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🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 78.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$65,000

4454 S Salina St · Syracuse, NY 13205
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,316 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 68 Days on market
Built 1900 4,884 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Home just approved for free whole house insulation for new buyer. Long term tenant will not be removed by seller. The tenant pays $1000 per month and social services pays an additional $400. So, cash or conventional offers only. Large home with good size backyard. Close to hospital, community pool and many businesses.

Key facts

  • 4,884 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 68 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $65,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$148,708) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 28.3% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 17 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $48k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $61,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.19%
Cap rate
28.27%
Cash-on-cash
78.49%
DSCR
4.49
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$148,708
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
154 Seeley Ave 0.15mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,321 (+0%) 3mo $70,000 $53 83
221 Weymouth Rd 0.56mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,313 (-0%) 3mo $203,000 $155 66
212 W Glen Ave 0.21mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,446 (+10%) 3mo $212,000 $147 64
130 Cortland Pl 0.45mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,344 (+2%) 6mo $194,250 $145 62
237 Evaleen Ave #39 0.53mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,298 (-1%) 5mo $128,750 $99 61
144 Oakdale Dr 0.74mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,344 (+2%) 1mo $72,000 $54 56
133 Hobart Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,248 (-5%) 1mo $145,000 $116 54
142 Maxwell Ave 0.71mi 4/2.0 1,392 (+6%) 4mo $122,500 $88 52
147 E Matson Ave 0.69mi 4/2.5 1,421 (+8%) 3mo $80,000 $56 48
122 Maxwell Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,410 (+7%) 4mo $160,000 $113 47
136 Weymouth Rd 0.56mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,508 (+15%) 6mo $230,000 $153 40
184 W Matson Ave 0.66mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,142 (-13%) 5mo $105,000 $92 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
88.6%
Equity multiple
7.11×
Total profit
$111,249
Equity at exit
$58,557
10-year hold
IRR
83.3%
Equity multiple
15.73×
Total profit
$268,052
Equity at exit
$126,281

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13205

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,076 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$82 /mo · $981/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$436
Net cashflow
$1,190

Break-even live

Break-even rent $569
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
154 Seeley Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.0 1312 $2,100 $1.60 13d 1 0.16mi
147 E Matson Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 2.5 1421 $2,000 $1.41 21d 1 0.68mi
2331 Midland Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.5 1664 $2,300 $1.38 21d 1 0.91mi
213 Fletcher Ave Unit 2 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 13d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 49 events

  1. 2025-12-15
    soldstatus $48,000
  2. 2025-10-14
    status Pending
  3. 2025-09-26
    status Active
  4. 2025-04-28
    status Pending
  5. 2025-03-21
    status Active
  6. 2025-02-25
    listed $65,000 Active
  7. 2024-07-25
    soldstatus $50,000
  8. 2024-07-19
    soldstatus $50,000 Closed 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Home just approved for free whole house insulation for new buyer. Long term tenant will not be removed by seller. The tenant pays $1000 per month and social services pays an additional $400. So, cash or conventional offers only. Large home with good size backyard. Close to hospital, community pool and many businesses.

  9. 2024-06-29
    status Pending 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Home just approved for free whole house insulation for new buyer. Long term tenant will not be removed by seller. The tenant pays $1000 per month and social services pays an additional $400. So, cash or conventional offers only. Large home with good size backyard. Close to hospital, community pool and many businesses.

  10. 2024-06-23
    historical Active Under Contract 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Home just approved for free whole house insulation for new buyer. Long term tenant will not be removed by seller. The tenant pays $1000 per month and social services pays an additional $400. So, cash or conventional offers only. Large home with good size backyard. Close to hospital, community pool and many businesses.

  11. 2024-06-16
    status Pending 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Home just approved for free whole house insulation for new buyer. Long term tenant will not be removed by seller. The tenant pays $1000 per month and social services pays an additional $400. So, cash or conventional offers only. Large home with good size backyard. Close to hospital, community pool and many businesses.

  12. 2024-06-04
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Home just approved for free whole house insulation for new buyer. Long term tenant will not be removed by seller. The tenant pays $1000 per month and social services pays an additional $400. So, cash or conventional offers only. Large home with good size backyard. Close to hospital, community pool and many businesses.

  13. 2024-06-04
    listed $59,900 Active 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Home just approved for free whole house insulation for new buyer. Long term tenant will not be removed by seller. The tenant pays $1000 per month and social services pays an additional $400. So, cash or conventional offers only. Large home with good size backyard. Close to hospital, community pool and many businesses.

