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220 S Elk #66
C+ Composite 63.19
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.7/15.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

220 S Elk #66 · Hemet, CA 92543
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · Manufactured public records · 13 Days on market
Built 2014 Est $99k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this affordable and well-maintained 2014 manufactured home located in the gated community of Mirage Estates. Offering 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this inviting home features an open and functional floor plan perfect for families or anyone seeking comfortable living. The kitchen comes equipped with all appliances, and the sale includes the refrigerator, stove, microwave, dishwasher, washer, and dryer for added convenience. Enjoy covered carport parking and access to fantastic community amenities including a sparkling pool and spa, BBQ area, playground, and beautifully maintained common pool area. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and everyday services, this

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Move-in ready
  • Community amenities

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYCOVERED CARPORT PARKINGCOMMUNITY AMENITIESBBQ AREAPLAYGROUNDMOVE-IN READY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Manager approval required for residency; Pets allowed
  • HOA & community: Land lease: $792 per month; Park amenities include pool and park

Exterior

  • Parking: Located in Mirage Estates park
  • Security: Gated community
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: Single-story; Entry on level 1; Model: Community series; Mobile home remains on site
  • Construction: 22 ft wide by 46 ft long mobile unit; Year built source: Assessor
  • Exterior features: Awning; Community pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: All bedrooms on main level
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central furnace heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan; Open floor plan; Gated community; Community spa
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry with washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $777 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 264 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
14.77%
Cash-on-cash
30.29%
DSCR
2.35
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$99,360
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1445 W Florida Ave #85 0.20mi 2/2.0 1,040 (-4%) 2mo $96,000 $92 84
1895 W Devonshire Ave #27 0.56mi 2/2.0 1,040 (-4%) 3mo $45,000 $43 65
360 Santa Clara Cir 0.61mi 2/2.0 1,120 (+4%) 3mo $224,000 $200 63
190 Santa Lucia 0.69mi 2/2.0 1,040 (-4%) 4mo $179,000 $172 59
220 San Carlos Dr 0.64mi 2/1.0 1,020 (-6%) 2mo $127,000 $125 55
1380 Cabrillo 0.70mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+7%) 2mo $260,000 $226 54
431 San Mateo Cir 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,040 (-4%) 3mo $118,000 $113 54
770 S Lyon 0.73mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+7%) 3mo $78,900 $68 52
430 N Palm #102 0.60mi 2/1.5 1,200 (+11%) 2mo $45,000 $38 50
575 S Lyon #110 0.57mi 2/2.0 940 (-13%) 2mo $52,500 $56 50
675 W Oakland Ave Unit G15 0.73mi 2/2.0 960 (-11%) 0mo $70,000 $73 47
460 San Mateo Cir 0.71mi 2/1.0 940 (-13%) 3mo $85,000 $90 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.76% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
1.95×
Total profit
$29,408
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
30.7%
Equity multiple
3.60×
Total profit
$80,226
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92543

Home prices YoY
-26.7%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
264
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,829 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $538/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$384
Net cashflow
$777

Break-even live

Break-even rent $845
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1315 W Latham Ave Hemet, CA 3.0 2.5 1340 $2,550 $1.90 43d 1 0.26mi
165 N Hamilton Ave Unit 3 Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 768 $1,450 $1.89 5d 1 0.28mi
165 N Hamilton Ave Unit 4 Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 768 $1,525 $1.99 21d 1 0.28mi
250 N Elk St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,625 $1.81 13d 1 0.36mi
1850 Amberwood Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1170 $1,561 $1.33 43d 1 0.36mi
1461 W Mayberry Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1044 $1,750 $1.68 43d 1 0.38mi
471 S Simpson Ave Unit D Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $1,750 $1.94 43d 1 0.39mi
471 Whitney Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1085 $1,800 $1.66 5d 1 0.40mi
363 S Gilbert St Unit B Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,900 $1.58 13d 1 0.48mi
363 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,900 $1.58 3d 1 0.48mi
611 S Palm Ave Unit K Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1254 $1,895 $1.51 7d 1 0.49mi
2098 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 895 $2,035 $2.27 1d 1 0.54mi
1270 Rosalia Ave Unit 1 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,800 $2.00 43d 1 0.56mi
1521 W Westmont Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1197 $2,000 $1.67 43d 1 0.58mi
876 W Whittier Ave Unit 878 Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1127 $2,150 $1.91 24d 1 0.61mi
446 N Elk St Unit D Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 980 $1,675 $1.71 24d 1 0.63mi
1887 Calle Amargosa Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,545 $1.87 24d 1 0.68mi
101 San Mateo Cir Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1152 $1,725 $1.50 16d 1 0.70mi
341 Calle Nogales Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,395 $1.69 43d 1 0.71mi
120 Santa Lucia Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1197 $1,600 $1.34 43d 1 0.73mi
2403 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 910 $1,995 $2.19 7d 1 0.74mi
2469 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 910 $1,750 $1.92 24d 1 0.76mi
1862 Pueblo Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 977 $1,900 $1.94 43d 1 0.76mi
1862 Pueblo Dr Unit 1862 Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 977 $1,750 $1.79 24d 1 0.76mi
735 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1202 $2,400 $2.00 43d 1 0.77mi
2054 Avenida Olivos Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 820 $1,500 $1.83 43d 1 0.79mi
750 Santa Clara Cir Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 800 $1,400 $1.75 14d 1 0.82mi
663 Mariposa Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1440 $1,500 $1.04 24d 1 0.82mi
1964 W Oakland Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 977 $1,695 $1.73 17d 1 0.82mi
893 S Palm Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 720 $1,375 $1.91 4d 1 0.83mi
2120 San Bernardo Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $2,100 $2.54 43d 1 0.84mi
716 Robert Dr Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1450 $2,300 $1.59 5d 1 0.85mi
627 Solano Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 882 $1,800 $2.04 18d 1 0.86mi
2269 San Bernardo Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,650 $2.00 43d 1 0.90mi
683 Jonquil St Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1150 $2,448 $2.13 24d 1 0.94mi
528 San Marino St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,900 $2.30 43d 1 0.96mi
1931 Nuevo St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 820 $1,600 $1.95 43d 1 0.96mi
1933 Nuevo St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,700 $2.06 24d 1 0.97mi
1005 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.5 975 $1,825 $1.87 24d 2 1.01mi
529 E Latham Ave Hemet, CA 3.0 1.0 1226 $1,950 $1.59 19d 1 1.05mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-07
    listed $110,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$538 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$836 · $70/mo
Expected delta
+$298/yr (+$25/mo · 55.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,949
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$538
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,756
− Management
−$1,756
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$7,987
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,917
After-tax cash flow
$7,412/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hemet Unified
NCES district ID
0616920
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$39,962
Composite
25.16/100
National rank
#7517
State rank
#360 of 517 in CA

Livability — Hemet

Score
51/100
State rank
#1056
US rank
#25208

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hemet, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
137,670
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
39,937
Household income
$49,396
Rent vs Own
42.8% rent · 57.2% own
Severe rent burden
2144.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 54% White 30% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Native American 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 48% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 38% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -147.46%
Current HPI
405.1277
Rent YoY
▲ 1.76%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+124.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $110,000 CRMLS
  • 2011-09-22 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2011-06-28 Listed $49,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

-1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $538 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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