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392 County Road 517 Rd
B+ Composite 76.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0

$61,000

392 County Road 517 Rd · Valley Grande, AL 36703
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,749 sqft · Manufactured · 68 Days on market
Built 1999 1.07 ac lot $35/sqft · 53% above area ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home situated on 1.07 acres of landscaped property. This inviting residence offers a thoughtful layout with comfortable living spaces and charming features throughout. The spacious living room features a cozy fireplace, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen is designed with both function and style in mind, offering a center island and a bright breakfast nook, perfect for casual dining. The refrigerator, stove, microwave, and dishwasher will remain, making this home move-in ready. The primary suite provides a peaceful retreat and includes a garden tub, separate shower, and direct access to a large walk-in closet, offering both comfort and convenience. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered, enclosed back porch, ideal for relaxing and enjoying the surrounding property. Additional features include a detached two-vehicle carport and two spacious storage units, providing ample space for vehicles, equipment, or hobbies. The beautifully landscaped 1.07-acre lot offers privacy and room to enjoy outdoor activities while maintaining a manageable footprint. This property combines comfort, space, and functionality—an excellent place to call home. ALL OFFERS MUST BE SUBMITTED BY 5:00 TUESDAY, MAY 19, 2026

Key facts

  • Landscaped property
  • Separate shower
  • Cozy fireplace

Tags

LANDSCAPED PROPERTYCOZY FIREPLACECENTER ISLANDBRIGHT BREAKFAST NOOKGARDEN TUBSEPARATE SHOWER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $61k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $392 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $61k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 5.1% in Valley Grande — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#218 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Dallas County (rural): math 2% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #115 of 129 in AL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($422 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Dallas County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,340 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.69%
Cap rate
14.01%
Cash-on-cash
27.55%
DSCR
2.23
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$40,000
List price
$61,000
Delta
52.50%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.1%
Equity multiple
4.41×
Total profit
$58,210
Equity at exit
$54,954
10-year hold
IRR
39.1%
Equity multiple
9.89×
Total profit
$151,811
Equity at exit
$118,510

Cash invested: $17,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36703

Home prices YoY
13.2%
Active inventory
52
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,030 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$320
Tax est. 1.5%
$76 /mo · $915/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$216
Net cashflow
$392

Break-even live

Break-even rent $534
Max offer price $61,000
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,250
Closing costs
$1,830
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-03-22
    status Active 1334-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1334 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home situated on 1.07 acres of landscaped property. This inviting residence offers a thoughtful layout with comfortable living spaces and charming features throughout. The spacious living room features a cozy fireplace, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen is designed with both function and style in mind, offering a center island and a bright breakfast nook, perfect for casual dining. The refrigerator, stove, microwave, and dishwasher will remain, making this home move-in ready. The primary suite provides a peaceful retreat and includes a garden tub, separate shower, and direct access to a large walk-in closet, offering both comfort and convenience. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered, enclosed back porch, ideal for relaxing and enjoying the surrounding property. Additional features include a detached two-vehicle carport and two spacious storage units, providing ample space for vehicles, equipment, or hobbies. The beautifully landscaped 1.07-acre lot offers privacy and room to enjoy outdoor activities while maintaining a manageable footprint. This property combines comfort, space, and functionality—an excellent place to call home. ALL OFFERS MUST BE SUBMITTED BY 5:00 TUESDAY, MAY 19, 2026

  2. 2026-03-18
    historical Contingent 1334-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1334 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home situated on 1.07 acres of landscaped property. This inviting residence offers a thoughtful layout with comfortable living spaces and charming features throughout. The spacious living room features a cozy fireplace, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen is designed with both function and style in mind, offering a center island and a bright breakfast nook, perfect for casual dining. The refrigerator, stove, microwave, and dishwasher will remain, making this home move-in ready. The primary suite provides a peaceful retreat and includes a garden tub, separate shower, and direct access to a large walk-in closet, offering both comfort and convenience. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered, enclosed back porch, ideal for relaxing and enjoying the surrounding property. Additional features include a detached two-vehicle carport and two spacious storage units, providing ample space for vehicles, equipment, or hobbies. The beautifully landscaped 1.07-acre lot offers privacy and room to enjoy outdoor activities while maintaining a manageable footprint. This property combines comfort, space, and functionality—an excellent place to call home. ALL OFFERS MUST BE SUBMITTED BY 5:00 TUESDAY, MAY 19, 2026

  3. 2026-03-15
    listed $61,000 Active 1334-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1334 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home situated on 1.07 acres of landscaped property. This inviting residence offers a thoughtful layout with comfortable living spaces and charming features throughout. The spacious living room features a cozy fireplace, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen is designed with both function and style in mind, offering a center island and a bright breakfast nook, perfect for casual dining. The refrigerator, stove, microwave, and dishwasher will remain, making this home move-in ready. The primary suite provides a peaceful retreat and includes a garden tub, separate shower, and direct access to a large walk-in closet, offering both comfort and convenience. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered, enclosed back porch, ideal for relaxing and enjoying the surrounding property. Additional features include a detached two-vehicle carport and two spacious storage units, providing ample space for vehicles, equipment, or hobbies. The beautifully landscaped 1.07-acre lot offers privacy and room to enjoy outdoor activities while maintaining a manageable footprint. This property combines comfort, space, and functionality—an excellent place to call home. ALL OFFERS MUST BE SUBMITTED BY 5:00 TUESDAY, MAY 19, 2026

  4. 2026-01-07
    price $44,900
  5. 2025-12-31
    price $54,900
  6. 2025-12-09
    listed $64,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,359
− Mortgage interest
−$3,417
− Property taxes
−$915
− Insurance
−$305
− Repairs & maintenance
−$989
− Management
−$989
− Depreciation
−$1,775
Taxable income
$3,970
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$953
After-tax cash flow
$3,752/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dallas County
NCES district ID
0101110
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$32,660
Composite
9.54/100
National rank
#9847
State rank
#115 of 129 in AL

Livability — Valley Grande

Score
62/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#16561

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Valley Grande, AL
City population
22,358
Population (ZIP)
9,489

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,464 people
By 2030
32,631 · -8.0%
By 2040
27,246 · -23.2%
By 2050
22,691 · -36.0%
By 2075
14,867 · -58.1%
By 2100
10,285 · -71.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 26% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.5) · D 65.9% · R 33.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: 34.5pp · 2024: 32.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.5 2020: D+37.5 2016: D+37.6 2012: D+39.7 2008: D+34.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 19.24%
Current HPI
164.88
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-22 Relisted MAAR
  • 2026-03-18 Contingent MAAR
  • 2026-03-15 Listed $61,000 MAAR
  • 2026-01-07 Price Changed $44,900 MAAR
  • 2025-12-31 Price Changed $54,900 MAAR
  • 2025-12-09 Listed $64,500 MAAR

Property tax history

-1.2%/yr

Latest (2023): $60 · +17.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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