5340 Commons Ct · Virginia Beach, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 95.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- Cash flow +11.7/30.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$302,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move-in ready brick townhome offering 1,750 sq ft in the heart of Kempsville! Spacious floor plan features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, plus a versatile flex room great for a home office, nursery, workout room, or potential 4th bedroom. The primary suite includes two walk-in closets and a private bath. Kitchen features granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and tile flooring. Bright great room with 11 foot ceilings and abundant natural light. Large walk-in laundry/utility room. Enjoy the fenced backyard with patio and storage shed. Water heater replaced in 2022 and HVAC replaced in 2019. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, Town Center, interstate access, military bases, and the
Key facts
- Brick townhome
- Private bath
- Walk-in closets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA fees (N/A / 0 listed)
Exterior
- Parking: 2 on-site parking spaces; Street parking available
- Security: Security system
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater; 220 V electric outlet
- Home design: Attached townhouse; 2 stories; Slab foundation; Simple ownership
- Construction: Brick siding; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Cul-de-sac location; Back fenced yard; Storage shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom with ensuite; Additional bedroom(s) on second floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; Full bathroom on second floor
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump with auxiliary (W/A); Central air
- Interior features: Cable hookup; Ceiling fan; Security system; Walk-in closet; Window treatments; Attic; Utility closet
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $302k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-86 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $287k (5.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (24.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $230k (24.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.5% in Virginia Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#38 in VA, #880 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
- Va Beach City Public School District (urban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #10 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Point O' View Elementary (math 44% / reading 58%, grade C-, #733 of 1,108 statewide, top 66%, 725 students, 75% FRL); Larkspur Middle (math 60% / reading 72%, grade A-, #113 of 342 statewide, top 33%, 1,536 students, 60% FRL); Kempsville High (math 73% / reading 78%, grade A-, #105 of 319 statewide, top 33%, 2,006 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 28% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 229 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 666 units permitted in Virginia Beach city in 2024 (347 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Virginia Beach County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $170k; list at $302k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 95% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.22%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $341,250
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5349 Commons Ct | 0.07mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,750 (0%) | 8mo | $307,000 | $175 | 85 |
| 5303 Leicester Ct | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 | 1,840 (+5%) | 8mo | $290,000 | $158 | 79 |
| 5366 Commons Ct | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,578 (-10%) | 5mo | $300,000 | $190 | 76 |
| 5321 Leicester Ct | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 | 1,500 (-14%) | 5mo | $307,000 | $205 | 68 |
| 141 Tower Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 | 1,509 (-14%) | 9mo | $299,900 | $199 | 66 |
| 136 Tower Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 | 1,509 (-14%) | 10mo | $299,000 | $198 | 65 |
| 5326 Leicester Ct | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,509 (-14%) | 11mo | $295,000 | $195 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-48,412
- Equity at exit
- $45,104
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-22,778
- Equity at exit
- $26,155
Cash invested: $84,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23462
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 229
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,297 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,586
- Tax from tax record
- −$189 /mo · $2,265/yr
- Insurance
- −$126
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$482
- Net cashflow
- $-86
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $85 | -5% $-1 | +0% $-86 | +5% $-172 | +10% $-258 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-268 | -5% $-177 | +0% $-86 | +5% $4 | +10% $95 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $66 | -0.5pp $-9 | base $-86 | +0.5pp $-165 | +1.0pp $-245 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,625
- Closing costs
- $9,075
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5363 Leicester Ct Unit 1 Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1330 | $2,000 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 5382 Leicester Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1320 | $1,900 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 113 S Parliament Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1770 | $2,600 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 345 W Palmyra Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1927 | $2,450 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 5441 Greenwich Rd Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1075 | $3,149 | $2.93 | 3d | 13 | 0.36mi |
| 5313 Sir Barton Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1556 | $2,750 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 368 Gainsborough Rd Virginia Beach, VA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2495 | $2,800 | $1.12 | 12d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 5048 Glen Canyon Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2128 | $2,955 | $1.39 | 9d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 202 Stonehall Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1614 | $2,200 | $1.36 | 19d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 202 Stonehall Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1614 | $2,200 | $1.36 | 6d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 317 Elderwood Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1668 | $2,000 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4905 Windbrooke Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 16d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 5617 Morningside Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1291 | $1,850 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4863 Woods Edge Rd Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $2,100 | $1.69 | 5d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5031 Clairmont Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1572 | $2,000 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 5206 Richard Rd Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1240 | $1,795 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5212 Richard Rd Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1372 | $2,100 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 6650 Stoney Point South Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1562 | $2,100 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 451 Adkins Arch Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,975 | $1.60 | 5d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 449 Peregrine St Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,995 | $1.43 | 18d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4800 Deming Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $2,200 | $1.78 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4968 Limestone Ave Unit 1 Virginia Beach, VA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1815 | $3,000 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4828 Oldwick Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1668 | $2,425 | $1.45 | 19d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 611 Oleander Cir Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,900 | $1.52 | 16d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4822 Oldwick Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1692 | $2,295 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 6602 Stoney Point North Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1562 | $1,795 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 658 Oleander Cir Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1254 | $2,050 | $1.63 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5152 Whitaker Pl Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2151 | $2,700 | $1.26 | 19d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5152 Whitaker Pl Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2151 | $2,750 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 226 Larimar Ave Unit 47C Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $2,395 | $1.62 | 9d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5828 Susquehanna Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1710 | $2,750 | $1.61 | 3d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4969 Almandine Ave Unit 1 Virginia Beach, VA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1938 | $2,995 | $1.55 | 4d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5516 Seawall Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1125 | $2,421 | $2.15 | 3d | 18 | 1.32mi |
| 616 Aubrey Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1266 | $1,995 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 412 Kenley Rd Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1424 | $2,400 | $1.69 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4801 Afton Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $2,000 | $1.61 | 19d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4884 Travertine Ave Unit 00 216304M Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $2,250 | $1.79 | 19d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4884 Travertine Ave Unit 00 208203O Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $2,100 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 6114 Lyndhurst Ave Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,395 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4805 Carnelian Way Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1749 | $2,395 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-16status $302,500 Under Contract 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $302,500 Active Under Contract 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $302,500 Active Under Contract 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $302,500 Active Under Contract 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $302,500 Active Under Contract 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $302,500 Active Under Contract 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $302,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-02$302,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,265 · $189/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,480 · $207/mo
- Expected delta
- +$216/yr (+$18/mo · 9.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 95% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,566
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,945
- − Property taxes
- −$2,265
- − Insurance
- −$1,512
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,205
- − Management
- −$2,205
- − Depreciation
- −$8,800
- Taxable loss
- −$6,367
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,528
- After-tax cash flow
- $491/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Va Beach City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103840
- Math proficiency
- 69% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,452
- Composite
- 63.81/100
- National rank
- #594
- State rank
- #10 of 131 in VA
Livability — Virginia Beach
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #880
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Virginia Beach, VA
- County
- Virginia Beach City · 448,227 people
- City population
- 448,227
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 66,151
- Household income
- $69,040
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3906.0
Population outlook (Virginia Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 480,401 people
- By 2030
- 491,221 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 504,882 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 508,847 · +5.9%
- By 2075
- 504,831 · +5.1%
- By 2100
- 465,867 · -3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Virginia Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.5 2012: R+2.5 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -269.19%
- Current HPI
- 333.1908
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.61%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+326.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $302,500 REINMLS
- 2017-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
- 2017-07-17 Pending — REINMLS
- 2017-06-23 Listed $179,900 REINMLS
- 2001-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,265 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…