1009 Hilker Pl · Racine, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +6.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Are you looking for your next project? This property only needs a little more TLC to get completed. All new plumbing, electrical, windows and flooring have already been completed. Property being sold as is.
Key facts
- New plumbing
- New flooring
- New electrical
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $164 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.0% in Racine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#58 in WI, #1,622 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-.
- Racine Unified School District (urban): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #335 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 91 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 505 units permitted in Racine County in 2024 (287 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Racine County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $90k implies a 350% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.83%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $88,079
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- 2.18%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 943 Walnut St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,136 (+5%) | 7mo | $210,000 | $185 | 76 |
| 265 Harrison St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (-0%) | 4mo | $30,000 | $28 | 74 |
| 1133 Grand Ave | 0.27mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,114 (+3%) | 6mo | $160,000 | $144 | 73 |
| 408 Randolph St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,061 (-2%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $66 | 69 |
| 228 N Memorial Dr | 0.41mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,116 (+3%) | 3mo | $25,000 | $22 | 68 |
| 945 Villa St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,184 (+10%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $114 | 67 |
| 1220 S Memorial Dr | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,024 (-5%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $137 | 66 |
| 1550 Packard Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,087 (+1%) | 4mo | $72,500 | $67 | 63 |
| 715 13th St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 952 (-12%) | 2mo | $183,000 | $192 | 62 |
| 1618 Grand Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 957 (-12%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $219 | 46 |
| 609 N Memorial Dr | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,164 (+8%) | 9mo | $110,000 | $95 | 45 |
| 1441 Villa St | 0.55mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 936 (-13%) | 8mo | $145,000 | $155 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-365
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.17×
- Total profit
- $29,440
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53403
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,231 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$299 /mo · $3,585/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$259
- Net cashflow
- $164
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 815 11th St Racine, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 922 Elm St Unit 922 Upper Racine, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 777 | $925 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 512 16th St Unit 2 Racine, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 959 | $1,095 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1540 Park Ave Unit 301 Racine, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1612 Winslow St Racine, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1722 Wisconsin Ave Unit 2 Racine, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1380 | $1,860 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 945 N Memorial Dr Unit 1-2-3 Racine, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,450 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 720 Chicago St Racine, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1210 Erie St Racine, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,150 | $0.85 | 13d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1802 Grange Ave Unit 101 Racine, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2328 21st St Racine, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1239 | $1,750 | $1.41 | 13d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2200 Northwestern Ave Racine, WI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 839 | $1,825 | $2.17 | 13d | 12 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $90,000 Active 155 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 154 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 153 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 152 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 151 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 148 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $90,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $90,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-01-16historical 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Are you looking for your next project? This property only needs a little more TLC to get completed. All new plumbing, electrical, windows and flooring have already been completed. Property being sold as is.
-
2026-01-15$90,000 Active 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Are you looking for your next project? This property only needs a little more TLC to get completed. All new plumbing, electrical, windows and flooring have already been completed. Property being sold as is.
-
2026-01-15$90,000 Active 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Are you looking for your next project? This property only needs a little more TLC to get completed. All new plumbing, electrical, windows and flooring have already been completed. Property being sold as is.
-
2025-10-12historical
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2025-08-11price $80,000
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2025-07-29$90,000 Active
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2016-11-29historical
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2016-10-04soldstatus $20,000
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2016-02-18price $34,900
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2016-01-20price $39,900
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2015-11-30$44,900 Active
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2014-05-19historical
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2014-05-19$39,900
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2013-02-08historical
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2013-02-08$69,900
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2013-02-06$69,900
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2013-02-06historical
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2013-01-31historical
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2013-01-31$59,900
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2002-12-30soldstatus $18,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,585 · $299/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,585 · $299/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,774
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$3,585
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,182
- − Management
- −$1,182
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $715
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$172
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,801/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Racine Unified School District
- NCES district ID
- 5512360
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,716
- Composite
- 14.64/100
- National rank
- #9405
- State rank
- #335 of 342 in WI
Livability — Racine
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #58
- US rank
- #1622
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Racine, WI
- County
- Racine County · 146,693 people
- City population
- 67,505
- Metro
- Racine, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,009
- Household income
- $59,820
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1164.0
Population outlook (Racine County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 195,281 people
- By 2030
- 193,725 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 188,159 · -3.6%
- By 2050
- 181,323 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 174,342 · -10.7%
- By 2100
- 166,870 · -14.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 16%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 15%
Political lean MEDSL · Racine
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.2) · D 46.3% · R 52.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.6pp toward R · 2008: 7.4pp · 2024: -6.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.2 2020: R+4.1 2016: R+4.4 2012: D+3.6 2008: D+7.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.08%
- Current HPI
- 191.0012
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.84%
- Metro
- Racine, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+386.5% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-16 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2026-01-15 Listed $90,000 METROMLS
- 2026-01-15 Listed $90,000 METROMLS
- 2025-10-12 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2025-08-11 Price Changed $80,000 METROMLS
- 2025-07-29 Listed $90,000 METROMLS
- 2016-11-29 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2016-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2016-02-18 Price Changed $34,900 METROMLS
- 2016-01-20 Price Changed $39,900 METROMLS
- 2015-11-30 Listed $44,900 METROMLS
- 2014-05-19 Listed $39,900 METROMLS
- 2014-05-19 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2013-02-08 Listed $69,900 METROMLS
- 2013-02-08 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2013-02-06 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2013-02-06 Listed $69,900 METROMLS
- 2013-01-31 Listed $59,900 METROMLS
- 2013-01-31 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2002-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,585 · -18.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…