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131 Sagamore Dr S
D- Composite 38.77
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$318,700

131 Sagamore Dr S · Liverpool, NY 13090
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,712 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1963 0.30 ac lot Est $306k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome Home! This 4 bedroom Colonial is BEAUTIFUL with all new updates-nothing to do but move in! Hardwood floors throughout living room, dining room & all bedrooms. Kitchen with QUARTZ countertops, stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar and ceramic floors opens into a dining room. A large living room with wood burning fireplace is surrounded by front to back windows that allows so much sunlight. Family room with a gas fireplace includes a closet for your extras and a door leading to your backyard. 4 generously sized bedrooms with double closets in 2 rooms! Updated full bathroom with tile backsplash & ceramic tile. Beautifully landscaped with a large front porch to enjoy your spring, summer & fall months! Recent updates in the last 2 years include furnace, A/C, windows throughout, attic insulation, gutters, garage door, painting & more! Close to the Wetzel Woods walking trail! This is the place to call HOME! * * Please note showings begin 4/1 * *

Key facts

  • 0.3 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1963

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $319k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-109 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $299k (6.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $309k (2.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $299k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#16 in NY, #363 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
  • Liverpool Central School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #381 of 590 in NY (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Elmcrest Elementary School (math 45% / reading 53%, grade D, #1,177 of 2,108 statewide, top 56%, 408 students, 38% FRL); Liverpool Middle School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade B-, #214 of 729 statewide, top 31%, 313 students, 51% FRL); Liverpool High School (math 94% / reading 54%, grade B+, #658 of 1,100 statewide, top 60%, 2,124 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 28% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $242k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
Recommended offer $299,460 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
5.88%
Cash-on-cash
-1.46%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$306,448
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
131 Sagamore Dr S 0.00mi 4/1.5 1,712 (0%) 1mo $365,000 $213 99
4250 Forestbrook Dr 0.17mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,804 (+5%) 1mo $320,000 $177 78
119 Sagamore Dr S 0.09mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,616 (-6%) 7mo $298,625 $185 76
4115 Poplar Dr 0.46mi 4/2.5 1,616 (-6%) 3mo $325,500 $201 63
7645 Admiral Dr 0.55mi 4/2.5 1,752 (+2%) 6mo $250,000 $143 61
13 Kingman Rd 0.54mi 4/2.5 1,792 (+5%) 5mo $285,000 $159 59
114 Glenwood Dr S 0.27mi 4/2.0 1,488 (-13%) 7mo $220,000 $148 58
4152 Lucan Rd 0.73mi 4/1.5 1,792 (+5%) 1mo $335,000 $187 57
17 Dove 0.54mi 4/2.0 1,594 (-7%) 5mo $280,900 $176 57
4219 Orion Path 0.70mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,584 (-8%) 1mo $300,000 $189 49
4336 Forestbrook Dr 0.57mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,904 (+11%) 4mo $295,000 $155 42
4270 Virgo Crse 0.66mi 4/2.5 1,924 (+12%) 7mo $345,000 $179 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.6%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-58,318
Equity at exit
$47,519
10-year hold
IRR
-10.8%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-58,649
Equity at exit
$27,555

Cash invested: $89,236 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13090

Active inventory
95
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,094 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,671
Tax from tax record
$749 /mo · $8,988/yr
Insurance
$133
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$650
Net cashflow
$-109

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,232
Max offer price $299,460
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $71 -5% $-19 +0% $-109 +5% $-199 +10% $-289
Rent -10% $-353 -5% $-231 +0% $-109 +5% $13 +10% $136
Rate -1.0pp $52 -0.5pp $-28 base $-109 +0.5pp $-191 +1.0pp $-276

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$79,675
Closing costs
$9,561
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4071 Sesame Path Liverpool, NY 4.0 2.5 1928 $3,200 $1.66 22d 1 0.90mi
1 Gallowgate Ct Liverpool, NY 3.0 1.5 1585 $1,698 $1.07 15d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-04-08
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-30
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-03-25
    listed $318,700 Active
  4. 2021-05-24
    soldstatus $241,716
  5. 2021-05-21
    soldstatus $241,716 Closed Sale or Rented 991-char remark
    Show marketing remark (991 chars)

