626 E 2nd St · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$53,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is an excellent investment property, ideal for a large family or as a rental. This four-bedroom, one-bath home offers significant potential and features a large corner lot, a privacy-fenced backyard, and a front deck. Conveniently located with easy access to downtown Flint and I-475, this home is very affordable. Schedule your private viewing today.
Key facts
- 3,485 sq ft lot
- Built 1953
- Listed 77 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning allows commercial and residential uses
- Financial info: No investor or income/expense details provided
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Security: No security details provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence (residential); Two stories; Fixer condition
- Construction: Asphalt construction materials; Block foundation; Above-grade finished area reported
- Exterior features: Porch; Fenced yard; City lot, cleared, corner lot; Paved road with public maintenance
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fan(s); Has cooling and heating
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Block basement
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliance details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $54k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $696 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $54k).
- Recommended offer: $51k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.8% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.3%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $373 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.34%
- DSCR
- 3.46
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $156,573
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 620 E 2nd St | 0.01mi | 4/2.0 | 1,818 (-6%) | 5mo | $68,000 | $37 | 82 |
| 802 E 2nd St | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 | 1,820 (-6%) | 14mo | $99,000 | $54 | 70 |
| 722 E 6th St | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,812 (-6%) | 10mo | $129,000 | $71 | 54 |
| 1007 E Fork Dr | 0.61mi | 4/1.5 | 2,000 (+4%) | 14mo | $230,000 | $115 | 52 |
| 917 E 9th St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,990 (+3%) | 22mo | $90,000 | $45 | 44 |
| 1309 Riverdale St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,027 (+5%) | 19mo | $215,000 | $106 | 43 |
| 924 Church St | 0.65mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,012 (+4%) | 19mo | $47,000 | $23 | 38 |
| 1320 Beard St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,879 (-3%) | 20mo | $152,000 | $81 | 38 |
| 1613 Woodlawn Park Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,037 (+5%) | 14mo | $240,000 | $118 | 36 |
| 1106 Maxine St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,182 (+13%) | 7mo | $201,000 | $92 | 33 |
| 1628 Broad Ct | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,220 (+15%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $83 | 24 |
| 315 W 2nd Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,210 (+14%) | 18mo | $171,000 | $77 | 18 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.83×
- Total profit
- $42,763
- Equity at exit
- $8,037
- IRR
- 65.8%
- Equity multiple
- 9.41×
- Total profit
- $126,934
- Equity at exit
- $4,660
Cash invested: $15,092 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48503
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Rents YoY
- 12.3%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,353 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$283
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$67 /mo · $808/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $696
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $733 | -5% $715 | +0% $696 | +5% $677 | +10% $659 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $589 | -5% $643 | +0% $696 | +5% $749 | +10% $803 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $723 | -0.5pp $710 | base $696 | +0.5pp $682 | +1.0pp $668 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,475
- Closing costs
- $1,617
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1540 Garland St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1344 | $1,017 | $0.76 | 22d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $53,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $53,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $53,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $53,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $53,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $53,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $53,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $53,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $53,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $53,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $53,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,500 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $59,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $59,500 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
This is an excellent investment property, ideal for a large family or as a rental. This four-bedroom, one-bath home offers significant potential and features a large corner lot, a privacy-fenced backyard, and a front deck. Conveniently located with easy access to downtown Flint and I-475, this home is very affordable. Schedule your private viewing today.
-
2026-05-06price $59,500
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
This is an excellent investment property, ideal for a large family or as a rental. This four-bedroom, one-bath home offers significant potential and features a large corner lot, a privacy-fenced backyard, and a front deck. Conveniently located with easy access to downtown Flint and I-475, this home is very affordable. Schedule your private viewing today.
-
2026-04-01$59,900 Active 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
This is an excellent investment property, ideal for a large family or as a rental. This four-bedroom, one-bath home offers significant potential and features a large corner lot, a privacy-fenced backyard, and a front deck. Conveniently located with easy access to downtown Flint and I-475, this home is very affordable. Schedule your private viewing today.
-
2026-04-01$59,900 Active
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
This is an excellent investment property, ideal for a large family or as a rental. This four-bedroom, one-bath home offers significant potential and features a large corner lot, a privacy-fenced backyard, and a front deck. Conveniently located with easy access to downtown Flint and I-475, this home is very affordable. Schedule your private viewing today.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,230
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,019
- − Property taxes
- −$808
- − Insurance
- −$270
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,298
- − Management
- −$1,298
- − Depreciation
- −$1,568
- Taxable income
- $7,968
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,912
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,440/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos
This home requires moderate renovations, primarily focusing on the kitchen and bathroom, to significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen cabinets — Structural issues or damage may be present, requiring replacement.
- Major Kitchen countertops — Outdated and possibly damaged, requiring replacement.
- Major Kitchen appliances — Outdated and possibly non-functional, requiring replacement.
- Minor Bathroom shower curtain rod — Possibly missing or damaged, requiring replacement.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Updating the kitchen with new cabinets, countertops, and appliances — A modern kitchen is a significant selling point for potential buyers.
- Resale Updating the bathroom with new fixtures and possibly a shower/tub combination — A modern bathroom is a must-have for potential buyers.
- Both Painting the interior walls and repainting the exterior — Fresh paint enhances the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Structural issues or damage may be present, requiring replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Kitchen countertops · Outdated and possibly damaged, requiring replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Kitchen appliances · Outdated and possibly non-functional, requiring replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom shower curtain rod · Possibly missing or damaged, requiring replacement. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $45,500–153,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Updating the kitchen with new cabinets, countertops, and appliances — A modern kitchen is a significant selling point for potential buyers. ↑
- Resale Updating the bathroom with new fixtures and possibly a shower/tub combination — A modern bathroom is a must-have for potential buyers. ↑
- Both Painting the interior walls and repainting the exterior — Fresh paint enhances the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,347
- Household income
- $44,411
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1293.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 36% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Arabic 4% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.84%
- Current HPI
- 130.1152
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.35%
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-0.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $59,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $59,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-01 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-01 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…