2331 Shore Isle Ave · Salton City, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 114°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.9/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.3/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$159,700
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor opportunity in Salton City. This 3bedroom, 2bath manufactured home offers steady rental income with a tenant already in place. The property includes a detached garage, a functional floor plan, and open mountain views. Positioned near West Shores High School and local conveniences, the location benefits from ongoing regional development and longterm growth projections. With a spacious lot, solid fundamentals, and pricing below current market levels, this home presents a compelling value play for investors seeking immediate income and future appreciation potential in an expanding area of the Salton Sea region.
Key facts
- Open mountain views
- Spacious lot
- Detached garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $45 ($545/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (6.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (6.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.4% in Salton City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 46/100 on livability (#1,265 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Coachella Valley Unified (rural): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #481 of 517 in CA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 496 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 271 units permitted in Imperial County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Imperial County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $110k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.22%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $11,000
- List price
- $159,700
- Delta
- 1351.82%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.01×
- Total profit
- $89,913
- Equity at exit
- $143,870
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.87×
- Total profit
- $262,595
- Equity at exit
- $310,262
Cash invested: $44,716 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92274
- Home prices YoY
- 31.9%
- Active inventory
- 496
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$837
- Tax from tax record
- −$236 /mo · $2,827/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $45
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $136 | -5% $91 | +0% $45 | +5% $0 | +10% $-45 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-73 | -5% $-14 | +0% $45 | +5% $105 | +10% $164 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $126 | -0.5pp $86 | base $45 | +0.5pp $4 | +1.0pp $-38 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,925
- Closing costs
- $4,791
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1094 La Paz Ct Apt B Thermal, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 980 | $1,500 | $1.53 | 0d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-03-27price $159,700 624-char remark
Show marketing remark (624 chars)
Investor opportunity in Salton City. This 3bedroom, 2bath manufactured home offers steady rental income with a tenant already in place. The property includes a detached garage, a functional floor plan, and open mountain views. Positioned near West Shores High School and local conveniences, the location benefits from ongoing regional development and longterm growth projections. With a spacious lot, solid fundamentals, and pricing below current market levels, this home presents a compelling value play for investors seeking immediate income and future appreciation potential in an expanding area of the Salton Sea region.
-
2026-02-26$169,900 Active 624-char remark
Show marketing remark (624 chars)
Investor opportunity in Salton City. This 3bedroom, 2bath manufactured home offers steady rental income with a tenant already in place. The property includes a detached garage, a functional floor plan, and open mountain views. Positioned near West Shores High School and local conveniences, the location benefits from ongoing regional development and longterm growth projections. With a spacious lot, solid fundamentals, and pricing below current market levels, this home presents a compelling value play for investors seeking immediate income and future appreciation potential in an expanding area of the Salton Sea region.
-
2024-11-16historical
-
2021-12-29soldstatus $110,000
-
2021-12-29soldstatus $110,000
-
2021-11-08$139,000
-
2020-05-30historical
-
2019-12-07historical
-
2019-12-06$98,000
-
2019-09-15historical
-
2019-09-15historical
-
2006-06-06$129,000
-
2004-03-30soldstatus $72,000
-
2003-05-12$80,000
-
2002-12-12$80,000
-
2002-02-08soldstatus $58,000
-
2001-03-30$58,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,827 · $236/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,827 · $236/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,946
- − Property taxes
- −$2,827
- − Insurance
- −$798
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,440
- − Management
- −$1,440
- − Depreciation
- −$4,646
- Taxable loss
- −$2,097
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$503
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,048/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coachella Valley Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0609070
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,683
- Composite
- 14.62/100
- National rank
- #9408
- State rank
- #481 of 517 in CA
Livability — Salton City
- Score
- 46/100
- State rank
- #1265
- US rank
- #26406
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Salton City, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,909
Population outlook (Imperial County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 186,713 people
- By 2030
- 190,022 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 195,993 · +5.0%
- By 2050
- 199,534 · +6.9%
- By 2075
- 216,878 · +16.2%
- By 2100
- 352,705 · +88.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 88% Two or more races 49% White 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 87%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 42% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 24% English-only · Spanish 76%
Political lean MEDSL · Imperial
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 49.1% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.0pp toward R · 2008: 26.2pp · 2024: -0.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.9 2020: D+24.4 2016: D+41.1 2012: D+28.8 2008: D+26.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 179.97%
- Current HPI
- 744.8454
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+175.3% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $159,700 TheMLS
- 2026-02-26 Listed $169,900 TheMLS
- 2024-11-16 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2021-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2021-12-29 Sold (MLS) $110,000 GPSMLS
- 2021-11-08 Listed $139,000 GPSMLS
- 2020-05-30 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2019-12-07 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2019-12-06 Listed $98,000 GPSMLS
- 2019-09-15 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2019-09-15 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2006-06-06 Listed $129,000 GPSMLS
- 2004-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 2003-05-12 Listed $80,000 GPSMLS
- 2002-12-12 Listed $80,000 GPSMLS
- 2002-02-08 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 2001-03-30 Listed $58,000 GPSMLS
Property tax history
+11.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,827 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…