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302 N Mead Ave
B- Composite 67.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.4/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$99,000

302 N Mead Ave · Shawnee, OK 74801
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 986 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1940 10,498 sqft lot Est $104k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HANDYMAN SPECIAL! Home was in process of being remodeled! Great Potential! Please allow 2-3 business days for seller response. Buyer must have proof of funds submitted with offer.

Key facts

  • Central heat
  • Large yard
  • 0.24 acre lot

Tags

LARGE YARDCENTRAL HEAT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Oak Park Shawnee addition; Vacant and active listing; Approximate living area 986 (assessor)
  • Financial info: Loan qualification available; Not assumable
  • HOA & community: No mandatory association dues

Exterior

  • Utilities: No flood insurance requirement indicated
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Existing property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Outbuildings; Interior lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating
  • Interior features: One living area; No fireplace; Conventional foundation

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $319 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.9% in Shawnee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#217 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Shawnee (town): math 11% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #238 of 270 in OK (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Shawnee Hs (math 16% / reading 35%, grade F, #142 of 447 statewide, top 32%, 987 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 192 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 183 units permitted in Pottawatomie County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pottawatomie County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $8k; list at $99k implies a 1065% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
10.17%
Cash-on-cash
13.83%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$103,530
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1901 E Main St 0.22mi 3/1.5 1,032 (+5%) 8mo $124,000 $120 73
1906 E 7th Cir 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,107 (+12%) 1mo $54,000 $49 65
402 N Washington Ave 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,132 (+15%) 11mo $110,000 $97 61
1320 E Margaret St 0.58mi 3/2.0 951 (-4%) 7mo $156,000 $164 58
1315 E Whittaker St 0.45mi 3/1.0 904 (-8%) 10mo $95,000 $105 57
1322 E Margaret St 0.57mi 2/2.0 (-1) 951 (-4%) 3mo $150,000 $158 55
322 N Draper Ave 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,063 (+8%) 5mo $76,500 $72 53
321 S Lindale Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,101 (+12%) 3mo $43,500 $40 53
1207 E 10th St 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,060 (+8%) 3mo $68,000 $64 51
1103 E 11th St 0.71mi 3/1.0 908 (-8%) 6mo $115,000 $127 48
1212 E 11th St 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,087 (+10%) 7mo $114,500 $105 44
1134 E Main St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,087 (+10%) 10mo $35,000 $32 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$4,060
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
13.1%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$28,731
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74801

Home prices YoY
-1.7%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
192
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,159 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $433/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$243
Net cashflow
$319

Break-even live

Break-even rent $755
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1001 E Independence St Shawnee, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0 690 $900 $1.30 4d 2 1.33mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,000 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,000 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,000 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,000 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,000 Active 24 DOM
  16. 2026-05-08
    status Active
  17. 2026-05-03
    listed $99,000 Active
  18. 2013-09-24
    soldstatus $8,500 182-char remark
    Show marketing remark (182 chars)

    HANDYMAN SPECIAL! Home was in process of being remodeled! Great Potential! Please allow 2-3 business days for seller response. Buyer must have proof of funds submitted with offer.

  19. 2013-04-29
    listed $9,500 182-char remark
    Show marketing remark (182 chars)

    HANDYMAN SPECIAL! Home was in process of being remodeled! Great Potential! Please allow 2-3 business days for seller response. Buyer must have proof of funds submitted with offer.

  20. 2007-05-03
    soldstatus $46,000
  21. 2007-04-26
    soldstatus $46,000 159-char remark
    Show marketing remark (159 chars)

    Doll house that's neat as a pin! Large utility room w/ large closet. Den could be 3rd bedroom. Vinyl siding. New roof in November 2006. On corner lot, too!

  22. 2007-02-26
    listed $45,000 159-char remark
    Show marketing remark (159 chars)

    Doll house that's neat as a pin! Large utility room w/ large closet. Den could be 3rd bedroom. Vinyl siding. New roof in November 2006. On corner lot, too!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$433 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$891 · $74/mo
Expected delta
+$458/yr (+$38/mo · 105.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,914
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$433
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,113
− Management
−$1,113
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$2,334
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$560
After-tax cash flow
$3,274/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shawnee
NCES district ID
4027570
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$32,128
Composite
11.21/100
National rank
#9724
State rank
#238 of 270 in OK

Livability — Shawnee

Score
63/100
State rank
#217
US rank
#15593

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shawnee, OK
County
Pottawatomie County · 45,194 people
City population
45,194
Metro
Shawnee, OK
Population (ZIP)
21,967
Household income
$55,077
Rent vs Own
37.2% rent · 62.8% own
Severe rent burden
594.0

Population outlook (Pottawatomie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
76,622 people
By 2030
78,816 · +2.9%
By 2040
82,766 · +8.0%
By 2050
86,031 · +12.3%
By 2075
93,316 · +21.8%
By 2100
95,820 · +25.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Native American 15% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pottawatomie

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.2% · R 72.7% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-9.1pp toward R · 2008: -38.4pp · 2024: -47.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.4 2020: R+46.0 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.7 2008: R+38.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -4.66%
Current HPI
266.7965
Rent YoY
▲ 2.82%
Metro
Shawnee, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+120.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Relisted MLSOK
  • 2026-05-03 Listed $99,000 MLSOK
  • 2013-09-24 Sold (MLS) $8,500 MLSOK
  • 2013-04-29 Listed $9,500 MLSOK
  • 2007-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
  • 2007-04-26 Sold (MLS) $46,000 MLSOK
  • 2007-02-26 Listed $45,000 MLSOK

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $433 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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