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3833 Harding Hwy
C Composite 59.98
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

3833 Harding Hwy · Lima, OH 45804
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,680 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1964 0.48 ac lot ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover the charm and comfort of this 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled on a half acre in Lima. Boasting more than 1,600 sq. ft. , the home offers a bright living room, a separate family room for extra versatility, and a formal dining room ideal for hosting. The attached garage provides easy access and practicality. With its spacious yard and thoughtful layout, this property delivers exceptional everyday living with room to grow.

Key facts

  • 0.48 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1964

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#787 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bath Local (suburban): math 71% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #129 of 656 in OH (top 20%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 88 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $126,003 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.71%
Cash-on-cash
8.65%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$290,640
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3733 Gloucester Pl 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,604 (-4%) 1mo $278,000 $173 82

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-4,355
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
6.5%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$17,707
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45804

Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,425 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,538/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$299
Net cashflow
$262

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $336 -5% $299 +0% $262 +5% $225 +10% $189
Rent -10% $150 -5% $206 +0% $262 +5% $318 +10% $375
Rate -1.0pp $328 -0.5pp $295 base $262 +0.5pp $228 +1.0pp $194

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-01-02
    status Pending
  2. 2025-12-02
    listed $129,900 Active
  3. 2025-11-30
    historical $129,900
  4. 2025-02-10
    listed $160,000 Active
  5. 2025-01-28
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,538 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,782 · $149/mo
Expected delta
+$244/yr (+$20/mo · 15.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,098
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$1,538
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,368
− Management
−$1,368
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$1,119
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$269
After-tax cash flow
$2,877/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bath Local
NCES district ID
3904576
Math proficiency
71% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
74% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$49,204
Composite
61.36/100
National rank
#770
State rank
#129 of 656 in OH

Livability — Lima

Score
64/100
State rank
#787
US rank
#14288

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Allen · 98,169 people
City population
21,739
Metro
Lima, OH
Population (ZIP)
14,197
Household income
$42,594
Rent vs Own
42.7% rent · 57.3% own
Severe rent burden
8.1

Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
100,321 people
By 2030
97,693 · -2.6%
By 2040
91,802 · -8.5%
By 2050
86,152 · -14.1%
By 2075
73,659 · -26.6%
By 2100
58,716 · -41.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 19% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allen

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.1) · D 27.5% · R 71.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -44.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.1 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+25.7 2008: R+20.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -124.39%
Current HPI
126.4189
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-02 Pending NORIS
  • 2025-12-02 Listed $129,900 NORIS
  • 2025-11-30 Coming Soon $129,900 NORIS
  • 2025-02-10 Listed $160,000 WCARE
  • 2025-01-28 Coming Soon WCARE

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,538 · -24.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…