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105 Horton St
D+ Composite 47.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.4/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0

$155,000

105 Horton St · Scribner, NE 68057
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 58 Days on market
Built 1912 0.51 ac lot $108/sqft · 15% below area Est $183k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Peace and quiet awaits in this 4 bedroom home situated on a large lot in Scribner. Home features main floor laundry and eat in kitchen 2 bedrooms on the main floor with 2 additional bedrooms upstairs. A one car attached garage leads out to a large lot for entertaining or gardening.

Key facts

  • Attached garage
  • Eat in kitchen
  • Main floor laundry

Tags

MAIN FLOOR LAUNDRYEAT IN KITCHENLARGE LOTATTACHED GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-131 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (15.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (29.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (29.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#143 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Scribner-Snyder Community Schools (rural): math 55% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #106 of 245 in NE (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 82 units permitted in Dodge County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $155k implies a 244% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $109,838 (29.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
5.28%
Cash-on-cash
-3.63%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$183,074
List price
$155,000
Delta
-15.33%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
209 8th St 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,404 (-2%) 20mo $85,000 $61 52
516 5 St 0.38mi 2/2.0 1,652 (+15%) 6mo $197,000 $119 48
404 5th St 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,256 (-13%) 9mo $195,000 $155 48
715 6th St 0.52mi 2/1.0 1,256 (-13%) 11mo $42,500 $34 45
108 Neff St 0.41mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,296 (-10%) 19mo $169,000 $130 44
605 Main St 0.39mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,628 (+13%) 12mo $225,000 $138 41
410 Bridge St 0.46mi 2/2.0 1,224 (-15%) 13mo $189,900 $155 39
801 Logan St 0.41mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,240 (-14%) 14mo $182,000 $147 39
202 Bridge St 0.42mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,292 (-10%) 23mo $126,000 $98 39
675 County Rd 12 Ct 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,596 (+11%) 22mo $295,000 $185 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.74% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.3%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$16,435
Equity at exit
$76,249
10-year hold
IRR
8.9%
Equity multiple
2.45×
Total profit
$62,837
Equity at exit
$122,882

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68057

Home prices YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,098 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$122 /mo · $1,461/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$-131

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,265
Max offer price $131,784
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $155,000 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $155,000 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $155,000 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $155,000 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $155,000 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $155,000 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $155,000 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $155,000 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $155,000 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $155,000 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $155,000 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $155,000 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 40 DOM
  15. 2026-04-21
    listed $160,000 New 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Peace and quiet awaits in this 4 bedroom home situated on a large lot in Scribner. Home features main floor laundry and eat in kitchen 2 bedrooms on the main floor with 2 additional bedrooms upstairs. A one car attached garage leads out to a large lot for entertaining or gardening.

  16. 2000-05-31
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,461 · $122/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,682 · $223/mo
Expected delta
+$1,221/yr (+$102/mo · 83.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,181
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$1,461
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,054
− Management
−$1,054
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable loss
−$4,356
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,045
After-tax cash flow
$-532/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scribner-Snyder Community Schools
NCES district ID
3100076
Math proficiency
55% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$47,487
Composite
48.51/100
National rank
#4622
State rank
#106 of 245 in NE

Livability — Scribner

Score
73/100
State rank
#143
US rank
#5208

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Scribner, NE
Population (ZIP)
1,435

Population outlook (Dodge County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,191 people
By 2030
37,238 · +0.1%
By 2040
37,256 · +0.2%
By 2050
37,494 · +0.8%
By 2075
39,165 · +5.3%
By 2100
40,221 · +8.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Native American 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dodge

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.6) · D 33.0% · R 65.7% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: -12.0pp · 2024: -32.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.6 2020: R+32.1 2016: R+35.3 2012: R+22.7 2008: R+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.74%
Current HPI
269.9092
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+255.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $160,000 GPRMLS
  • 2000-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,461 · +83.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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