187 Aurelia Ct · Poinciana, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.0/30.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$333,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!
Key facts
- Breakfast island
- Tile flooring
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $334k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-497 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $262k (21.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (30.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $232k (30.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#859 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Osceola (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #60 of 73 in FL (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Koa Elementary School (math 30% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,744 of 2,144 statewide, top 82%, 667 students, 63% FRL); Discovery Intermediate School (math 25% / reading 30%, grade F, #495 of 571 statewide, top 87%, 898 students, 62% FRL); Liberty High School (math 15% / reading 25%, grade F, #554 of 667 statewide, top 84%, 1,613 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Osceola average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 612 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,813 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (3,072 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Osceola County population projected at +73% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 231 days — a 12% lower offer ($294k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $54k; list at $334k implies a 518% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 231 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.38%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 12.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -29.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.03×
- Total profit
- $-90,680
- Equity at exit
- $49,786
- IRR
- -43.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.49×
- Total profit
- $-139,060
- Equity at exit
- $28,870
Cash invested: $93,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34758
- Home prices YoY
- -14.3%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 612
- Price-to-rent
- 12.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,317 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,751
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$417 /mo · $5,008/yr
- Insurance
- −$139
- HOA
- −$20
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$487
- Net cashflow
- $-497
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-266 | -5% $-381 | +0% $-497 | +5% $-612 | +10% $-728 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-680 | -5% $-588 | +0% $-497 | +5% $-405 | +10% $-314 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-329 | -0.5pp $-412 | base $-497 | +0.5pp $-583 | +1.0pp $-671 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $83,475
- Closing costs
- $10,017
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 178 Aurelia Ct Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1816 | $2,200 | $1.21 | 20d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 196 Aurelia Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2308 | $2,195 | $0.95 | 6d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 118 Pompei Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1661 | $2,000 | $1.20 | 26d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 356 Quarry Rock Cir Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2168 | $2,700 | $1.25 | 4d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 55 Alicante Ct Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1879 | $1,805 | $0.96 | 26d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 520 Nogales Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1771 | $2,450 | $1.38 | 10d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 383 Quarry Rock Cir Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1510 | $1,949 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 624 Mercado Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1665 | $2,400 | $1.44 | 26d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 651 Mercado Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $1,965 | $1.18 | 0d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 36 Alicante Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1753 | $1,895 | $1.08 | 10d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 307 Millstone Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1980 | $2,250 | $1.14 | 26d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 405 Bedlington Ct Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,750 | $1.30 | 26d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 407 Bedlington Ct Poinciana, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,750 | $1.30 | 26d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 121 Citrine Loop Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2091 | $2,500 | $1.20 | 12d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 311 Ferrara Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1668 | $1,809 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 402 Bridgewater Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1510 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 0d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 326 Medina Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1666 | $2,395 | $1.44 | 26d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 649 Rosaro Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2204 | $1,919 | $0.87 | 10d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 320 Mariana Way Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1865 | $2,200 | $1.18 | 10d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 611 Baldwin Dr Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1334 | $1,950 | $1.46 | 4d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 433 Bloomfield Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1814 | $2,120 | $1.17 | 0d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 562 Bristol Cir Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1876 | $2,110 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 517 Maricopa Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2094 | $2,500 | $1.19 | 12d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 216 Citrine Loop Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2143 | $2,485 | $1.16 | 17d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 839 Valnera Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1647 | $1,885 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 501 Bristol Cir Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $2,260 | $1.35 | 22d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 832 Valnera Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1774 | $2,200 | $1.24 | 26d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 102 Brixham Ct Unit A Poinciana, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 26d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 826 San Jose Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $2,110 | $1.16 | 17d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 24 Bradford Ct Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1535 | $2,285 | $1.49 | 0d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 917 Delano Ct Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1704 | $2,029 | $1.19 | 0d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 945 Delano Ct Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1556 | $1,935 | $1.24 | 26d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 661 N Delmonte Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1694 | $1,895 | $1.12 | 0d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 661 N Delmonte Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1694 | $1,895 | $1.12 | 26d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 546 Imperial Pl Unit 548 Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,700 | $1.38 | 26d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 413 Marlberry Leaf Ave Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2236 | $2,100 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 214 Magellan Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2052 | $1,850 | $0.90 | 26d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 673 Cotulla Dr Kissimmee, FL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1825 | $2,800 | $1.53 | 13d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 259 Magellan Dr Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1282 | $1,795 | $1.40 | 26d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 305 Chiquita Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1704 | $2,050 | $1.20 | 26d | 1 | 1.03mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $20 · $240/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2025-11-08price $333,900
-
2025-09-09price $339,900
-
2025-09-09$332,900 Active
-
2025-02-20soldstatus $54,000 Closed 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!
-
2024-11-19price $57,000 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!
-
2024-11-09price $58,000 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!
-
2024-08-27price $59,000 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!
-
2024-07-30price $62,000 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!
-
2024-01-22price $63,000 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!
-
2024-01-02price $64,000 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!
-
2023-10-23status Active 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!
-
2023-10-17status Pending 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!
-
2023-10-15price $65,000 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!
-
2023-08-13price $61,000 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!
-
2023-01-30$65,000 Active 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,807
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,704
- − Property taxes
- −$5,008
- − Insurance
- −$1,670
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,225
- − Management
- −$2,225
- − HOA
- −$240
- − Depreciation
- −$9,713
- Taxable loss
- −$11,977
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,874
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,088/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Osceola
- NCES district ID
- 1201470
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,528
- Composite
- 35.7/100
- National rank
- #4865
- State rank
- #60 of 73 in FL
Livability — Poinciana
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #859
- US rank
- #21760
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Poinciana, FL
- County
- Osceola County · 410,217 people
- City population
- 91,336
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,768
- Household income
- $66,339
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1302.0
Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,624 people
- By 2030
- 511,823 · +14.3%
- By 2040
- 642,986 · +43.6%
- By 2050
- 774,552 · +73.0%
- By 2075
- 1,078,144 · +140.9%
- By 2100
- 1,269,660 · +183.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 60% Black 22% Two or more races 16% White 13% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 36% Cuban 3% Dominican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Spanish 48% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Osceola
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: -1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.4 2020: D+13.8 2016: D+25.0 2012: D+24.5 2008: D+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.53%
- Current HPI
- 295.8928
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.82%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+413.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-08 Price Changed $333,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-09 Price Changed $339,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-09 Listed $332,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-20 Sold (MLS) $54,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-19 Price Changed $57,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-09 Price Changed $58,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-27 Price Changed $59,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-30 Price Changed $62,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-22 Price Changed $63,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-02 Price Changed $64,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-23 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-17 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-15 Price Changed $65,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-13 Price Changed $61,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-30 Listed $65,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+15.8%/yrLatest (2025): $565 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…