    Welcome Home! This 4 bedroom Colonial is BEAUTIFUL with all new updates-nothing to do but move in! Hardwood floors throughout living room, dining room & all bedrooms. Kitchen with QUARTZ countertops, stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar and ceramic floors opens into a dining room. A large living room with wood burning fireplace is surrounded by front to back windows that allows so much sunlight. Family room with a gas fireplace includes a closet for your extras and a door leading to your backyard. 4 generously sized bedrooms with double closets in 2 rooms! Updated full bathroom with tile backsplash & ceramic tile. Beautifully landscaped with a large front porch to enjoy your spring, summer & fall months! Recent updates in the last 2 years include furnace, A/C, windows throughout, attic insulation, gutters, garage door, painting & more! Close to the Wetzel Woods walking trail! This is the place to call HOME! * * Please note showings begin 4/1 * *

  6. 2021-04-20
    status Pending Sale 991-char remark
    Show marketing remark (991 chars)

    Welcome Home! This 4 bedroom Colonial is BEAUTIFUL with all new updates-nothing to do but move in! Hardwood floors throughout living room, dining room & all bedrooms. Kitchen with QUARTZ countertops, stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar and ceramic floors opens into a dining room. A large living room with wood burning fireplace is surrounded by front to back windows that allows so much sunlight. Family room with a gas fireplace includes a closet for your extras and a door leading to your backyard. 4 generously sized bedrooms with double closets in 2 rooms! Updated full bathroom with tile backsplash & ceramic tile. Beautifully landscaped with a large front porch to enjoy your spring, summer & fall months! Recent updates in the last 2 years include furnace, A/C, windows throughout, attic insulation, gutters, garage door, painting & more! Close to the Wetzel Woods walking trail! This is the place to call HOME! * * Please note showings begin 4/1 * *

  7. 2021-04-06
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 991-char remark
    Show marketing remark (991 chars)

    Welcome Home! This 4 bedroom Colonial is BEAUTIFUL with all new updates-nothing to do but move in! Hardwood floors throughout living room, dining room & all bedrooms. Kitchen with QUARTZ countertops, stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar and ceramic floors opens into a dining room. A large living room with wood burning fireplace is surrounded by front to back windows that allows so much sunlight. Family room with a gas fireplace includes a closet for your extras and a door leading to your backyard. 4 generously sized bedrooms with double closets in 2 rooms! Updated full bathroom with tile backsplash & ceramic tile. Beautifully landscaped with a large front porch to enjoy your spring, summer & fall months! Recent updates in the last 2 years include furnace, A/C, windows throughout, attic insulation, gutters, garage door, painting & more! Close to the Wetzel Woods walking trail! This is the place to call HOME! * * Please note showings begin 4/1 * *

  8. 2021-03-30
    listed $214,990 Active 991-char remark
    Show marketing remark (991 chars)

    Welcome Home! This 4 bedroom Colonial is BEAUTIFUL with all new updates-nothing to do but move in! Hardwood floors throughout living room, dining room & all bedrooms. Kitchen with QUARTZ countertops, stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar and ceramic floors opens into a dining room. A large living room with wood burning fireplace is surrounded by front to back windows that allows so much sunlight. Family room with a gas fireplace includes a closet for your extras and a door leading to your backyard. 4 generously sized bedrooms with double closets in 2 rooms! Updated full bathroom with tile backsplash & ceramic tile. Beautifully landscaped with a large front porch to enjoy your spring, summer & fall months! Recent updates in the last 2 years include furnace, A/C, windows throughout, attic insulation, gutters, garage door, painting & more! Close to the Wetzel Woods walking trail! This is the place to call HOME! * * Please note showings begin 4/1 * *

  9. 2019-06-14
    soldstatus $170,000
  10. 2019-06-11
    soldstatus $170,000 Closed Sale or Rented 744-char remark
    Show marketing remark (744 chars)

    BAYBERRY COLONIAL - Spacious, recently renovated 4 Bedroom home with Hardwoods and two Fireplaces! First floor features an updated Kitchen with new Stainless Steel appliances, Ceramic Floors, Quartz Counter Tops, Pantry and a Breakfast Bar open to the Formal Dining Room. Light-filled front to back Living Room features a Wood Burning Fireplace. Cozy Family Room with new carpet warmed by a Gas Fireplace and an updated Half Bath off Living Room. Upstairs are four nicely sized Bedrooms and a completely remodeled Full Bath. Two Car Garage with new door, opener and entrance door. Tranquil, wooded and expansive back yard, in the sought after Bayberry area. Convenient location - walk to the high school, close to Rt. 57, shopping and highways.

