CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1362 Richards Dr
D+ Composite 48.88
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.5/30.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

1362 Richards Dr · Watertown, NY 13601
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,925 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1968 2.11 ac lot $109/sqft · 27% below area Est $287k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath ranch home set on an impressive 2.11-acre lot within the City of Watertown, a rare opportunity to enjoy both privacy and convenience in one property. With its generous layout, abundant natural light, and expansive outdoor space, this home offers the perfect canvas for creating something truly special. Mature trees and open areas create a peaceful backdrop, while still keeping you close to everything Watertown has to offer. Sunlight pours into the living spaces, creating a bright and welcoming atmosphere that enhances the home’s layout and makes each room feel warm and inviting. The ranch-style design offers the ease of single-level living, with a flow that is both practical and comfortable. The large kitchen truly serves as the heart of the home and features a dedicated eat-in area, perfect for casual meals, morning coffee, or gathering with family and friends. In addition to the eat-in kitchen, the home also offers a formal dining area, ideal for hosting holidays, dinner parties, or special occasions. A standout feature of this home is the presence of two separate living rooms, offering exceptional flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. One living area can serve as a primary gathering space, while the second is perfect for a family room, media room, home office, or playroom. The four bedrooms offer versatility and comfort, whether you need space for family, guests, office, or hobbies. The two full bathrooms are conveniently located and updated. With solid bones and a desirable layout, this property is ideal for those with vision. Whether you’re an investor, a first-time buyer ready to take on a project, or someone looking to design a long-term home, the potential here is undeniable. One of the standout features of this property is its location. Situated within the City of Watertown, the home offers convenient access to shopping, schools, restaurants, and everyday amenities. The outdoor space further enhances the appeal of this property. With over two acres of land, there’s plenty of room to expand your outdoor living areas, create gardens, add recreational features, or simply enjoy the open space.

Key facts

  • Eat-in area
  • 2.11-acre lot
  • Formal dining area

Tags

2.11-ACRE LOTMATURE TREESEXPANSIVE OUTDOOR SPACETWO SEPARATE LIVING ROOMSEAT-IN AREAFORMAL DINING AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-32 ($-384/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $204k (2.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (18.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $171k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#540 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A-, housing A-; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
  • Watertown City School District (urban): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #481 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.0%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 196 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $167k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $170,650 (18.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.11%
Cash-on-cash
-0.65%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$286,906
List price
$210,000
Delta
-26.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
266 Chestnut St 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,980 (+3%) 8mo $302,900 $153 74
1031 Sherman St 0.30mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,887 (-2%) 9mo $252,900 $134 70
155 Chestnut St 0.26mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,744 (-9%) 3mo $258,500 $148 63
150 Bishop St 0.49mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,008 (+4%) 5mo $240,000 $120 61
137 Bishop St 0.47mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,944 (+1%) 8mo $249,900 $129 61
302 Pratt St 0.51mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,000 (+4%) 5mo $189,900 $95 60
316 Bugbee Dr 0.38mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,052 (+7%) 8mo $315,000 $154 57
714 Ball Ave 0.63mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,947 (+1%) 10mo $352,000 $181 56
158 Haley St 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,105 (+9%) 2mo $241,000 $114 51
142 Haley St 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,104 (+9%) 4mo $279,900 $133 50
839 Myrtle Ave 0.69mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,708 (-11%) 7mo $247,500 $145 38
1357 Ives St 0.69mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,733 (-10%) 10mo $269,900 $156 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.2%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-27,067
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
2.9%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$14,779
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13601

Home prices YoY
-5.6%
Rents YoY
10.0%
Active inventory
223
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,706 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$191 /mo · $2,297/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$-32

