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372 SE Colburn Ave
C Composite 55.68
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.8/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$190,000

372 SE Colburn Ave · Lake City, FL 32025
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,542 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 196 Days on market
Built 1963 9,670 sqft lot Est $200k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Newly remodeled 4 bedroom 1.5 bath home. 9 yr old metal roof. Complete remodel in 2022. New electric panel 2021, new HVAC 2022, New paint, new flooring, partial new windows, new bathrooms, new kitchen. Washer in dryer convey -seller has no information about washer and dryer. Open floor plan with bonus room. Fenced in yard.

Key facts

  • Bonus room
  • Updated flooring
  • Move in ready

Tags

MOVE IN READYUPDATED FLOORINGBONUS ROOMCONCRETE BLOCK HOME

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 3-car garage
  • Utilities: Cable available
  • Home design: Single-story residential home; Zoned RSF-3
  • Construction: Block and frame construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Metal roof; Lot approximately 84x105x94x119

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Gas cooktop; Microwave
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Gas cooktop; Microwave; Ceiling fans; Central air; Central heating; Electric heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $27 ($327/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (6.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $167k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.7% in Lake City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#304 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, employment F.
  • Columbia (town): math 53% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #25 of 73 in FL (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 178 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Columbia County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 196 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $167,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 196 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.61%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$200,460
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
492 SE Lomond Ave 0.15mi 3/1.0 1,390 (-10%) 6mo $112,500 $81 72
993 SE Putnam St 0.10mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,438 (-7%) 6mo $165,000 $115 70
1104 SE Magnolia Loop 0.30mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (+4%) 4mo $245,655 $154 67
246 SE Lochlynn Ter 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,340 (-13%) 6mo $259,000 $193 63
654 SE Brown St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,554 (+1%) 12mo $174,000 $112 63
481 SE Waldron Ter 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,358 (-12%) 15mo $220,000 $162 62
268 NE Anderson Ter 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,418 (-8%) 6mo $125,000 $88 55
195 SE Emma Pl 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,748 (+13%) 4mo $232,000 $133 53
342 NE Anderson Ter 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,449 (-6%) 16mo $92,500 $64 52
319 SE Avalon Ave 0.36mi 3/3.0 1,344 (-13%) 8mo $174,400 $130 47
493 SE Church Ave 0.72mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-7%) 2mo $187,500 $130 45
570 SE Sunflower Pl 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-9%) 8mo $264,500 $189 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
2.98×
Total profit
$105,280
Equity at exit
$171,167
10-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
6.80×
Total profit
$308,798
Equity at exit
$369,128

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32025

Home prices YoY
6.8%
Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,776 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$301 /mo · $3,607/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$373
Net cashflow
$27

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,742
Max offer price $190,000
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $190,000 Active 196 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $190,000 Active 195 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $190,000 Active 194 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $190,000 Active 193 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $190,000 Active 192 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $190,000 Active 190 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $190,000 Active 189 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $190,000 Active 186 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $190,000 Active 185 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $190,000 Active 184 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $190,000 Active 181 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $190,000 Active 180 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $190,000 Active 179 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $190,000 Active 178 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $190,000 Active 177 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $190,000 Active 176 DOM
  17. 2026-02-14
    price $190,000
  18. 2026-02-14
    price $192,000
  19. 2026-02-14
    price $190,000
  20. 2026-01-03
    price $205,000
  21. 2025-12-09
    price $220,000
  22. 2025-12-05
    price $250,000
  23. 2025-12-05
    listed $260,000 Active
  24. 2022-08-16
    soldstatus $179,000
  25. 2022-07-21
    soldstatus $179,000 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    Newly remodeled 4 bedroom 1.5 bath home. 9 yr old metal roof. Complete remodel in 2022. New electric panel 2021, new HVAC 2022, New paint, new flooring, partial new windows, new bathrooms, new kitchen. Washer in dryer convey -seller has no information about washer and dryer. Open floor plan with bonus room. Fenced in yard.

  26. 2021-12-21
    soldstatus $82,500
  27. 2021-11-23
    soldstatus $82,500 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    Great investment opportunity. Newly listed 3 Bedroom 1 bath block home. The home has been occupied and is ready for its new owner. A metal roof and block construction limits the work needed to bring this home up-to-date. This home is priced to sell!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,607 · $301/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,607 · $301/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,318
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$3,607
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,705
− Management
−$1,705
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable loss
−$2,821
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$677
After-tax cash flow
$1,004/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Columbia
NCES district ID
1200360
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$40,053
Composite
44.74/100
National rank
#2750
State rank
#25 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lake City

Score
73/100
State rank
#304
US rank
#5154

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lake City, FL
County
Columbia County · 40,507 people
City population
40,507
Metro
Lake City, FL
Population (ZIP)
22,948
Household income
$55,004
Rent vs Own
40.1% rent · 59.9% own
Severe rent burden
754.0

Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,129 people
By 2030
67,501 · -0.9%
By 2040
65,465 · -3.9%
By 2050
63,058 · -7.4%
By 2075
56,291 · -17.4%
By 2100
45,243 · -33.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Columbia

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.2) · D 24.6% · R 74.7%
2008→2024 swing
-16.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.8pp · 2024: -50.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.2 2020: R+45.2 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+36.7 2008: R+33.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 17.57%
Current HPI
276.7253
Rent YoY
Metro
Lake City, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+130.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-14 Price Changed $190,000 NFMLS
  • 2026-02-14 Price Changed $192,000 NFMLS
  • 2026-02-14 Price Changed $190,000 NFMLS
  • 2026-01-03 Price Changed $205,000 NFMLS
  • 2025-12-09 Price Changed $220,000 NFMLS
  • 2025-12-05 Price Changed $250,000 NFMLS
  • 2025-12-05 Listed $260,000 NFMLS
  • 2022-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $179,000 Public Records
  • 2022-07-21 Sold (MLS) $179,000 NFMLS
  • 2021-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
  • 2021-11-23 Sold (MLS) $82,500 NFMLS

Property tax history

+17.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,607 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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