer and frame construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built as townhouse
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Front porch; Interior lot; Paved road; Private road; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Self-cleaning oven; Electric range; Microwave; Kitchen island
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; Accessible full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Kitchen island; Ceiling fans; Window coverings; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer hookup; Laundry closet; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-431/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $269k (2.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (22.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $214k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.0% in Sneads Ferry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#398 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Onslow County Schools (other): math 42% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #84 of 178 in NC (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Dixon Elementary (math 63% / reading 66%, grade B, #147 of 1,410 statewide, top 11%, 736 students, 30% FRL); Dixon Middle (math 49% / reading 53%, grade C, #106 of 475 statewide, top 22%, 948 students, 39% FRL); Dixon High (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B, #142 of 535 statewide, top 28%, 1,149 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 61% at this address vs 46% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Onslow County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 560 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,246 units permitted in Onslow County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($250k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $159k; list at $275k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $213,921 (22.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.14%
Cash-on-cash
-0.56%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$300,604
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
113 Grander Ct 0.68mi 3/2.5 1,300 (-4%) 8mo $300,000 $231 56
111 Grander Court Ct 0.69mi 3/2.5 1,300 (-4%) 20mo $289,000 $222 45
105 Grander Ct 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,547 (+15%) 15mo $345,000 $223 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.68% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.6%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-41,001
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-13,275
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28460

Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
560
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,139 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,334/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$58
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$449
Net cashflow
$-36

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,185
Max offer price $268,657
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$58 · $696/yr

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $275,000 Active 109 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $275,000 Active 108 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $275,000 Active 107 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $275,000 Active 106 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $275,000 Active 105 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $275,000 Active 103 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $275,000 Active 102 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $275,000 Active 100 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $275,000 Active 99 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $275,000 Active 98 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $275,000 Active 97 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $275,000 Active 93 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $275,000 Active 92 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $275,000 Active 91 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $275,000 Active 90 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $275,000 Active 89 DOM
  17. 2026-04-11
    price $275,000
  18. 2026-03-02
    listed $278,000 Active
  19. 2020-08-12
    soldstatus $158,900 714-char remark
    Show marketing remark (714 chars)

    Best Value, Best Location! Within the Sneads Ferry community outside Camp Lejeune's back gate, just steps away is MARSOC, just a few miles to the beach and close to schools. This brand new Stone Bay Townhome offers 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, designer interior finishes, and a Master suite with two walk-in closets. This open style living room, kitchen, and dining room flows nicely together to provide space, functionality, and a comfortable living environment. Enjoy the covered porches, a finished one car garage, and aesthetically pleasing exterior architectural finishes, such as stone on some units. Pick your interior colors! At the end of the day, you're sure to love this home and its features, inside and out!

  20. 2020-01-24
    listed $158,900 714-char remark
    Show marketing remark (714 chars)

    Best Value, Best Location! Within the Sneads Ferry community outside Camp Lejeune's back gate, just steps away is MARSOC, just a few miles to the beach and close to schools. This brand new Stone Bay Townhome offers 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, designer interior finishes, and a Master suite with two walk-in closets. This open style living room, kitchen, and dining room flows nicely together to provide space, functionality, and a comfortable living environment. Enjoy the covered porches, a finished one car garage, and aesthetically pleasing exterior architectural finishes, such as stone on some units. Pick your interior colors! At the end of the day, you're sure to love this home and its features, inside and out!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,334 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,255 · $188/mo
Expected delta
+$921/yr (+$77/mo · 69.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,671
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$1,334
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,054
− Management
−$2,054
− HOA
−$696
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$5,246
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,259
After-tax cash flow
$828/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Onslow County Schools
NCES district ID
3703450
Math proficiency
42% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$46,076
Composite
38.66/100
National rank
#4148
State rank
#84 of 178 in NC

Livability — Sneads Ferry

Score
63/100
State rank
#398
US rank
#15272

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety D User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Onslow County · 164,453 people
City population
13,532
Metro
Jacksonville, NC
Population (ZIP)
13,532
Household income
$88,908
Rent vs Own
25.3% rent · 74.7% own
Severe rent burden
349.0

Population outlook (Onslow County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
189,789 people
By 2030
194,463 · +2.5%
By 2040
193,629 · +2.0%
By 2050
193,248 · +1.8%
By 2075
196,995 · +3.8%
By 2100
201,513 · +6.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
3% · South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onslow

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.5% · R 67.5% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.5pp · 2024: -35.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.9 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+34.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+21.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -162.21%
Current HPI
176.3461
Rent YoY
▲ 5.68%
Metro
Jacksonville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+73.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $275,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $278,000 Hive MLS
  • 2020-08-12 Sold (MLS) $158,900 Hive MLS
  • 2020-01-24 Listed $158,900 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+184.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,334 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…