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,747
Max offer price $204,346
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2240 Kristina Park Watertown, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1072 $1,615 $1.51 44d 5 0.52mi
128 Park Ave Watertown, NY 3.0 2.0 2300 $2,400 $1.04 44d 1 0.65mi
720 Cadwell St Watertown, NY 2.0 1.5 1300 $995 $0.77 44d 1 1.02mi
328 Clay St Unit 3 Watertown, NY 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,650 $1.10 44d 1 1.07mi
621 Academy St Watertown, NY 3.0 2.0 1652 $1,600 $0.97 44d 1 1.22mi
156 N Meadow St Watertown, NY 4.0 1.0 2535 $1,500 $0.59 44d 1 1.40mi
123 State Pl Watertown, NY 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,750 $1.17 44d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $210,000 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,000 Active 58 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $210,000 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $210,000 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $210,000 Active 52 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $210,000 Active 51 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $210,000 Active 50 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $239,000 Active 47 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $239,000 Active 46 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $239,000 Active 45 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $239,000 Active 44 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $239,000 Active 43 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $239,000 Active 42 DOM
  17. 2026-05-16
    price $239,000 2198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2198 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath ranch home set on an impressive 2.11-acre lot within the City of Watertown, a rare opportunity to enjoy both privacy and convenience in one property. With its generous layout, abundant natural light, and expansive outdoor space, this home offers the perfect canvas for creating something truly special. Mature trees and open areas create a peaceful backdrop, while still keeping you close to everything Watertown has to offer. Sunlight pours into the living spaces, creating a bright and welcoming atmosphere that enhances the home’s layout and makes each room feel warm and inviting. The ranch-style design offers the ease of single-level living, with a flow that is both practical and comfortable. The large kitchen truly serves as the heart of the home and features a dedicated eat-in area, perfect for casual meals, morning coffee, or gathering with family and friends. In addition to the eat-in kitchen, the home also offers a formal dining area, ideal for hosting holidays, dinner parties, or special occasions. A standout feature of this home is the presence of two separate living rooms, offering exceptional flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. One living area can serve as a primary gathering space, while the second is perfect for a family room, media room, home office, or playroom. The four bedrooms offer versatility and comfort, whether you need space for family, guests, office, or hobbies. The two full bathrooms are conveniently located and updated. With solid bones and a desirable layout, this property is ideal for those with vision. Whether you’re an investor, a first-time buyer ready to take on a project, or someone looking to design a long-term home, the potential here is undeniable. One of the standout features of this property is its location. Situated within the City of Watertown, the home offers convenient access to shopping, schools, restaurants, and everyday amenities. The outdoor space further enhances the appeal of this property. With over two acres of land, there’s plenty of room to expand your outdoor living areas, create gardens, add recreational features, or simply enjoy the open space.

  18. 2026-05-04
    price $244,000 2198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2198 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath ranch home set on an impressive 2.11-acre lot within the City of Watertown, a rare opportunity to enjoy both privacy and convenience in one property. With its generous layout, abundant natural light, and expansive outdoor space, this home offers the perfect canvas for creating something truly special. Mature trees and open areas create a peaceful backdrop, while still keeping you close to everything Watertown has to offer. Sunlight pours into the living spaces, creating a bright and welcoming atmosphere that enhances the home’s layout and makes each room feel warm and inviting. The ranch-style design offers the ease of single-level living, with a flow that is both practical and comfortable. The large kitchen truly serves as the heart of the home and features a dedicated eat-in area, perfect for casual meals, morning coffee, or gathering with family and friends. In addition to the eat-in kitchen, the home also offers a formal dining area, ideal for hosting holidays, dinner parties, or special occasions. A standout feature of this home is the presence of two separate living rooms, offering exceptional flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. One living area can serve as a primary gathering space, while the second is perfect for a family room, media room, home office, or playroom. The four bedrooms offer versatility and comfort, whether you need space for family, guests, office, or hobbies. The two full bathrooms are conveniently located and updated. With solid bones and a desirable layout, this property is ideal for those with vision. Whether you’re an investor, a first-time buyer ready to take on a project, or someone looking to design a long-term home, the potential here is undeniable. One of the standout features of this property is its location. Situated within the City of Watertown, the home offers convenient access to shopping, schools, restaurants, and everyday amenities. The outdoor space further enhances the appeal of this property. With over two acres of land, there’s plenty of room to expand your outdoor living areas, create gardens, add recreational features, or simply enjoy the open space.

