131 Sagamore Dr S · Liverpool, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.4/30.0
- ARV discount +5.7/15.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$318,700
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome Home! This 4 bedroom Colonial is BEAUTIFUL with all new updates-nothing to do but move in! Hardwood floors throughout living room, dining room & all bedrooms. Kitchen with QUARTZ countertops, stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar and ceramic floors opens into a dining room. A large living room with wood burning fireplace is surrounded by front to back windows that allows so much sunlight. Family room with a gas fireplace includes a closet for your extras and a door leading to your backyard. 4 generously sized bedrooms with double closets in 2 rooms! Updated full bathroom with tile backsplash & ceramic tile. Beautifully landscaped with a large front porch to enjoy your spring, summer & fall months! Recent updates in the last 2 years include furnace, A/C, windows throughout, attic insulation, gutters, garage door, painting & more! Close to the Wetzel Woods walking trail! This is the place to call HOME! * * Please note showings begin 4/1 * *
Key facts
- 0.3 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1963
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $319k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-109 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $299k (6.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $309k (2.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $299k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#16 in NY, #363 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
- Liverpool Central School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #381 of 590 in NY (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Elmcrest Elementary School (math 45% / reading 53%, grade D, #1,177 of 2,108 statewide, top 56%, 408 students, 38% FRL); Liverpool Middle School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade B-, #214 of 729 statewide, top 31%, 313 students, 51% FRL); Liverpool High School (math 94% / reading 54%, grade B+, #658 of 1,100 statewide, top 60%, 2,124 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 28% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $242k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.46%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $306,448
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131 Sagamore Dr S | 0.00mi | 4/1.5 | 1,712 (0%) | 1mo | $365,000 | $213 | 99 |
| 4250 Forestbrook Dr | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,804 (+5%) | 1mo | $320,000 | $177 | 78 |
| 119 Sagamore Dr S | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,616 (-6%) | 7mo | $298,625 | $185 | 76 |
| 4115 Poplar Dr | 0.46mi | 4/2.5 | 1,616 (-6%) | 3mo | $325,500 | $201 | 63 |
| 7645 Admiral Dr | 0.55mi | 4/2.5 | 1,752 (+2%) | 6mo | $250,000 | $143 | 61 |
| 13 Kingman Rd | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 | 1,792 (+5%) | 5mo | $285,000 | $159 | 59 |
| 114 Glenwood Dr S | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 1,488 (-13%) | 7mo | $220,000 | $148 | 58 |
| 4152 Lucan Rd | 0.73mi | 4/1.5 | 1,792 (+5%) | 1mo | $335,000 | $187 | 57 |
| 17 Dove | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 | 1,594 (-7%) | 5mo | $280,900 | $176 | 57 |
| 4219 Orion Path | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,584 (-8%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $189 | 49 |
| 4336 Forestbrook Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,904 (+11%) | 4mo | $295,000 | $155 | 42 |
| 4270 Virgo Crse | 0.66mi | 4/2.5 | 1,924 (+12%) | 7mo | $345,000 | $179 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-58,318
- Equity at exit
- $47,519
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-58,649
- Equity at exit
- $27,555
Cash invested: $89,236 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13090
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,094 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,671
- Tax from tax record
- −$749 /mo · $8,988/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$650
- Net cashflow
- $-109
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $71 | -5% $-19 | +0% $-109 | +5% $-199 | +10% $-289 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-353 | -5% $-231 | +0% $-109 | +5% $13 | +10% $136 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $52 | -0.5pp $-28 | base $-109 | +0.5pp $-191 | +1.0pp $-276 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,675
- Closing costs
- $9,561
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4071 Sesame Path Liverpool, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1928 | $3,200 | $1.66 | 22d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1 Gallowgate Ct Liverpool, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1585 | $1,698 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-04-08status Pending
-
2026-03-30historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-25$318,700 Active
-
2021-05-24soldstatus $241,716
-
