566 4777 · Sulphur Springs, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Perfect flip for the savvy buyer or contractor ready to restore this properties original glory. Bring your ideas for this 3 bed 2 bath north of Sulphur Springs. Roof was installed within the last 2 years.
Key facts
- 0.81 acre lot
- Built 1983
- Listed 3 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $983 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 23.2% vs local median 4.4% in Sulphur Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#350 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Sulphur Springs ISD (town): math 46% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #323 of 826 in TX (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sulphur Springs El (math 49% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,155 of 4,322 statewide, top 29%, 639 students, 70% FRL); Sulphur Springs Middle (math 50% / reading 38%, grade D, #512 of 1,662 statewide, top 32%, 974 students, 61% FRL); Sulphur Springs H S (math 53% / reading 50%, grade D+, #478 of 1,632 statewide, top 29%, 1,263 students, 53% FRL).
- Market conditions: 453 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 66 units permitted in Hopkins County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hopkins County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.25%
- DSCR
- 3.68
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $174,651
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- -59.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 217 Houston St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,319 (+6%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $190 | 79 |
| 508 Woodlawn St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,192 (-4%) | 6mo | $220,000 | $185 | 65 |
| 426 & 430 Cranford St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,288 (+3%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $89 | 63 |
| 400 Houston St | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,114 (-11%) | 12mo | $210,000 | $189 | 57 |
| 133 Kyle St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,138 (-9%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $154 | 48 |
| 709 Jefferson St E | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-8%) | 5mo | $65,000 | $56 | 48 |
| 124 Goodman St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,416 (+14%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $177 | 47 |
| 128 Goodman St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,416 (+14%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $177 | 43 |
| 207 California St E | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,129 (-10%) | 5mo | $84,000 | $74 | 42 |
| 503 N Jackson St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,063 (-15%) | 9mo | $232,000 | $218 | 42 |
| 603 Ingram St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,102 (-12%) | 9mo | $99,900 | $91 | 38 |
| 224 Middle St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,063 (-15%) | 7mo | $232,000 | $218 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.62×
- Total profit
- $51,286
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 63.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.41×
- Total profit
- $125,360
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 44 active · 4 under contract
- Months of supply
- 20.3 mo (5%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $206,000 ($162/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 90 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -13.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 75482
- Active inventory
- 453
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,855 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$390
- Net cashflow
- $983
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,031 | -5% $1,007 | +0% $983 | +5% $958 | +10% $934 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $836 | -5% $909 | +0% $983 | +5% $1,056 | +10% $1,129 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,018 | -0.5pp $1,000 | base $983 | +0.5pp $965 | +1.0pp $946 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 604 W A St Sulphur Springs, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,500 | $1.23 | 93d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 709 Fuller St Sulphur Springs, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 93d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 325 League St S Sulphur Springs, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 93d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1045 Jackson St N Sulphur Springs, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 93d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Possession at closing/fundingListing is for sale (standard listing conditions)
- Financial info
- Treat as clear loan typeNo second mortgage
- HOA & community
- No association
Exterior
- Parking
- Additional parking
- Utilities
- Electricity connectedNot in a municipal utility district
- Home design
- Single-family residenceResidential propertyOne storyAttached
- Construction
- Built in 1983
- Exterior features
- Approximately 0.81-acre lotLocated in the Aiguier subdivisionDirections: Take Hwy 19 north of Sulphur Springs to CR 4777, go approximately 0.7 miles; house on right
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric water heater
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on main level)
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features
- Eat-in kitchenHigh-speed internet availableOne living areaOne dining areaRoom count: 3
- Laundry & utility
- Electricity connected
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 204-char remark
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2026-06-07$69,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,264
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$1,048
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,781
- − Management
- −$1,781
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $11,355
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,725
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,066/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos
This home requires moderate renovations, including replacing outdated cabinets and countertops, updating bathroom fixtures and flooring, and painting interior walls. The home has a good roof and foundation, but the exterior siding and landscaping need attention. The home has a good roof and foundation, but the exterior siding and landscaping need attention.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen cabinets — The cabinets are outdated and need to be replaced.
- Major Bathroom fixtures — The fixtures are outdated and need to be replaced.
- Major Kitchen countertops — The countertops are outdated and need to be replaced.
- Major Bathroom flooring — The flooring is carpeted and in poor condition and needs to be replaced.
- Minor Exterior siding — The siding has some discoloration and minor damage that can be repaired.
- Major Exterior landscaping — The landscaping is overgrown and needs trimming and maintenance.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Replace kitchen cabinets and countertops — Replacing outdated cabinets and countertops will significantly improve the kitchen's appearance and functionality, making it more appealing to potential buyers. ↑
- Resale Replace bathroom fixtures and flooring — Updating the outdated bathroom fixtures and flooring will improve the overall appearance and functionality of the bathroom, making it more appealing to potential buyers. ↑
- Both Paint interior walls — Painting the interior walls will improve the appearance of the home and make it more appealing to both buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Trim and maintain landscaping — Trimming and maintaining the landscaping will improve the curb appeal of the home and make it more attractive to both buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sulphur Springs ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4841820
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,871
- Composite
- 36.33/100
- National rank
- #4692
- State rank
- #323 of 826 in TX
Livability — Sulphur Springs
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #350
- US rank
- #7665
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sulphur Springs, TX
- County
- Hopkins County · 38,107 people
- City population
- 26,483
- Metro
- Sulphur Springs, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,483
- Household income
- $69,970
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6% of renters
Population outlook (Hopkins County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,107 people
- By 2030
- 38,867 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 40,009 · +5.0%
- By 2050
- 40,448 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 40,669 · +6.7%
- By 2100
- 37,234 · -2.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 14% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hopkins
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.6) · D 17.4% · R 82.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -44.7pp · 2024: -64.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.6 2020: R+60.7 2016: R+60.8 2012: R+55.4 2008: R+44.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.79%
- Current HPI
- 156.0526
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Sulphur Springs, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…