  19. 2026-04-17
    listed $249,000 Active 2198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2198 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath ranch home set on an impressive 2.11-acre lot within the City of Watertown, a rare opportunity to enjoy both privacy and convenience in one property. With its generous layout, abundant natural light, and expansive outdoor space, this home offers the perfect canvas for creating something truly special. Mature trees and open areas create a peaceful backdrop, while still keeping you close to everything Watertown has to offer. Sunlight pours into the living spaces, creating a bright and welcoming atmosphere that enhances the home’s layout and makes each room feel warm and inviting. The ranch-style design offers the ease of single-level living, with a flow that is both practical and comfortable. The large kitchen truly serves as the heart of the home and features a dedicated eat-in area, perfect for casual meals, morning coffee, or gathering with family and friends. In addition to the eat-in kitchen, the home also offers a formal dining area, ideal for hosting holidays, dinner parties, or special occasions. A standout feature of this home is the presence of two separate living rooms, offering exceptional flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. One living area can serve as a primary gathering space, while the second is perfect for a family room, media room, home office, or playroom. The four bedrooms offer versatility and comfort, whether you need space for family, guests, office, or hobbies. The two full bathrooms are conveniently located and updated. With solid bones and a desirable layout, this property is ideal for those with vision. Whether you’re an investor, a first-time buyer ready to take on a project, or someone looking to design a long-term home, the potential here is undeniable. One of the standout features of this property is its location. Situated within the City of Watertown, the home offers convenient access to shopping, schools, restaurants, and everyday amenities. The outdoor space further enhances the appeal of this property. With over two acres of land, there’s plenty of room to expand your outdoor living areas, create gardens, add recreational features, or simply enjoy the open space.

  20. 2026-03-14
    historical
  21. 2026-02-23
    price $250,000
  22. 2025-11-10
    listed $260,000 Active
  23. 2020-05-18
    soldstatus $167,000
  24. 2020-05-15
    soldstatus $167,000
  25. 2020-03-01
    listed $176,000
  26. 2020-01-10
    historical
  27. 2019-10-08
    listed $184,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,297 · $191/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,923 · $244/mo
Expected delta
+$626/yr (+$52/mo · 27.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,478
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$2,297
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,638
− Management
−$1,638
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable loss
−$4,017
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$964
After-tax cash flow
$580/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Watertown City School District
NCES district ID
3630120
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 12.00%
Median HH income
$40,919
Composite
36.86/100
National rank
#4551
State rank
#481 of 590 in NY

Livability — Watertown

Score
68/100
State rank
#540
US rank
#9700

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A- Crime F Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Watertown, NY
County
Jefferson County · 47,417 people
City population
36,839
Metro
Watertown-Fort Drum, NY
Population (ZIP)
36,839
Household income
$58,791
Rent vs Own
51.4% rent · 48.6% own
Severe rent burden
1634.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
111,748 people
By 2030
109,370 · -2.1%
By 2040
103,828 · -7.1%
By 2050
98,523 · -11.8%
By 2075
91,422 · -18.2%
By 2100
78,214 · -30.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 7% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.6) · D 38.2% · R 61.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: -5.3pp · 2024: -23.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.6 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+22.4 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+5.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.86%
Current HPI
316.636
Rent YoY
▲ 9.96%
Metro
Watertown-Fort Drum, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+29.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $239,000 CNYIS
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $244,000 CNYIS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $249,000 CNYIS
  • 2026-03-14 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $250,000 CNYIS
  • 2025-11-10 Listed $260,000 CNYIS
  • 2020-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $167,000 Public Records
  • 2020-05-15 Sold (MLS) $167,000 CNYIS
  • 2020-03-01 Listed $176,000 CNYIS
  • 2020-01-10 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2019-10-08 Listed $184,900 CNYIS

Property tax history

+8.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,297 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…