17303 Runyon St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.17%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1930
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Colonial-style single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 1930
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Lot of about 0.11 acres; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Four additional bedrooms (five bedrooms total)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Eight total rooms; Michigan-style basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $104k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $745 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $104k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,104/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2372% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $722 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 14 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $104k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.54%
- DSCR
- 2.36
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $84,374
- List price
- $104,500
- Delta
- 23.85%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17408 Bradford St | 0.39mi | 5/1.5 | 1,934 (-7%) | 17mo | $129,900 | $67 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $38,815
- Equity at exit
- $15,581
- IRR
- 39.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.50×
- Total profit
- $131,679
- Equity at exit
- $9,035
Cash invested: $29,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48234
- Home prices YoY
- -11.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,104 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$548
- Tax from tax record
- −$326 /mo · $3,910/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$442
- Net cashflow
- $745
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,125
- Closing costs
- $3,135
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18080 Westphalia St Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2131 | $2,500 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 11806 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $1,600 | $0.80 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $104,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $104,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $104,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $104,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $104,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $104,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $104,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $104,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $114,900 Active 29 DOM
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.
-
2026-06-03days on market $114,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-10price $114,900 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.
-
2026-05-09status Active 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.
-
2026-05-09price $114,900 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.
-
2026-05-09status Active 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.
-
2026-05-09status Active
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.
-
2026-05-09price $114,900
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.
-
2026-04-29historical
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.
-
2026-04-29historical 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.
-
2026-04-24$124,900 Active 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.
-
2026-04-24$124,900 Active 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.
-
2026-04-24$124,900 Active
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.
-
2026-03-06historical $1,900
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2026-02-09$1,900
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2025-11-19historical $2,200
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2025-10-19$2,200
-
2024-08-18historical $1,800
-
2024-07-18$1,800
-
2021-08-03historical
-
2021-08-03historical
-
2021-06-11$95,000
-
2021-06-11$95,000 Active
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2021-01-27soldstatus $50,000
-
2020-12-29soldstatus $50,000
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2020-12-29soldstatus $50,000 Closed
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2020-11-13status Pending
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2020-11-13status Active
-
2020-11-12status Pending
-
2020-10-29$55,000
-
2020-10-29$55,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,910 · $326/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,910 · $326/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 17% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,247
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,854
- − Property taxes
- −$3,910
- − Insurance
- −$522
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,020
- − Management
- −$2,020
- − Depreciation
- −$3,040
- Taxable income
- $7,881
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,891
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,045/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,760
- Household income
- $35,322
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2372.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.65%
- Current HPI
- 328.8978
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.72%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+90.0% since first listed35 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $104,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $113,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-04 Price Changed $104,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-04 Price Changed $104,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-06-04 Price Changed $113,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-04 Price Changed $113,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-10 Price Changed $114,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-09 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $114,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-09 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-09 Relisted — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $114,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-29 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $124,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-24 Listed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-06 Rental Removed $1,900 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-02-09 Listed for Rent $1,900 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-11-19 Rental Removed $2,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-10-19 Listed for Rent $2,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-08-18 Rental Removed $1,800 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-07-18 Listed for Rent $1,800 TURBOTENANT
- 2021-08-03 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-08-03 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2021-06-11 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-06-11 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2020-12-29 Sold (MLS) $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-12-29 Sold (MLS) $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-11-13 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-11-13 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-11-12 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-10-29 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-10-29 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,910 · -48.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…