5707 Roan Rd · Sylvania, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.2/30.0
- ARV discount +6.3/15.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Adorable Syl House - Light, Bright & Move-In Ready! Welcome to this charming Syl house filled with natural light and open, airy spaces throughout. Fresh paint and new carpet create a crisp, inviting feel. The gorgeous granite kitchen overlooks the back deck and spacious yard—perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Major updates include a new water heater and furnace (2017). The primary bedroom features a walk-in closet, while the warm, large lower-level den with fireplace offers flexible space for a family room, home office, or both. So much to see—don't miss this one. Hurry!
Key facts
- New furnace
- Walk-in closet
- New water heater
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-47 ($-560/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (3.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (9.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $204k (9.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.8% in Sylvania — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#18 in OH, #191 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
- Sylvania Schools (suburban): math 63% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #157 of 656 in OH (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Hill View Elementary School (math 67% / reading 73%, grade A-, #380 of 1,584 statewide, top 25%, 359 students, 32% FRL); Sylvania Arbor Hills Junior High School (math 56% / reading 58%, grade B, #305 of 654 statewide, top 48%, 502 students, 34% FRL); Sylvania Northview High School (math 59% / reading 78%, grade B, #130 of 781 statewide, top 17%, 1,352 students, 20% FRL).
- Market conditions: 196 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $165k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.89%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $219,106
- List price
- $224,900
- Delta
- 2.64%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5707 Roan Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,584 (0%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $129 | 99 |
| 5711 Elliott Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,586 (+0%) | 8mo | $229,000 | $144 | 83 |
| 5640 Dellbrook Dr | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,595 (+1%) | 5mo | $219,900 | $138 | 74 |
| 5904 Acres Rd | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,601 (+1%) | 4mo | $164,095 | $102 | 73 |
| 5643 Marshall Rd | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (-9%) | 9mo | $220,000 | $153 | 72 |
| 5722 Balfour Rd | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,487 (-6%) | 10mo | $275,000 | $185 | 62 |
| 5660 Centerview Dr | 0.03mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,352 (-15%) | 8mo | $220,000 | $163 | 62 |
| 5117 Janet Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,592 (+0%) | 6mo | $153,000 | $96 | 59 |
| 5539 Mc Lain Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,650 (+4%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $118 | 57 |
| 5201 Arbor Way | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,624 (+2%) | 10mo | $205,000 | $126 | 50 |
| 5910 Whiteford Rd | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,428 (-10%) | 6mo | $172,000 | $120 | 44 |
| 5911 Acres Rd | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,812 (+14%) | 12mo | $265,000 | $146 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-39,323
- Equity at exit
- $33,533
- IRR
- -9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-37,692
- Equity at exit
- $19,445
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43560
- Home prices YoY
- -31.7%
- Active inventory
- 196
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,036 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax from tax record
- −$382 /mo · $4,587/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$428
- Net cashflow
- $-47
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $81 | -5% $17 | +0% $-47 | +5% $-110 | +10% $-174 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-208 | -5% $-127 | +0% $-47 | +5% $34 | +10% $114 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $67 | -0.5pp $11 | base $-47 | +0.5pp $-105 | +1.0pp $-164 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6455 Monroe St Sylvania, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 744 | $2,567 | $3.45 | 15d | 16 | 1.19mi |
| 4828 Whiteford Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1157 | $1,947 | $1.68 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 4994 Main St Sylvania, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $1,150 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending 596-char remark
Show marketing remark (596 chars)
Adorable Syl House - Light, Bright & Move-In Ready! Welcome to this charming Syl house filled with natural light and open, airy spaces throughout. Fresh paint and new carpet create a crisp, inviting feel. The gorgeous granite kitchen overlooks the back deck and spacious yard—perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Major updates include a new water heater and furnace (2017). The primary bedroom features a walk-in closet, while the warm, large lower-level den with fireplace offers flexible space for a family room, home office, or both. So much to see—don't miss this one. Hurry!
