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10489 Heber Springs Rd
B Composite 73.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$35,000

10489 Heber Springs Rd · Concord, AR 72523
1 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,816 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 2000 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Potential for a good storage shed on a flat . 14 (+/-) lot with road frontage. It is hooked up to water, and it will need an electric meter put in but it is wired. There could be multiple uses for this property. Bring your ideas and an offer.

Key facts

  • Wired
  • Road frontage
  • Hooked up to water

Tags

STORAGE SHEDROAD FRONTAGEHOOKED UP TO WATERWIRED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car parking
  • Utilities: Utilities: other (see remarks)
  • Home design: Single-story property
  • Construction: Metal/Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Slab foundation; Built on approximately 0.14 acre lot
  • Exterior features: Level, cleared lot; Gravel and paved road access

Interior

  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No central heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Vinyl flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($958 rent vs $35k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#386 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Concord School District (rural): math 39% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #114 of 238 in AR (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Cleburne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($242 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Cleburne County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.9% of price.
Recommended offer $35,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.74%
Cap rate
20.53%
Cash-on-cash
50.84%
DSCR
3.26
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
56.0%
Equity multiple
4.14×
Total profit
$30,736
Equity at exit
$15,738
10-year hold
IRR
55.7%
Equity multiple
8.39×
Total profit
$72,465
Equity at exit
$24,253

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72523

Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$958 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax from tax record
$143 /mo · $1,720/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$201
Net cashflow
$415

Break-even live

Break-even rent $432
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $35,000 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $35,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $35,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $35,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $35,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $35,000 New Listing 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $35,000 New Listing 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    remarks 242-char remark
  9. 2026-06-09
    listed $35,000 New Listing 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,720 · $143/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,720 · $143/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,494
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$1,720
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$920
− Management
−$920
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$4,781
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,147
After-tax cash flow
$3,835/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Concord School District
NCES district ID
0504560
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$35,870
Composite
29.86/100
National rank
#6404
State rank
#114 of 238 in AR

Livability — Concord

Score
56/100
State rank
#386
US rank
#22727

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Concord, AR
Population (ZIP)
793

Population outlook (Cleburne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,198 people
By 2030
23,324 · -3.6%
By 2040
21,566 · -10.9%
By 2050
19,916 · -17.7%
By 2075
16,744 · -30.8%
By 2100
13,303 · -45.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cleburne

2024 margin
Solid R (+67.9) · D 15.2% · R 83.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.7pp toward R · 2008: -44.2pp · 2024: -67.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+67.9 2020: R+65.8 2016: R+61.4 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+44.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-70.8% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $35,000 WRVBOR
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $35,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $35,000 NWARMLS
  • 2017-10-20 Sold (MLS) $87,900 CARMLS
  • 2017-07-27 Pending CARMLS
  • 2017-07-12 Price Changed $88,900 CARMLS
  • 2017-07-03 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2017-07-03 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2017-06-08 Price Changed $89,900 CARMLS
  • 2017-05-04 Price Changed $94,900 CARMLS
  • 2017-05-01 Price Changed $99,900 CARMLS
  • 2017-03-31 Price Changed $109,900 CARMLS
  • 2017-02-26 Listed $119,900 CARMLS

Property tax history

+14.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,720 · +61.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…