114 Singleton Ave · Arcadia, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Nestled in the heart of Arcadia, FL, this spacious 2006 double-wide manufactured home at 114 Singleton Ave offers comfortable living with a blend of functionality and charm. Featuring a generous floor plan, this home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, providing ample space for families or those who enjoy room to spread out. The open-concept living area flows seamlessly into a well-appointed kitchen with plenty of cabinet space, ideal for everyday living and entertaining guests. Natural light fills the interior, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Outside, the property offers a sizable yard with room for gardening, pets, or outdoor activities. Con
Key facts
- Sizable yard
- 6,229 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $434 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.5% in Arcadia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#345 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D, amenities F.
- Desoto (town): math 31% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #69 of 73 in FL (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 207 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 71 units permitted in DeSoto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $826 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeSoto County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.55%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $203,472
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 N Lee Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,378 (+6%) | 5mo | $298,000 | $216 | 69 |
| 219 Alabama Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,242 (-4%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $36 | 67 |
| 401 Citrus Ave | 0.21mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,248 (-4%) | 16mo | $70,000 | $56 | 64 |
| 301 S Dade Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-7%) | 10mo | $33,000 | $28 | 63 |
| 502 Sunset Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (+4%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $178 | 62 |
| 22 Bridle Path | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,172 (-10%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $111 | 51 |
| 347 S Orange Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,453 (+12%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $169 | 50 |
| 907 W Gibson St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,213 (-6%) | 12mo | $230,000 | $190 | 50 |
| 114 Bridle Path | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-11%) | 4mo | $237,000 | $206 | 47 |
| 407 Bridle Path | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,262 (-3%) | 18mo | $90,000 | $71 | 44 |
| 203 S Volusia Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,422 (+10%) | 6mo | $153,000 | $108 | 40 |
| 304 Potter Ave | 0.71mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,199 (-8%) | 19mo | $188,000 | $157 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $8,202
- Equity at exit
- $17,818
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $42,485
- Equity at exit
- $10,332
Cash invested: $33,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34266
- Home prices YoY
- -6.1%
- Active inventory
- 207
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,437 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$627
- Tax from tax record
- −$25 /mo · $298/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$302
- Net cashflow
- $434
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $501 | -5% $467 | +0% $434 | +5% $400 | +10% $366 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $320 | -5% $377 | +0% $434 | +5% $490 | +10% $547 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $494 | -0.5pp $464 | base $434 | +0.5pp $403 | +1.0pp $371 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,875
- Closing costs
- $3,585
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219 Alabama Ave Arcadia, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 45 W Martin Luther King Jr St Arcadia, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $1,399 | $1.41 | 21d | 3 | 0.67mi |
| 1836 SW Harlem Cir Arcadia, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $1,300 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 0.88mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-01status Pending
-
2026-03-28$119,500 Active
-
2026-03-27status Active
-
2025-10-07historical
-
2025-07-09status Pending
-
2025-05-16status Active
-
2025-05-14status Pending
-
2025-04-07$119,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $298 · $25/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $992 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- +$694/yr (+$58/mo · 233.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,240
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,694
- − Property taxes
- −$298
- − Insurance
- −$598
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,379
- − Management
- −$1,379
- − Depreciation
- −$3,476
- Taxable income
- $3,416
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$820
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,384/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desoto
- NCES district ID
- 1200420
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,136
- Composite
- 26.03/100
- National rank
- #7305
- State rank
- #69 of 73 in FL
Livability — Arcadia
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #345
- US rank
- #5983
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Arcadia, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,065
Population outlook (DeSoto County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,958 people
- By 2030
- 34,465 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 33,137 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 31,273 · -10.5%
- By 2075
- 23,898 · -31.6%
- By 2100
- 15,517 · -55.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 34% Black 13% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · DeSoto
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.9) · D 28.2% · R 71.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.6pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -42.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.9 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+27.7 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.01%
- Current HPI
- 403.1509
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-0.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-28 Listed $119,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-07 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-09 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-16 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-14 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-07 Listed $119,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $298 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…