2021-05-21soldstatus $241,716 Closed Sale or Rented 991-char remark
Show marketing remark (991 chars)
Welcome Home! This 4 bedroom Colonial is BEAUTIFUL with all new updates-nothing to do but move in! Hardwood floors throughout living room, dining room & all bedrooms. Kitchen with QUARTZ countertops, stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar and ceramic floors opens into a dining room. A large living room with wood burning fireplace is surrounded by front to back windows that allows so much sunlight. Family room with a gas fireplace includes a closet for your extras and a door leading to your backyard. 4 generously sized bedrooms with double closets in 2 rooms! Updated full bathroom with tile backsplash & ceramic tile. Beautifully landscaped with a large front porch to enjoy your spring, summer & fall months! Recent updates in the last 2 years include furnace, A/C, windows throughout, attic insulation, gutters, garage door, painting & more! Close to the Wetzel Woods walking trail! This is the place to call HOME! * * Please note showings begin 4/1 * *
-
2021-04-20status Pending Sale 991-char remark
Show marketing remark (991 chars)
Welcome Home! This 4 bedroom Colonial is BEAUTIFUL with all new updates-nothing to do but move in! Hardwood floors throughout living room, dining room & all bedrooms. Kitchen with QUARTZ countertops, stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar and ceramic floors opens into a dining room. A large living room with wood burning fireplace is surrounded by front to back windows that allows so much sunlight. Family room with a gas fireplace includes a closet for your extras and a door leading to your backyard. 4 generously sized bedrooms with double closets in 2 rooms! Updated full bathroom with tile backsplash & ceramic tile. Beautifully landscaped with a large front porch to enjoy your spring, summer & fall months! Recent updates in the last 2 years include furnace, A/C, windows throughout, attic insulation, gutters, garage door, painting & more! Close to the Wetzel Woods walking trail! This is the place to call HOME! * * Please note showings begin 4/1 * *
-
2021-04-06status Under Contract- Do Not Show 991-char remark
Show marketing remark (991 chars)
Welcome Home! This 4 bedroom Colonial is BEAUTIFUL with all new updates-nothing to do but move in! Hardwood floors throughout living room, dining room & all bedrooms. Kitchen with QUARTZ countertops, stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar and ceramic floors opens into a dining room. A large living room with wood burning fireplace is surrounded by front to back windows that allows so much sunlight. Family room with a gas fireplace includes a closet for your extras and a door leading to your backyard. 4 generously sized bedrooms with double closets in 2 rooms! Updated full bathroom with tile backsplash & ceramic tile. Beautifully landscaped with a large front porch to enjoy your spring, summer & fall months! Recent updates in the last 2 years include furnace, A/C, windows throughout, attic insulation, gutters, garage door, painting & more! Close to the Wetzel Woods walking trail! This is the place to call HOME! * * Please note showings begin 4/1 * *
-
2021-03-30$214,990 Active 991-char remark
Show marketing remark (991 chars)
Welcome Home! This 4 bedroom Colonial is BEAUTIFUL with all new updates-nothing to do but move in! Hardwood floors throughout living room, dining room & all bedrooms. Kitchen with QUARTZ countertops, stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar and ceramic floors opens into a dining room. A large living room with wood burning fireplace is surrounded by front to back windows that allows so much sunlight. Family room with a gas fireplace includes a closet for your extras and a door leading to your backyard. 4 generously sized bedrooms with double closets in 2 rooms! Updated full bathroom with tile backsplash & ceramic tile. Beautifully landscaped with a large front porch to enjoy your spring, summer & fall months! Recent updates in the last 2 years include furnace, A/C, windows throughout, attic insulation, gutters, garage door, painting & more! Close to the Wetzel Woods walking trail! This is the place to call HOME! * * Please note showings begin 4/1 * *
-
2019-06-14soldstatus $170,000
-
2019-06-11soldstatus $170,000 Closed Sale or Rented 744-char remark
Show marketing remark (744 chars)
BAYBERRY COLONIAL - Spacious, recently renovated 4 Bedroom home with Hardwoods and two Fireplaces! First floor features an updated Kitchen with new Stainless Steel appliances, Ceramic Floors, Quartz Counter Tops, Pantry and a Breakfast Bar open to the Formal Dining Room. Light-filled front to back Living Room features a Wood Burning Fireplace. Cozy Family Room with new carpet warmed by a Gas Fireplace and an updated Half Bath off Living Room. Upstairs are four nicely sized Bedrooms and a completely remodeled Full Bath. Two Car Garage with new door, opener and entrance door. Tranquil, wooded and expansive back yard, in the sought after Bayberry area. Convenient location - walk to the high school, close to Rt. 57, shopping and highways.
