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17303 Runyon St
C+ Composite 61.64
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$104,500

17303 Runyon St · Detroit, MI 48234
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,073 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1930 4,792 sqft lot $50/sqft · 24% above area Est $84k · 24% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1930

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Colonial-style single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1930
  • Exterior features: Brick construction; Lot of about 0.11 acres; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Four additional bedrooms (five bedrooms total)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Eight total rooms; Michigan-style basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $104k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $745 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $104k).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,104/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2372% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $722 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 14 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $104k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $101,365 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.01%
Cap rate
14.84%
Cash-on-cash
30.54%
DSCR
2.36
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$84,374
List price
$104,500
Delta
23.85%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17408 Bradford St 0.39mi 5/1.5 1,934 (-7%) 17mo $129,900 $67 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.0%
Equity multiple
2.33×
Total profit
$38,815
Equity at exit
$15,581
10-year hold
IRR
39.6%
Equity multiple
5.50×
Total profit
$131,679
Equity at exit
$9,035

Cash invested: $29,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48234

Home prices YoY
-11.9%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
226
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,104 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$548
Tax from tax record
$326 /mo · $3,910/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$442
Net cashflow
$745

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,161
Max offer price $104,500
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,125
Closing costs
$3,135
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18080 Westphalia St Detroit, MI 5.0 3.0 2131 $2,500 $1.17 44d 1 0.90mi
11806 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI 4.0 3.0 2000 $1,600 $0.80 24d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 42 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $104,500 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $104,500 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $104,500 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $104,500 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $104,500 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $104,500 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $104,500 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $104,500 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $114,900 Active 29 DOM
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.

  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $114,900 Active 28 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $114,900 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $114,900 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $114,900 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-05-10
    price $114,900 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (391 chars)

    Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.

  15. 2026-05-09
    status Active 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (391 chars)

    Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.

  16. 2026-05-09
    price $114,900 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (391 chars)

    Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.

  17. 2026-05-09
    status Active 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (391 chars)

    Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.

  18. 2026-05-09
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (391 chars)

    Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.

  19. 2026-05-09
    price $114,900
    Show marketing remark (391 chars)

    Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.

  20. 2026-04-29
    historical
    Show marketing remark (391 chars)

    Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.

  21. 2026-04-29
    historical 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (391 chars)

    Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.

  22. 2026-04-24
    listed $124,900 Active 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.

  23. 2026-04-24
    listed $124,900 Active 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.

  24. 2026-04-24
    listed $124,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    Come make this home yours! You won't find a better bargain for an all brick 4 bedroom home with a 2 car garage sitting on a double lot. Newer mechanicals and finishes. Recently renovated this home is perfect for a first time homebuyer or veteran looking to plant roots in a trending neighborhood. Minutes away from City Airport and new development. This won't last long. Seller is motivated.

  25. 2026-03-06
    historical $1,900
  26. 2026-02-09
    listed $1,900
  27. 2025-11-19
    historical $2,200
  28. 2025-10-19
    listed $2,200
  29. 2024-08-18
    historical $1,800
  30. 2024-07-18
    listed $1,800
  31. 2021-08-03
    historical
  32. 2021-08-03
    historical
  33. 2021-06-11
    listed $95,000
  34. 2021-06-11
    listed $95,000 Active
  35. 2021-01-27
    soldstatus $50,000
  36. 2020-12-29
    soldstatus $50,000
  37. 2020-12-29
    soldstatus $50,000 Closed
  38. 2020-11-13
    status Pending
  39. 2020-11-13
    status Active
  40. 2020-11-12
    status Pending
  41. 2020-10-29
    listed $55,000
  42. 2020-10-29
    listed $55,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,910 · $326/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,910 · $326/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 17% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,247
− Mortgage interest
−$5,854
− Property taxes
−$3,910
− Insurance
−$522
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,020
− Management
−$2,020
− Depreciation
−$3,040
Taxable income
$7,881
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,891
After-tax cash flow
$7,045/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,760
Household income
$35,322
Rent vs Own
47.0% rent · 53.0% own
Severe rent burden
2372.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.65%
Current HPI
328.8978
Rent YoY
▲ 6.72%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+90.0% since first listed
35 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $104,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $113,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $104,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $104,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $113,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $113,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-10 Price Changed $114,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $114,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-09 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Relisted SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $114,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $124,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Rental Removed $1,900 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-02-09 Listed for Rent $1,900 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-11-19 Rental Removed $2,200 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-10-19 Listed for Rent $2,200 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-08-18 Rental Removed $1,800 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-07-18 Listed for Rent $1,800 TURBOTENANT
  • 2021-08-03 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-08-03 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-06-11 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-11 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2020-12-29 Sold (MLS) $50,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-12-29 Sold (MLS) $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-11-13 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-11-13 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-11-12 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-10-29 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-10-29 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,910 · -48.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…