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626 E 2nd St
B- Composite 69.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$53,900

626 E 2nd St · Flint, MI 48503
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,933 sqft · SingleFamily · 77 Days on market
Built 1953 Fair condition 3,485 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is an excellent investment property, ideal for a large family or as a rental. This four-bedroom, one-bath home offers significant potential and features a large corner lot, a privacy-fenced backyard, and a front deck. Conveniently located with easy access to downtown Flint and I-475, this home is very affordable. Schedule your private viewing today.

Key facts

  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • Built 1953
  • Listed 77 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning allows commercial and residential uses
  • Financial info: No investor or income/expense details provided
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking details provided
  • Security: No security details provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence (residential); Two stories; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Asphalt construction materials; Block foundation; Above-grade finished area reported
  • Exterior features: Porch; Fenced yard; City lot, cleared, corner lot; Paved road with public maintenance

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: No flooring details provided
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fan(s); Has cooling and heating
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Block basement
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry appliance details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $54k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $696 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $54k).
  • Recommended offer: $51k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.8% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.3%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $373 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $50,666 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.51%
Cap rate
21.79%
Cash-on-cash
55.34%
DSCR
3.46
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$156,573
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
620 E 2nd St 0.01mi 4/2.0 1,818 (-6%) 5mo $68,000 $37 82
802 E 2nd St 0.09mi 4/2.0 1,820 (-6%) 14mo $99,000 $54 70
722 E 6th St 0.34mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,812 (-6%) 10mo $129,000 $71 54
1007 E Fork Dr 0.61mi 4/1.5 2,000 (+4%) 14mo $230,000 $115 52
917 E 9th St 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,990 (+3%) 22mo $90,000 $45 44
1309 Riverdale St 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,027 (+5%) 19mo $215,000 $106 43
924 Church St 0.65mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,012 (+4%) 19mo $47,000 $23 38
1320 Beard St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,879 (-3%) 20mo $152,000 $81 38
1613 Woodlawn Park Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,037 (+5%) 14mo $240,000 $118 36
1106 Maxine St 0.70mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,182 (+13%) 7mo $201,000 $92 33
1628 Broad Ct 0.75mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,220 (+15%) 7mo $185,000 $83 24
315 W 2nd Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,210 (+14%) 18mo $171,000 $77 18

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
59.2%
Equity multiple
3.83×
Total profit
$42,763
Equity at exit
$8,037
10-year hold
IRR
65.8%
Equity multiple
9.41×
Total profit
$126,934
Equity at exit
$4,660

Cash invested: $15,092 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48503

Home prices YoY
-27.7%
Rents YoY
12.3%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,353 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$283
Tax est. 1.5%
$67 /mo · $808/yr
Insurance
$22
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$696

Break-even live

Break-even rent $472
Max offer price $53,900
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $733 -5% $715 +0% $696 +5% $677 +10% $659
Rent -10% $589 -5% $643 +0% $696 +5% $749 +10% $803
Rate -1.0pp $723 -0.5pp $710 base $696 +0.5pp $682 +1.0pp $668

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,475
Closing costs
$1,617
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1540 Garland St Flint, MI 3.0 2.5 1344 $1,017 $0.76 22d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $53,900 Active 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $53,900 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $53,900 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $53,900 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $53,900 Active 72 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $53,900 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $53,900 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $53,900 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $53,900 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $53,900 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $53,900 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,500 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,500 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,500 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,500 Active 59 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,500 Active 58 DOM
  17. 2026-05-06
    price $59,500 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    This is an excellent investment property, ideal for a large family or as a rental. This four-bedroom, one-bath home offers significant potential and features a large corner lot, a privacy-fenced backyard, and a front deck. Conveniently located with easy access to downtown Flint and I-475, this home is very affordable. Schedule your private viewing today.

  18. 2026-05-06
    price $59,500
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    This is an excellent investment property, ideal for a large family or as a rental. This four-bedroom, one-bath home offers significant potential and features a large corner lot, a privacy-fenced backyard, and a front deck. Conveniently located with easy access to downtown Flint and I-475, this home is very affordable. Schedule your private viewing today.

  19. 2026-04-01
    listed $59,900 Active 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    This is an excellent investment property, ideal for a large family or as a rental. This four-bedroom, one-bath home offers significant potential and features a large corner lot, a privacy-fenced backyard, and a front deck. Conveniently located with easy access to downtown Flint and I-475, this home is very affordable. Schedule your private viewing today.

  20. 2026-04-01
    listed $59,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    This is an excellent investment property, ideal for a large family or as a rental. This four-bedroom, one-bath home offers significant potential and features a large corner lot, a privacy-fenced backyard, and a front deck. Conveniently located with easy access to downtown Flint and I-475, this home is very affordable. Schedule your private viewing today.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,230
− Mortgage interest
−$3,019
− Property taxes
−$808
− Insurance
−$270
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,298
− Management
−$1,298
− Depreciation
−$1,568
Taxable income
$7,968
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,912
After-tax cash flow
$6,440/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home requires moderate renovations, primarily focusing on the kitchen and bathroom, to significantly increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Kitchen cabinets — Structural issues or damage may be present, requiring replacement.
  • Major Kitchen countertops — Outdated and possibly damaged, requiring replacement.
  • Major Kitchen appliances — Outdated and possibly non-functional, requiring replacement.
  • Minor Bathroom shower curtain rod — Possibly missing or damaged, requiring replacement.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Updating the kitchen with new cabinets, countertops, and appliances — A modern kitchen is a significant selling point for potential buyers.
  • Resale Updating the bathroom with new fixtures and possibly a shower/tub combination — A modern bathroom is a must-have for potential buyers.
  • Both Painting the interior walls and repainting the exterior — Fresh paint enhances the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Structural issues or damage may be present, requiring replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Kitchen countertops · Outdated and possibly damaged, requiring replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Kitchen appliances · Outdated and possibly non-functional, requiring replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Bathroom shower curtain rod · Possibly missing or damaged, requiring replacement. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $45,500–153,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Updating the kitchen with new cabinets, countertops, and appliances — A modern kitchen is a significant selling point for potential buyers.
  • Resale Updating the bathroom with new fixtures and possibly a shower/tub combination — A modern bathroom is a must-have for potential buyers.
  • Both Painting the interior walls and repainting the exterior — Fresh paint enhances the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
22,347
Household income
$44,411
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
1293.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 36% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · China, Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Arabic 4% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.84%
Current HPI
130.1152
Rent YoY
▲ 12.35%
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $59,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $59,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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