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4907 17th Ave
B- Composite 69.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$76,000

4907 17th Ave · Chattanooga, TN 37407
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1930 1.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 1 acre lot
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 3 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $76k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $468 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $76k).
  • Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 3.4% in Chattanooga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#3 in TN, #2,582 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Hamilton County (urban): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #42 of 139 in TN (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,133 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (405 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $525 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hamilton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $76k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $76,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
13.69%
Cash-on-cash
26.41%
DSCR
2.18
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$152,880
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2806 E 46th St 0.39mi 1/1.0 (-1) 798 (-5%) 3mo $50,000 $63 66
106 Beech St 0.66mi 2/1.0 848 (+1%) 11mo $45,000 $53 58
3214 E 46th St 0.11mi 3/1.5 (+1) 908 (+8%) 22mo $199,000 $219 56
3417 Land St 0.57mi 2/1.0 900 (+7%) 10mo $257,000 $286 52
1611 E 50th St 0.51mi 2/1.0 784 (-7%) 19mo $104,000 $133 49
137 Hogan Rd 0.67mi 2/1.0 932 (+11%) 16mo $173,000 $186 37
400 Richmond Avenue Ave 0.54mi 2/1.0 950 (+13%) 21mo $74,000 $78 35
129 Summitt St 0.73mi 2/1.5 960 (+14%) 9mo $175,000 $182 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$17,490
Equity at exit
$11,332
10-year hold
IRR
28.4%
Equity multiple
3.52×
Total profit
$53,533
Equity at exit
$6,571

Cash invested: $21,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37407

Home prices YoY
-8.1%
Active inventory
40
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,164 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$399
Tax from tax record
$21 /mo · $254/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$468

Break-even live

Break-even rent $571
Max offer price $76,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,000
Closing costs
$2,280
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
813 Chickamauga Ave Unit A Rossville, GA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,099 $1.22 23d 1 0.64mi
819 Asterwood Dr Unit B Rossville, GA 2.0 2.0 975 $1,445 $1.48 14d 1 0.80mi
515 W Gordon Ave Rossville, GA 2.0 1.0 906 $999 $1.10 44d 1 0.82mi
2904 E 37th St Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 23d 1 0.84mi
1591 Park City Rd Apt E15 Rossville, GA 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,145 $1.09 23d 1 0.90mi
505 Flegal Ave Rossville, GA 2.0 1.0 768 $1,050 $1.37 23d 1 0.92mi
3380 Shadowlawn Dr Unit 2 Chattanooga, TN 2.0 2.0 629 $1,323 $2.10 14d 1 1.00mi
3392 Shadowlawn Dr Unit A East Ridge, TN 1.0 1.0 800 $1,003 $1.25 14d 1 1.01mi
304 Cherry St Rossville, GA 2.0 1.0 982 $1,675 $1.71 44d 1 1.05mi
340 Alpine Dr Rossville, GA 2.0 1.0 836 $1,275 $1.53 14d 1 1.12mi
3414 Betty Ln Chattanooga, TN 2.0 1.5 1117 $1,295 $1.16 23d 1 1.16mi
804 Henderson Ave Rossville, GA 2.0 1.0 948 $1,025 $1.08 14d 1 1.17mi
3114 14th Ave Apt A Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 23d 1 1.19mi
3403 Gail Dr Chattanooga, TN 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,425 $1.43 14d 1 1.22mi
817 Henderson Ave Rossville, GA 2.0 1.0 844 $1,150 $1.36 14d 1 1.23mi
3308 Roadrunner Trl Chattanooga, TN 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,323 $1.32 23d 1 1.25mi
1106 Carline Rd Apt B Rossville, GA 2.0 1.5 877 $1,095 $1.25 21d 1 1.28mi
1106 Carline Rd Rossville, GA 2.0 1.5 1012 $1,095 $1.08 14d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-30
    status $76,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-04-04
    status Pending
  3. 2026-04-03
    listed $76,000 Active
  4. 2008-08-27
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$254 · $21/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$540 · $45/mo
Expected delta
+$286/yr (+$24/mo · 112.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,971
− Mortgage interest
−$4,257
− Property taxes
−$254
− Insurance
−$380
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,118
− Management
−$1,118
− Depreciation
−$2,211
Taxable income
$4,634
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,112
After-tax cash flow
$4,509/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hamilton County
NCES district ID
4701590
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$47,456
Composite
26.8/100
National rank
#7122
State rank
#42 of 139 in TN

Livability — Chattanooga

Score
78/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#2582

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chattanooga, TN
City population
131,999
Population (ZIP)
10,164

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
393,784 people
By 2030
412,983 · +4.9%
By 2040
449,502 · +14.1%
By 2050
484,341 · +23.0%
By 2075
565,746 · +43.7%
By 2100
618,394 · +57.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 43% White 29% Black 22% Two or more races 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada
Languages at home
52% English-only · Spanish 43% Arabic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
R (+13.1) · D 42.7% · R 55.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -13.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.1 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+16.6 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.82%
Current HPI
212.4869
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+68.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-04 Pending Knoxville MLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $76,000 Knoxville MLS
  • 2008-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $254 · +34.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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