  11. 2019-06-10
    status Pending Sale 744-char remark
    Show marketing remark (744 chars)

    BAYBERRY COLONIAL - Spacious, recently renovated 4 Bedroom home with Hardwoods and two Fireplaces! First floor features an updated Kitchen with new Stainless Steel appliances, Ceramic Floors, Quartz Counter Tops, Pantry and a Breakfast Bar open to the Formal Dining Room. Light-filled front to back Living Room features a Wood Burning Fireplace. Cozy Family Room with new carpet warmed by a Gas Fireplace and an updated Half Bath off Living Room. Upstairs are four nicely sized Bedrooms and a completely remodeled Full Bath. Two Car Garage with new door, opener and entrance door. Tranquil, wooded and expansive back yard, in the sought after Bayberry area. Convenient location - walk to the high school, close to Rt. 57, shopping and highways.

  12. 2019-04-20
    historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 744-char remark
    Show marketing remark (744 chars)

    BAYBERRY COLONIAL - Spacious, recently renovated 4 Bedroom home with Hardwoods and two Fireplaces! First floor features an updated Kitchen with new Stainless Steel appliances, Ceramic Floors, Quartz Counter Tops, Pantry and a Breakfast Bar open to the Formal Dining Room. Light-filled front to back Living Room features a Wood Burning Fireplace. Cozy Family Room with new carpet warmed by a Gas Fireplace and an updated Half Bath off Living Room. Upstairs are four nicely sized Bedrooms and a completely remodeled Full Bath. Two Car Garage with new door, opener and entrance door. Tranquil, wooded and expansive back yard, in the sought after Bayberry area. Convenient location - walk to the high school, close to Rt. 57, shopping and highways.

  13. 2019-04-05
    listed $174,900 Active 744-char remark
    Show marketing remark (744 chars)

    BAYBERRY COLONIAL - Spacious, recently renovated 4 Bedroom home with Hardwoods and two Fireplaces! First floor features an updated Kitchen with new Stainless Steel appliances, Ceramic Floors, Quartz Counter Tops, Pantry and a Breakfast Bar open to the Formal Dining Room. Light-filled front to back Living Room features a Wood Burning Fireplace. Cozy Family Room with new carpet warmed by a Gas Fireplace and an updated Half Bath off Living Room. Upstairs are four nicely sized Bedrooms and a completely remodeled Full Bath. Two Car Garage with new door, opener and entrance door. Tranquil, wooded and expansive back yard, in the sought after Bayberry area. Convenient location - walk to the high school, close to Rt. 57, shopping and highways.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$8,988 · $749/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,988 · $749/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,127
− Mortgage interest
−$17,852
− Property taxes
−$8,988
− Insurance
−$1,594
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,970
− Management
−$2,970
− Depreciation
−$9,271
Taxable loss
−$6,518
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,564
After-tax cash flow
$257/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Liverpool Central School District
NCES district ID
3617520
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$59,134
Composite
42.84/100
National rank
#3134
State rank
#381 of 590 in NY

Livability — Liverpool

Score
86/100
State rank
#16
US rank
#363

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime A Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
City population
29,004
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
29,004
Household income
$88,492
Rent vs Own
32.1% rent · 67.9% own
Severe rent burden
733.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -228.53%
Current HPI
320.4989
Rent YoY
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+82.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-03-30 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $318,700 CNYIS
  • 2021-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $241,716 Public Records
  • 2021-05-21 Sold (MLS) $241,716 CNYIS
  • 2021-04-20 Pending CNYIS
  • 2021-04-06 Pending CNYIS
  • 2021-03-30 Listed $214,990 CNYIS
  • 2019-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
  • 2019-06-11 Sold (MLS) $170,000 CNYIS
  • 2019-06-10 Pending CNYIS
  • 2019-04-20 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2019-04-05 Listed $174,900 CNYIS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,988 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…