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8651 Foothill Blvd #18
B Composite 72.94
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$132,500

8651 Foothill Blvd #18 · Rancho Cucamonga, CA 91730
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,416 sqft · Manufactured · 11 Days on market
Built 1971 Good condition Est $142k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this residence featuring two spacious primary suites, perfect for comfortable living and located in a sought-after 55+ community. Inside, you'll find an updated kitchen, fresh interior paint and newer flooring throughout, creating a clean and inviting atmosphere. Step outside to enjoy the neatly landscaped yard and a serene, peaceful setting. A screened-in patio offers flexible space for storage, hobbies, or a craft room. For added accessibility, this home comes equipped with a wheelchair lift located at the side entrance, conveniently positioned under the covered parking area. Community amenities include a pool, spa, and clubhouse. Closely located is San Antonio Hospital, shoppi

Key facts

  • Community amenities
  • Spa
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENNEATLY LANDSCAPED YARDSCREENED IN PATIOCOMMUNITY AMENITIESPOOLSPA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Parcel number provided; Elevation measured in feet; Lot characterized as 0-1 unit/acre
  • Financial info: Land lease (monthly) — $1,255 (seller provided); Rent includes trash, water and sewer
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Park name: Casa Volante; Community features include street lighting; Pets allowed with breed restrictions; Manager approval required

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered carport (attached); Concrete driveway; Two parking spaces
  • Utilities: District/public water; Sewer paid / connected; Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Cable available; Telephone in street
  • Home design: Single-story; Entry at side; Entry level 1; Turnkey condition; Mobile home (Royal Chateau model, 24' x 59'); Mobile home remains
  • Construction: Raised foundation
  • Exterior features: Enclosed patio; Patio; Community pool; Shed; Wheelchair access; East-facing; Has a view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Built-in range; Range/stove hood; Microwave; Refrigerator; Garbage disposal; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: All bedrooms on main floor; Two primary bedrooms; Main floor primary suite
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Walk-in shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (furnace); Central cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan; Laminate counters; Window screens; Community spa
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room inside; Gas dryer hookup; Individual laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $132k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $132k).
  • Cap rate 19.1% vs local median 2.7% in Rancho Cucamonga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#237 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, commute A, housing A-; Watch: amenities D+, health & safety D, cost of living F.
  • Central Elementary (suburban): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #379 of 517 in CA (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 146 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $916 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $95k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.22%
Cap rate
19.06%
Cash-on-cash
45.58%
DSCR
3.03
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$141,600
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8651 Foothill Blvd #92 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+2%) 0mo $156,000 $108 94
8651 Foothill Blvd #99 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+2%) 2mo $140,000 $97 93
8651 Foothill Blvd #157 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+2%) 3mo $142,000 $99 92
8651 Foothill Blvd #159 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,488 (+5%) 5mo $145,000 $97 85
8651 Foothill Blvd #190 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+2%) 14mo $145,000 $101 83
8651 Foothill Blvd #82 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,554 (+10%) 1mo $280,000 $180 80
8389 Baker Ave #61 0.13mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,425 (+1%) 9mo $175,000 $123 80
8651 Foothill Blvd #187 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,464 (+3%) 14mo $100,000 $68 80
8651 Foothill Blvd #8 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,562 (+10%) 14mo $175,000 $112 68
1350 San Bernardino #86 0.74mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+2%) 7mo $140,000 $97 52
1350 San Bernardino Rd #187 0.74mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-5%) 1mo $135,000 $100 51
1350 San Bernardino Rd #132 0.74mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,224 (-14%) 3mo $120,000 $98 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.84% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
40.3%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$62,071
Equity at exit
$19,756
10-year hold
IRR
45.5%
Equity multiple
4.91×
Total profit
$145,207
Equity at exit
$11,456

Cash invested: $37,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 91730

Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,943 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$695
Tax est. 1.5%
$166 /mo · $1,988/yr
Insurance
$55
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$618
Net cashflow
$1,409

