3822 Larchmont St · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming and affordable 2-bedroom home with plenty of potential! Though just 672 sq. ft. , this home feels larger inside thanks to its efficient layout. Major updates include a full renovation in 2020, a new electrical panel, a new main sewer line (2023), and a new Rheem furnace installed in December 2025. With solid bones and key mechanical updates already completed, this property offers an excellent opportunity for a first-time homebuyer to build sweat equity or an investor seeking strong ROI. A little TLC will go a long way!
Key facts
- Full renovation
- New electrical panel
- New main sewer line
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Circuit breaker electrical
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry; Residential property
- Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Paved road access; Pets allowed
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Free-standing refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 2 rooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Free-standing refrigerator; Gas cooktop; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $319 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($900 rent vs $50k).
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 15 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $50k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.41%
- DSCR
- 2.22
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $38,976
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3609 Larchmont St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 650 (-3%) | 7mo | $60,000 | $92 | 83 |
| 3310 Larchmont St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 688 (+2%) | 2mo | $18,000 | $26 | 81 |
| 3214 Clairmont St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+7%) | 4mo | $30,500 | $42 | 69 |
| 3317 Arlene Ave | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 600 (-11%) | 1mo | $34,500 | $58 | 66 |
| 3305 Larchmont St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 736 (+10%) | 5mo | $45,000 | $61 | 65 |
| 1034 Meida St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 624 (-7%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $96 | 63 |
| 2913 Gibson St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 680 (+1%) | 6mo | $45,000 | $66 | 61 |
| 3321 Hogarth Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 720 (+7%) | 4mo | $59,900 | $83 | 58 |
| 916 Mann St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 647 (-4%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $54 | 57 |
| 2805 Reynolds St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 704 (+5%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $50 | 56 |
| 1510 Knight Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 612 (-9%) | 8mo | $32,000 | $52 | 53 |
| 959 Tacken St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 748 (+11%) | 4mo | $24,900 | $33 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $12,285
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 29.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.65×
- Total profit
- $37,047
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48532
- Home prices YoY
- -28.9%
- Active inventory
- 123
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $900 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,312/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$189
- Net cashflow
- $319
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $347 | -5% $333 | +0% $319 | +5% $305 | +10% $291 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $248 | -5% $284 | +0% $319 | +5% $355 | +10% $390 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $344 | -0.5pp $332 | base $319 | +0.5pp $306 | +1.0pp $293 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 343 Sheffield Apt. C Ave heuristic Flint, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 564 | $900 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 352 Bradley Ave Unit 343 Sheffield Ave-Apt C Flint, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 564 | $900 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 533-char remark
Show marketing remark (533 chars)
Charming and affordable 2-bedroom home with plenty of potential! Though just 672 sq. ft. , this home feels larger inside thanks to its efficient layout. Major updates include a full renovation in 2020, a new electrical panel, a new main sewer line (2023), and a new Rheem furnace installed in December 2025. With solid bones and key mechanical updates already completed, this property offers an excellent opportunity for a first-time homebuyer to build sweat equity or an investor seeking strong ROI. A little TLC will go a long way!
-
2026-06-15$49,900 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (533 chars)
Charming and affordable 2-bedroom home with plenty of potential! Though just 672 sq. ft. , this home feels larger inside thanks to its efficient layout. Major updates include a full renovation in 2020, a new electrical panel, a new main sewer line (2023), and a new Rheem furnace installed in December 2025. With solid bones and key mechanical updates already completed, this property offers an excellent opportunity for a first-time homebuyer to build sweat equity or an investor seeking strong ROI. A little TLC will go a long way!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,312 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,312 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$1,312
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$864
- − Management
- −$864
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $3,264
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$783
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,047/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- City population
- 93,814
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,750
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 38% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Arabic 3% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.08%
- Current HPI
- 202.407
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+25.0% since first listed34 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-15 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-01-24 Sold (MLS) $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-01-24 Sold (MLS) $29,900 REALCOMP
- 2020-01-17 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-01-17 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-01-08 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-01-08 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
- 2019-04-08 Sold (MLS) $4,095 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-04-08 Sold (MLS) $4,095 REALCOMP
- 2019-03-15 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-03-15 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2019-03-15 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2019-03-08 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2018-12-20 Listed $11,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-12-20 Listed $11,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-06-07 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-06-07 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-03-23 Listed $10,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-03-23 Listed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2003-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
- 2003-04-17 Sold (MLS) $33,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-04-17 Sold (MLS) $33,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-03-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-01-13 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-01-13 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-11-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-11-24 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2002-10-14 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-10-14 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
- 2002-07-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-12-21 Listed $39,911 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-12-21 Listed $39,911 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,312 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…