-
2019-06-10status Pending Sale 744-char remark
Show marketing remark (744 chars)
BAYBERRY COLONIAL - Spacious, recently renovated 4 Bedroom home with Hardwoods and two Fireplaces! First floor features an updated Kitchen with new Stainless Steel appliances, Ceramic Floors, Quartz Counter Tops, Pantry and a Breakfast Bar open to the Formal Dining Room. Light-filled front to back Living Room features a Wood Burning Fireplace. Cozy Family Room with new carpet warmed by a Gas Fireplace and an updated Half Bath off Living Room. Upstairs are four nicely sized Bedrooms and a completely remodeled Full Bath. Two Car Garage with new door, opener and entrance door. Tranquil, wooded and expansive back yard, in the sought after Bayberry area. Convenient location - walk to the high school, close to Rt. 57, shopping and highways.
-
2019-04-20historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 744-char remark
Show marketing remark (744 chars)
BAYBERRY COLONIAL - Spacious, recently renovated 4 Bedroom home with Hardwoods and two Fireplaces! First floor features an updated Kitchen with new Stainless Steel appliances, Ceramic Floors, Quartz Counter Tops, Pantry and a Breakfast Bar open to the Formal Dining Room. Light-filled front to back Living Room features a Wood Burning Fireplace. Cozy Family Room with new carpet warmed by a Gas Fireplace and an updated Half Bath off Living Room. Upstairs are four nicely sized Bedrooms and a completely remodeled Full Bath. Two Car Garage with new door, opener and entrance door. Tranquil, wooded and expansive back yard, in the sought after Bayberry area. Convenient location - walk to the high school, close to Rt. 57, shopping and highways.
-
2019-04-05$174,900 Active 744-char remark
Show marketing remark (744 chars)
BAYBERRY COLONIAL - Spacious, recently renovated 4 Bedroom home with Hardwoods and two Fireplaces! First floor features an updated Kitchen with new Stainless Steel appliances, Ceramic Floors, Quartz Counter Tops, Pantry and a Breakfast Bar open to the Formal Dining Room. Light-filled front to back Living Room features a Wood Burning Fireplace. Cozy Family Room with new carpet warmed by a Gas Fireplace and an updated Half Bath off Living Room. Upstairs are four nicely sized Bedrooms and a completely remodeled Full Bath. Two Car Garage with new door, opener and entrance door. Tranquil, wooded and expansive back yard, in the sought after Bayberry area. Convenient location - walk to the high school, close to Rt. 57, shopping and highways.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $8,988 · $749/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,988 · $749/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,127
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,852
- − Property taxes
- −$8,988
- − Insurance
- −$1,594
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,970
- − Management
- −$2,970
- − Depreciation
- −$9,271
- Taxable loss
- −$6,518
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,564
- After-tax cash flow
- $257/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Liverpool Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3617520
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,134
- Composite
- 42.84/100
- National rank
- #3134
- State rank
- #381 of 590 in NY
Livability — Liverpool
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #363
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- City population
- 29,004
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,004
- Household income
- $88,492
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 733.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -228.53%
- Current HPI
- 320.4989
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+82.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-03-30 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $318,700 CNYIS
- 2021-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $241,716 Public Records
- 2021-05-21 Sold (MLS) $241,716 CNYIS
- 2021-04-20 Pending — CNYIS
- 2021-04-06 Pending — CNYIS
- 2021-03-30 Listed $214,990 CNYIS
- 2019-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
- 2019-06-11 Sold (MLS) $170,000 CNYIS
- 2019-06-10 Pending — CNYIS
- 2019-04-20 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2019-04-05 Listed $174,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $8,988 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…