South St · Hillsboro, OH
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located within 1 block of downtown Hillsboro. Identical units, one remodeled.
Key facts
- Remodeled
- Downtown hillsboro
- Built 1901
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-56 ($-676/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $122k (6.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (11.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $115k (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.2% in Hillsboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#621 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Hillsboro City (rural): math 66% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #175 of 656 in OH (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 20 units permitted in Highland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Highland County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $130k implies a 550% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.33%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $9,865
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- 1217.75%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-24,597
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-25,804
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45133
- Home prices YoY
- -19.4%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,150 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $-56
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 337 N High St Hillsboro, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2500 | $1,150 | $0.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $130,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $130,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-12$130,000 Active 77-char remark
-
2022-09-27soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,950
- − Insurance
- −$1,448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,104
- − Management
- −$1,104
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable loss
- −$2,869
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$689
- After-tax cash flow
- $12/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsboro City
- NCES district ID
- 3904412
- Math proficiency
- 66% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,342
- Composite
- 57.72/100
- National rank
- #1056
- State rank
- #175 of 656 in OH
Livability — Hillsboro
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #621
- US rank
- #10783
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hillsboro, OH
- County
- Highland · 42,279 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,604
- Household income
- $58,813
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 15.9
Population outlook (Highland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,165 people
- By 2030
- 39,726 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 36,377 · -11.6%
- By 2050
- 32,572 · -20.9%
- By 2075
- 23,690 · -42.5%
- By 2100
- 16,220 · -60.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Highland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.4) · D 18.1% · R 81.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.0pp toward R · 2008: -26.3pp · 2024: -63.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.4 2020: R+60.4 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+26.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.94%
- Current HPI
- 278.012
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2022-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2022): $22 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…