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,159
Max offer price $132,500
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,125
Closing costs
$3,975
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8248 Inglenook Pl Rancho Cucamonga, CA 2.0 2.5 984 $2,400 $2.44 1d 1 0.04mi
8491 Gabrielino Ct Unit 69 Rancho Cucamonga, CA 3.0 2.5 1417 $3,850 $2.72 1d 1 0.19mi
8650 Cava Dr Rancho Cucamonga, CA 3.0 2.5 1763 $3,200 $1.82 15d 1 0.24mi
8567 Cava Dr Rancho Cucamonga, CA 3.0 2.5 1763 $3,600 $2.04 1d 1 0.24mi
8300 Gabriel Dr Unit B Rancho Cucamonga, CA 3.0 2.0 1140 $3,450 $3.03 1d 1 0.26mi
8250 Vineyard Ave Rancho Cucamonga, CA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1059 $2,599 $2.45 1d 14 0.32mi
8231 Tapia Via Dr Rancho Cucamonga, CA 2.0 1.0 918 $2,075 $2.26 10d 1 0.41mi
8167 Vineyard Ave #61 Rancho Cucamonga, CA 3.0 2.5 1221 $2,750 $2.25 24d 1 0.42mi
8167 Vineyard Ave #2 Rancho Cucamonga, CA 2.0 1.5 932 $2,200 $2.36 1d 1 0.43mi
8210 Rancheria Dr Unit 8 Rancho Cucamonga, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,895 $2.41 1d 1 0.46mi
8325 Vineyard Ave Unit 5 Rancho Cucamonga, CA 2.0 2.0 882 $2,400 $2.72 1d 1 0.47mi
8255 Vineyard Ave Rancho Cucamonga, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 847 $2,966 $3.50 1d 7 0.47mi
8555 Sandalwood Ct Rancho Cucamonga, CA 3.0 2.0 1400 $3,375 $2.41 1d 1 0.53mi
1413 San Bernardino Rd Upland, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 751 $2,645 $3.52 1d 12 0.75mi
8760 Church St Rancho Cucamonga, CA 3.0 1.5 1151 $3,395 $2.95 10d 1 0.75mi
7522 Alta Cuesta Dr Rancho Cucamonga, CA 2.0 2.0 1055 $3,495 $3.31 1d 1 0.93mi
1420 Felicita Ct Upland, CA 3.0 2.0 1339 $3,095 $2.31 5d 1 0.99mi
8645 Calle Del Prado Rancho Cucamonga, CA 2.0 2.0 875 $2,000 $2.29 10d 1 1.00mi
863 N 9th Ave Upland, CA 3.0 2.0 1507 $3,600 $2.39 1d 1 1.20mi
306 N 10th Ave Apt -3 Upland, CA 3.0 2.0 1450 $3,000 $2.07 43d 1 1.22mi
1548 N Lassen Ave Ontario, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $2,500 $2.78 1d 1 1.23mi
380 N 9th Ave Upland, CA 1.0 1.0 900 $1,895 $2.11 5d 1 1.26mi
890 N Campus Ave Apt B Upland, CA 3.0 1.5 1380 $2,900 $2.10 20d 1 1.33mi
7374 Lariat Pl Rancho Cucamonga, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,300 $2.30 1d 1 1.38mi
7360 Lariat Pl Rancho Cucamonga, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,350 $2.35 1d 1 1.39mi
9247 Spur Dr Rancho Cucamonga, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,350 $2.35 15d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $132,500 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $132,500 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $132,500 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $132,500 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $132,500 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $132,500 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $132,500 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-08
    listed $132,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 23 unhealthy d/yr today · 28 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,316
− Mortgage interest
−$7,422
− Property taxes
−$1,988
− Insurance
−$662
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,825
− Management
−$2,825
− Depreciation
−$3,855
Taxable income
$15,739
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,777
After-tax cash flow
$13,134/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a cosmetic rehab level and requires minor maintenance and repairs. The home has a good resale and rental value with high-ROI updates such as painting the exterior siding and installing smart home features.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value
  • Rental Replace outdoor lighting — Upgrading lighting can make the home more attractive to potential tenants
  • Both Install smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value
  • Rental Replace outdoor lighting — Upgrading lighting can make the home more attractive to potential tenants
  • Both Install smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Central Elementary
NCES district ID
0607950
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -31.00%
Median HH income
$64,090
Composite
23.41/100
National rank
#7895
State rank
#379 of 517 in CA

Livability — Rancho Cucamonga

Score
70/100
State rank
#237
US rank
#7808

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A Cost of living F Crime C Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety D User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
175,531
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
71,613
Household income
$92,237
Rent vs Own
52.7% rent · 47.3% own
Severe rent burden
4013.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 43% White 28% Two or more races 16% Asian 14% Black 10% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 33% Salvadoran 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 22% Chinese 4% Tagalog/Filipino 4%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -554.10%
Current HPI
404.3113
Rent YoY
▲ 0.84%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+27.4% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Listed $132,500 CRMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $129,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-19 Price Changed $124,500 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $134,500 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Pending CRMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $132,500 CRMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $135,500 CRMLS
  • 2025-10-22 Price Changed $139,500 CRMLS
  • 2025-10-01 Price Changed $142,500 CRMLS
  • 2025-09-14 Listed $149,900 CRMLS
  • 2023-05-26 Sold (MLS) $95,000 CRMLS
  • 2023-05-19 Pending CRMLS
  • 2023-05-05 Listed $104,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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