105 Horton St · Scribner, NE
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- Cash flow +8.7/30.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Peace and quiet awaits in this 4 bedroom home situated on a large lot in Scribner. Home features main floor laundry and eat in kitchen 2 bedrooms on the main floor with 2 additional bedrooms upstairs. A one car attached garage leads out to a large lot for entertaining or gardening.
Key facts
- Attached garage
- Eat in kitchen
- Main floor laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-131 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (15.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (29.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $110k (29.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#143 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Scribner-Snyder Community Schools (rural): math 55% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #106 of 245 in NE (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 82 units permitted in Dodge County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $155k implies a 244% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.63%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 11.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $183,074
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- -15.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209 8th St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (-2%) | 20mo | $85,000 | $61 | 52 |
| 516 5 St | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 | 1,652 (+15%) | 6mo | $197,000 | $119 | 48 |
| 404 5th St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,256 (-13%) | 9mo | $195,000 | $155 | 48 |
| 715 6th St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 1,256 (-13%) | 11mo | $42,500 | $34 | 45 |
| 108 Neff St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,296 (-10%) | 19mo | $169,000 | $130 | 44 |
| 605 Main St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,628 (+13%) | 12mo | $225,000 | $138 | 41 |
| 410 Bridge St | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 | 1,224 (-15%) | 13mo | $189,900 | $155 | 39 |
| 801 Logan St | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,240 (-14%) | 14mo | $182,000 | $147 | 39 |
| 202 Bridge St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,292 (-10%) | 23mo | $126,000 | $98 | 39 |
| 675 County Rd 12 Ct | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,596 (+11%) | 22mo | $295,000 | $185 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.74% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $16,435
- Equity at exit
- $76,249
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.45×
- Total profit
- $62,837
- Equity at exit
- $122,882
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68057
- Home prices YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 11.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,098 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$122 /mo · $1,461/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $-131
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $155,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $155,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $155,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-04-21$160,000 New 283-char remark
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Peace and quiet awaits in this 4 bedroom home situated on a large lot in Scribner. Home features main floor laundry and eat in kitchen 2 bedrooms on the main floor with 2 additional bedrooms upstairs. A one car attached garage leads out to a large lot for entertaining or gardening.
-
2000-05-31soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,461 · $122/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,682 · $223/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,221/yr (+$102/mo · 83.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,181
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$1,461
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,054
- − Management
- −$1,054
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$4,356
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,045
- After-tax cash flow
- $-532/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scribner-Snyder Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3100076
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,487
- Composite
- 48.51/100
- National rank
- #4622
- State rank
- #106 of 245 in NE
Livability — Scribner
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #143
- US rank
- #5208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Scribner, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,435
Population outlook (Dodge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,191 people
- By 2030
- 37,238 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 37,256 · +0.2%
- By 2050
- 37,494 · +0.8%
- By 2075
- 39,165 · +5.3%
- By 2100
- 40,221 · +8.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dodge
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.6) · D 33.0% · R 65.7% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: -12.0pp · 2024: -32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.6 2020: R+32.1 2016: R+35.3 2012: R+22.7 2008: R+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.74%
- Current HPI
- 269.9092
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+255.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listed $160,000 GPRMLS
- 2000-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,461 · +83.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…