  14. 2024-05-31
    historical
  15. 2024-05-22
    status Pending
  16. 2024-04-24
    status Active
  17. 2024-01-04
    status Pending
  18. 2024-01-04
    price $59,900
  19. 2023-11-20
    price $47,500
  20. 2023-11-10
    status Active
  21. 2023-08-30
    status Pending Sale
  22. 2023-08-23
    historical Continue to Show- Under Contract
  23. 2023-07-07
    price $49,900
  24. 2023-02-13
    listed $54,900 Active
  25. 2022-10-04
    historical
  26. 2022-09-14
    price $54,900
  27. 2022-09-09
    price $55,900
  28. 2022-09-04
    price $56,900
  29. 2022-07-14
    listed $57,900 Active
  30. 2022-06-30
    historical
  31. 2021-11-29
    listed $52,900 Active
  32. 2021-11-19
    historical
  33. 2021-10-24
    price $53,900
  34. 2021-09-17
    listed $54,900 Active
  35. 2020-12-07
    soldstatus $37,500
  36. 2020-12-01
    soldstatus $37,500 Closed Sale or Rented
  37. 2020-10-27
    status Pending Sale
  38. 2020-04-09
    listed $38,000 Active
  39. 2020-04-08
    historical
  40. 2019-06-15
    listed $39,900 Active
  41. 2019-06-14
    historical
  42. 2018-11-07
    listed $39,900 Active
  43. 2018-10-25
    historical
  44. 2018-07-05
    listed $42,900 Active
  45. 2018-06-30
    historical
  46. 2018-01-11
    listed $42,900 Active
  47. 2017-04-20
    historical
  48. 2017-02-24
    listed $44,900 Active
  49. 2013-04-19
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$981 · $82/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,040 · $87/mo
Expected delta
+$59/yr (+$5/mo · 6.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,912
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$981
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,993
− Management
−$1,993
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$14,089
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,381
After-tax cash flow
$10,903/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
City population
152,627
Population (ZIP)
18,562

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% White 37% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Swiss 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.12%
Current HPI
345.8854
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+380.0% since first listed
49 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 2025-10-14 Pending CNYIS
  • 2025-09-26 Relisted CNYIS
  • 2025-04-28 Pending CNYIS
  • 2025-03-21 Relisted CNYIS
  • 2025-02-25 Listed $65,000 CNYIS
  • 2024-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2024-07-19 Sold (MLS) $50,000 CNYIS
  • 2024-06-29 Pending CNYIS
  • 2024-06-23 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2024-06-16 Pending CNYIS
  • 2024-06-04 Relisted CNYIS
  • 2024-06-04 Listed $59,900 CNYIS
  • 2024-05-31 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2024-05-22 Pending CNYIS
  • 2024-04-24 Relisted CNYIS
  • 2024-01-04 Pending CNYIS
  • 2024-01-04 Price Changed $59,900 CNYIS
  • 2023-11-20 Price Changed $47,500 CNYIS
  • 2023-11-10 Relisted CNYIS
  • 2023-08-30 Pending CNYIS
  • 2023-08-23 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2023-07-07 Price Changed $49,900 CNYIS
  • 2023-02-13 Listed $54,900 CNYIS
  • 2022-10-04 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2022-09-14 Price Changed $54,900 CNYIS
  • 2022-09-09 Price Changed $55,900 CNYIS
  • 2022-09-04 Price Changed $56,900 CNYIS
  • 2022-07-14 Listed $57,900 CNYIS
  • 2022-06-30 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2021-11-29 Listed $52,900 CNYIS
  • 2021-11-19 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2021-10-24 Price Changed $53,900 CNYIS
  • 2021-09-17 Listed $54,900 CNYIS
  • 2020-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
  • 2020-12-01 Sold (MLS) $37,500 CNYIS
  • 2020-10-27 Pending CNYIS
  • 2020-04-09 Listed $38,000 CNYIS
  • 2020-04-08 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2019-06-15 Listed $39,900 CNYIS
  • 2019-06-14 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2018-11-07 Listed $39,900 CNYIS
  • 2018-10-25 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2018-07-05 Listed $42,900 CNYIS
  • 2018-06-30 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2018-01-11 Listed $42,900 CNYIS
  • 2017-04-20 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2017-02-24 Listed $44,900 CNYIS
  • 2013-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $981 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…