-
2026-04-29price $224,900 596-char remark
Show marketing remark (596 chars)
Adorable Syl House - Light, Bright & Move-In Ready! Welcome to this charming Syl house filled with natural light and open, airy spaces throughout. Fresh paint and new carpet create a crisp, inviting feel. The gorgeous granite kitchen overlooks the back deck and spacious yard—perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Major updates include a new water heater and furnace (2017). The primary bedroom features a walk-in closet, while the warm, large lower-level den with fireplace offers flexible space for a family room, home office, or both. So much to see—don't miss this one. Hurry!
-
2026-02-02$234,900 Active 596-char remark
Show marketing remark (596 chars)
Adorable Syl House - Light, Bright & Move-In Ready! Welcome to this charming Syl house filled with natural light and open, airy spaces throughout. Fresh paint and new carpet create a crisp, inviting feel. The gorgeous granite kitchen overlooks the back deck and spacious yard—perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Major updates include a new water heater and furnace (2017). The primary bedroom features a walk-in closet, while the warm, large lower-level den with fireplace offers flexible space for a family room, home office, or both. So much to see—don't miss this one. Hurry!
-
2025-10-14price $165,000 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Beautiful Sylvania home with an open concept, good sized master bedroom that has a walk-in closet, granite counter tops in the eat-in kitchen, and hardwood floor in the living room/hallway. Stainless Steel appliances 2015/2016. Furnace 2017. Hot water heater 2017.
-
2025-10-13price $70,000
-
2025-10-09price $118,000
-
2024-04-04historical
-
2024-03-24historical
-
2024-03-22historical
-
2024-03-14historical
-
2020-07-07soldstatus $165,000
-
2020-07-01soldstatus $165,000 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Beautiful Sylvania home with an open concept, good sized master bedroom that has a walk-in closet, granite counter tops in the eat-in kitchen, and hardwood floor in the living room/hallway. Stainless Steel appliances 2015/2016. Furnace 2017. Hot water heater 2017.
-
2020-03-23$167,500 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Beautiful Sylvania home with an open concept, good sized master bedroom that has a walk-in closet, granite counter tops in the eat-in kitchen, and hardwood floor in the living room/hallway. Stainless Steel appliances 2015/2016. Furnace 2017. Hot water heater 2017.
-
2016-01-04soldstatus $133,000
-
2012-11-15soldstatus $70,000
-
2012-09-28price $75,000
-
2012-09-18$75,000
-
2011-02-26historical
-
2010-08-26$122,000
-
2003-09-16historical
-
2003-09-08$134,900
-
1999-06-18soldstatus $118,000
-
1999-06-15soldstatus $118,000
-
1999-05-03$122,000
-
1996-07-05soldstatus $92,000
-
1993-02-22soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,587 · $382/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,587 · $382/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,436
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$4,587
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,955
- − Management
- −$1,955
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable loss
- −$4,326
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,038
- After-tax cash flow
- $478/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sylvania Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3904487
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,949
- Composite
- 58.95/100
- National rank
- #967
- State rank
- #157 of 656 in OH
Livability — Sylvania
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #191
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sylvania, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 33,286
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,286
- Household income
- $109,486
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 355.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 4% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.73%
- Current HPI
- 215.2986
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+199.9% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — NORIS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $224,900 NORIS
- 2026-02-02 Listed $234,900 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $165,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-13 Price Changed $70,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $118,000 NORIS
- 2024-04-04 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2024-03-24 Coming Soon — NORIS
- 2024-03-22 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2024-03-14 Coming Soon — NORIS
- 2020-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2020-07-01 Sold (MLS) $165,000 NORIS
- 2020-03-23 Listed $167,500 NORIS
- 2016-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $133,000 Public Records
- 2012-11-15 Sold (MLS) $70,000 NORIS
- 2012-09-28 Price Changed $75,000 NORIS
- 2012-09-18 Listed $75,000 NORIS
- 2011-02-26 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2010-08-26 Listed $122,000 NORIS
- 2003-09-16 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2003-09-08 Listed $134,900 NORIS
- 1999-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
- 1999-06-15 Sold (MLS) $118,000 NORIS
- 1999-05-03 Listed $122,000 NORIS
- 1996-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
- 1993-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,587 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…